The good consequence of the 3rd Way is symptomatic

Marcin Palade notes in “To the Thing” that after the elections there are no sharp changes in the support rates of individual parties. This is simply a substance of 1 or 2 percent points, which is the limit of statistical error. The 3rd way, whose quotations are higher by at least 3 percent points compared to the elections of 15 October, is the most profitable. Palade argues that only in this case we are dealing with a noveum in Polish politics. The good consequence of the 3rd Way clearly shows that Poles are already tired of polarization fueled mostly by the lost after the PiS elections.

PiS only mobilized an iron electorate

Marcin Palade sees in an interview with the right-wing weekly that the PiS is now only going to hard-headed voters. A relentless communicative of "political prisoners", "tortures", the rhetoric of "the crow ore of the eagle will not defeat", that is, the message to organization concrete:

It must be taken into account that the Law and Justice strategy in the fresh parliamentary elections was directed solely at a hard electorate. In the case of presidential elections, where in the second circular the candidate has to get 50% plus 1 vote, and given that the Law and Justice Office has support of thirty-several percent, this means that an additional 20 percent points request to be built. That's a lot..

The situation of the Law and Justice before the local elections

Marcin Palade surely did not pour optimism into the hearts of PiS supporters with forecasts of upcoming local elections:

It's besides early to decide what the form of the Seyms will be today. Given the fact that PiS ratings are lower than in 2018, erstwhile the last local government elections were held, it should be assumed that the maintenance of a fewer Seymists acquired by PiS after 2018 may be a hard task. For today, the Law and Justice can be more than certain that it will keep the authorities in the Podkarpackie Seymika. He has a chance of keeping in the Lublin and Świętokrzyskie seymik. In turn, he must fight very hard to stay in the Małopolska and Podlaskie seymikas. More than certain is that from the Seymists, where the Law and Justice presently governs or co-ordinates, they will decision towards the another side of the Seymika Łódź and Lower Silesian.

Still – contrary to the narration of president Kaczyński – this camp of power is on a wave, has a certain credit of trust, while PiS alienates a average electorate that is not attached to any peculiar party.