Deputy Minister of National Defence Magdalena Sobkowiak-Czarnecka, asked whether Poland would again hand over the missiles of the Patriot strategy to Ukraine, stated that "this decision must be taken in the context of the safety of Poles and all rations must be weighed", adding that the decision could be taken in the coming days.
This “yet” is like an alarm bell, whose sound only strengthens the deputy minister's message that her hotel principle, Władysław Kosiniak-Kamish, “today he is willing to pass on more due to the fact that he would alternatively have specified a rocket shot down over Ukraine's territory than fall into ours.” This corresponds to Donald Tusk's message that he would "consider" with Kosiniak-Kamish "as shortly as possible further assistance to Ukraine, including with further Patriots, if necessary" due to the fact that the president of Ukraine told him that the next 100 days could settle the result of the war.
You read well. The Prime Minister of Poland makes strategical decisions (or at least this is how he presents his decision-making process), due to the fact that the president of Ukraine told him something.
Handing over Ukraine's next Patriot rocket strategy will, of course, be a extremist action against our security. The ensuing revolution in the art of war, linked to the cheapness and bulkiness of fresh means of aerial assault, causes a extremist increase in the consumption of conventional weapons – costly defences. The scale of this phenomenon is shown by the example of the USA, which is losing the war with Iran, among another things, due to the cost imbalance of armed action between the fighting parties. According to the data cited at the end of July by the "Wall Street Journal", citing the calculations of the Center for strategical and global Studies, the U.S. Armed Forces, attempting to retaliate against the Iranians, utilized at least 1,500 Patriot capture missiles during the war launched against Iran. In little than 5 months. And this is not always effective due to the fact that the Iranians managed to destruct a number of valuable U.S. military installations in the mediate East.
There are no views on the fast replenishment of the arsenal. Throughout 2025 Lockheed Martin produced 620 PAC-3 MSE missiles. I'm certain we'll take a beautiful distant place in line for a fewer coming off American anti-racite production lines. For these reasons, I believe that the position of the Tusk Government is the consequence of pressures protegrating the Ukrainians and that the position of the government of Mateusz Morawiecki would be the same or even more useful towards Washington and Kiev.
The Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister, the ruling state, whose defence strategy remains far incomplete even in conventional terms, with 1 of its main measures, proves their nonchalance in the field of safety and strategy. But even more disqualifying is that they besides prove their highly low competences in what they should know about – politics.
Such publically expressed declarations identifying the interest of Poland with the interest of Ukraine, specified manifestation of taking over the interest, position and arguments of another – as it has late turned out, surely not allied – states already put Poland in a position of losing in political tender. Even if we recognise – let us accept this purely theoretical script – that in the interest of Poland it would be in the interest of giving Ukraine any part of our weaponry, then it is for Poland to compression out as much as possible for this movement. Absolutely the first and fundamental presumption in this case would be not to give the ruling Poland the impression that they are ready to do so unconditionally, presenting specified a decision as lying in our own interest. Under the tender, this conviction should be masked to the very end in order to procure as much as possible. But there are no conditions. After everything Zelenski has done towards Poland, it again becomes a warehouse for him with a wide open gate in which the owners are inactive happy and pat him on the back, that he would come and take something.
The same mechanics does not apply solely to Polish weapons warehouses. Ukraine is besides looking at our handling capabilities and grain warehouses today. The Ukrainian Ministry of Agriculture informed about talks between his boss Taras Wysocki and Polish chargé d’affaires ad interim Piotr Łukasiewicz. During the talks, the Ukrainian side itself admitted that due to systematic Russian attacks on port and logistical infrastructure Ukraine is forced to look for alternate routes for the export of agricultural products. In order to complete the image of the crisis threatening us, the government of Ukraine has openly stated that it is not only about the "coridion of solidarity", i.e. the usage of part of port handling capacity in Gdańsk, Szczecin, Świnoujście and Gdynia. According to the Ukrainian Ministry of Agriculture, the shortage of retention capacity in Ukraine in November could scope from 7.5 million tonnes to 11 million tonnes. During talks with Polish diplomats, the anticipation of providing additional retention capacity to Ukrainian producers was discussed.
So it is easy to imagine that, as in 2023, we will not be dealing with any transit, but with placing Ukrainian production on the Polish market, to the detriment of Polish farmers. Ukrainian agricultural producers are not subject to the same production, environmental and regulatory requirements as those imposed on producers in the European Union. This besides means unequal conditions of competition for Polish agriculture.
The blockade of Ukrainian sea exports is simply a fact. The Russians destruct Odessa port installations and attack Ukrainian merchant ships. However, these actions cannot be analysed in isolation from this year's escalation of the Black Sea War. Ukraine itself decided to importantly grow its attacks on Russian ports, tankers and another merchant ships, so it had to take into account that Russia would respond to the increase in activities aimed besides at Ukrainian shipping and port infrastructure. Volodymyr Zelenski on 25 June announced "a 40-day service operation aimed at influencing the aggressor state to exert force at the end of the war". Today, the bill for the economical consequences of this decision is to be at least partially issued to Poland.
In this escalation, it feels the hand of the president of Ukraine, who has a professional tendency to play the pirate war. Meanwhile, Ukraine's strategical situation is only deteriorating by its actions. Polish military, Polish farmers and Polish consumers cannot pay for political and strategical errors of Ukrainian authorities. Polish arms warehouses, Polish grain warehouses and Polish marketplace are not resources that the Ukrainian authorities can compensate for the effects of their own strategical decisions. The task of the Polish government is not to facilitate this, but to guarantee that the cost of these decisions is not passed on to Poles.
Krystian Kamiński
Author is simply a associate of the National Movement Authority
Think Poland, No. 35-36 (30.08-6.09.2026)
