Poland, like the vast majority of European countries, is at a crucial minute erstwhile the destiny of Europe seen as not only geographically, but besides economically, historically, culturally and politically, is at stake.
We are witnessing not only the final closure of Poland's independency and independence, but besides the remaining much stronger European states. Meanwhile, Poland needs a free independent Europe, and Europe needs Poland ready and able to make a European order, whose determinants are global independency in both political and economical fields, alternatively than service to the overseas power.
In 1 of the public speeches of the time Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki I heard that Poland for governments Donald Tusk She emphasized the alignment of our country on the east-west axis, but now, fortunately, the Law and Justice sets Poland a new, healthy course, which our national interests sit on the north-south axis. Of course, the public declaration condemning the East-West axis was not only a pre-election desire to strike Donald Tusk and his formation, but besides a desire to manifest PiSu's reluctance to both Russia and Germany. We have fresh governments, which as shortly as they can cut off from the policy pursued by the Law and Justice, but there is no request to hide that in terms of abroad policy changes will be small, especially in terms of their final effects on Poland.
You do not request to be a Geography major to see the scale of absurdity in promoting the failure to settle Poland primarily on the east-west axis. In Poland, full generations of dogs and reprimand the Polish geopolitical position, in which Poland is irretrievably found in Russian-German ticks. Caught like a chaotic boar in a hive, she struggles and struggles, incapable to escape an enemy mat. This trap made up of Germans and Russians plotting against Poland paralyzes us, impoverishes us, leads to moral and cultural decay, and yet poses a real threat to our sovereignty and independence.
Yes, it is actual that Poland borders its east and western border with 2 countries with more population, economic, method and military potential. In addition, in the past, both of these countries alone or in a duet conducted aggressive policies against Poland, leading to erasure of it from the maps of Europe. However, there are dozens of another countries around the planet with an even greater population, military or economical advantage over their neighbours. Countries that have besides suffered harm about their neighbours.
So there is nothing to feel sorry for, just looking for the positives of your geopolitical and geo-economic position, and these are and may be significant. There are countries that can sympathize with our situation, but there are others that envy us. They envy the position between the world's leading economy and the leading supplier of fuels and natural resources. Intermediation between Russia and Western Europe, in various areas, should bring tremendous financial influence to Poland. The financial benefits of their east and western neighbours will besides be visible to them, which is why our military safety would be in the interest of both Russia and the leading Western European countries. The perception of the Polish state in the eyes of the main neighbours would importantly improve.
It takes even a glance at the map of Europe to see that the scaffolding on which Europe stands consists of 4 elements – France, Germany, Poland and Russia. In addition, by examining the last 1000 years of European past and its cultural or civilizational conditions, we can group these 4 countries into 2 blocks. The first are France and Germany forming the western lung of Europe and Poland and Russia forming the east lung of Europe. The deeper the scale of common correlation between these countries, both in bilateral and multilateral arrangements, the more benefits for each of them individually and for Europe as a separate geopolitical entity. Good cooperation between the 4 countries is the key to ensuring a Europe of prosperity, safety and systematic improvement to keep Europe's strong and independent position in rivalry with China. Otherwise, Europe will be marginalised and will become a scolding subsidiary of the U.S. Powerful Interests.
We can curse the reality and compose about the fall of civilization of France and Germany or the imperialism of Russia, but this does not change the fact that, regardless of the more or little real disadvantages of the 3 states and the nations inhabiting them, the best economical relations with them are in our vital interest. Poland in this quartet, although the most economically and populously weak, not only does not request to be treated with superiority by the stronger remaining trio, but by conducting a policy characterised by pragmatism, alternatively than a circumstantial historical policy, it may be a key constituency of this arrangement allowing to think of it as a permanent being. Thus defined geopolitically, Poland would enjoy far greater respect in both Western and east Europe than it is today. Most European countries would see that the agreement strengthens the position of the full of Europe against the imperialist urges of the United States. The permanent anchoring in this arrangement would let with a large amount of comfort to strengthen Poland's relations with the countries closest to us culturally and having akin historical experiences, i.e. the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Belarus or even Austria.
Of course, against this concept there may be allegations, which are willingly exposed by political post-solidarities, according to which Russia and Germany are eternal enemies of Poland and specified a state of affairs will never be permanently transformed. However, it is worth remembering that Germany was besides the eternal enemies of the French, and yet for more than half a century these countries have been competing with each other, and they have besides frequently worked together with 1 voice in European matters. Russia fought 2 bloody wars with Germany in the 20th century, and yet, in the 21st century, these countries worked closely together and would proceed to do so if it were not for the American force on Germany. Despite the harm suffered by Poland by Germany over the last century, Today, the Polish economy is besides closely linked to German whether we like it or not.
In our country there are political forces on both the government and opposition sides, which say that Poland's cooperation with Russia is not possible due to the conflict in Ukraine. According to them, even if the conflict ended on the basis of Ukraine, Poland should proceed to prosecute a hostile policy towards Russia, while at the same time draining the pocket of the Polish payer for Ukraine. I remind you that 10 years after the end of planet War II, the West has already worked closely with Germany, while we are being suggested that, after the end of the conflict in Ukraine, we should be stuck decades in a political, military and economical conflict with Russia. This conflict, in itself, will always be much more detrimental to us than to Russia. Secondly, the long-term military tension and economical war, even in a country with a prosperous economy, will lead to crucial losses, in the form of not only a simplification in the standard of living, but besides a deficiency of resources for the improvement of a state that will begin to deviate not only from its neighbours but from the leading planet economies.
For 2 decades, alternatively of a imagination of becoming 1 of the 4 key circles of the European spine – in Poland ludicrous visions of alliances with Georgia, Lithuania, Ukraine, or the utopian imagination of the Inter-Mediterranean. Meanwhile, Georgia, who has seen itself as a strategical NATO partner for over a decade, present does not want to be a battlefield any longer between the influences of the US and Russia. For Lithuanians and Western Ukrainians, cooperation with Poland is simply a momentary necessity. For both of these nations, Poland is simply a possessive neighbour in the long term, which should be played skillfully, to meet our current needs, which we experience on our own.
The scale of Poland's military and economical dependence on its supposedly strategical ally, the United States, is growing. This increasing dependence is not only an expanding economical drainage of the pockets of Polish citizens, but besides a proportionally expanding threat of Poland's participation in the global conflict, in which Poland will become the scene of a strong confrontation of the US and its subordinate allies, at best only with Russia and Belarus, and at worst with the dinner of states protesting the effort of US imperial dominance over the world. It is not hard to foretell how participation in specified a defined conflict will end for Poland. Germany is anyway doomed to cooperate with Russia and will proceed to deal with us or without us. So we have a choice. We will either make a transmission belt for ourselves and Europe from Vladivostok to the Pyrenees, which will bring political, military and economical freedom to Europe, or we will all be full subordinate to Washington. I compose “fully” due to the fact that this is already the case for any areas. What is visible present is that our addiction rate will be much greater than that experienced by France or Germany.
Although the possible of France and Germany is presently weakening, Russia has been fighting its most crucial struggles since the large Patriotic War, for its power to be or not to be, and our relation with each of these countries may periodically be very critical, the sooner we realize that cooperation with all 3 of us is crucial, the better for Poland. Action to bring us closer should be a key determinant of Polish abroad policy, not only for the coming years, but most likely even for decades.
Arkadius Miksa
Think Poland, No. 9-10 (25.02-3.03.2024)
