Ukrainian troops have made a groundbreaking invasion of Russia, occupying the area in the Kursk Oblast, which represents the biggest challenge for Vladimir Putin since the June Wagner Group revolt. According to Russian analysts, Ukrainians have already occupied about 250 square kilometers of land, which puts Russian forces in difficulty and creates tension in Moscow.
The invasion of Ukrainian troops into the Kursk region on 6 August caused confusion in the Russian defensive ranks. Sergei Markow, a prokremlian analyst, admitted that the Russian defence was amazed by the offensive, which may indicate its low level of preparedness for specified attacks.
Markow, erstwhile advisor to Putin, predicts that Ukrainian forces can usage the territory gained as a bargaining chip in future negotiations with the Kremlin. The fighting in the Kurdish circuit will continue.
Russian counterattack in the shadow of Ukrainian fortifications
Markov emphasizes that the Russian troops are presently racing against time to carry out an effective counterattack. According to the analyst, Ukrainians will search to keep and strengthen their positions before Russia can gather adequate forces to carry out a retaliatory operation.
‘The advantage belongs to the defenders’, says Markov, suggesting that the Ukrainian plan is to maximise the usage of the land acquired and to erect fortifications there.
Potential consequences and difficulties of the Russian army
Russia, despite having more powerful air forces than Ukraine, faces a immense challenge in the Kursk region. As experience from the Cherkov and Donetsk regions shows, it is highly hard for invaders to break Ukrainian fortifications. The Ukrainian operation in the Kursk Oblast can so force the Kremlin to undertake a long-term and costly run whose effects are uncertain.
Incredible. Ukrainian flag has been hoised over the villa of Guevo in the confederate part of Sudzha territory of Kursk Oblast. Where only briefs were reported (and not confirmed) yesterday. pic.twitter.com/zC1CF02fwD
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) August 11, 2024A group of the #ruZZian occupiers (FSB authoritative judging by the docs) eliminated in #Kursk region ☠️#KurskPeopleRepublicpic.twitter.com/0LNQ6iTFg8
— Aurora Borealis 🤫 (@aborealis940) August 11, 2024Fights in the Kurd circuit. Ukrainian offensive as a blow to Putin's prestige
For Putin, losing control of part of Russia's territory is simply a powerful blow to his authority, both internationally and internally. The Ukrainian operation, compared by the Washington Post to the challenge of the Wagner Group's rebellion, could weaken the position of the Russian president and prompt him to take more desperate action.
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