Nawrocks wouldn't be the second Duda

liberte.pl 2 months ago

In the face of unsatisfactory results, the polls in which Karol Nawrocki was incapable to achieve
the ceiling of support for the PiS, the organization behind it decided to change the strategy. alternatively of insisting
in the image of a "citizen candidate", it was openly acknowledged that it was a candidate of the PiS for
The president, and the promoter of his exhibition for the run fight was Jarosław Kaczyński.

If the president of the IPN had won this year's election, the 3rd five-year run would have begun in the summer.
a word of office with the head of state elected by the president of the Law and
Justice. In this situation, it is easy to accept that we would face another 5 years of this
the President-Long-Description, who is at all call of the ‘mother party’, available and
submissive to Kaczyński. For specified a "style" of advanced office undoubtedly
used public opinion for the last 10 years Andrzej Duda, even if – what you gotta admit – in
cases that can be counted on the fingers of 1 hand did something against the head of the Law and Justice.

However, at least 3 circumstances indicate that Nawrocki – after a certain phase
the first – would be different from Duda. These are: gratitude debt configuration, personality
and the scope of opportunities to conduct political games.

In late 2014, Andrzej Duda was called a PiS presidential candidate. It was the PiS.
on a wave of absolutely rising, clear favourite parliamentary elections
planned shortly after the presidential. Duda, on the another hand, was a politician.
distinguishing from a group of even dozens of akin “standard” organization politicians
from the second or 3rd line; without besides much experience, without backroom, without recognition. Duda may not have obtained investment, but it may have been due to the interplay of his qualities specified as age, gender, education and household status, and the results of focus social studies. He became a PiS candidate for president in the year of the top political power of this party, and with his own stumbling legs Bronisław Komorowski would most likely besides win respective other, rejected by Kaczyński challengers. Duda, despite deficiency of his own achievements or merit, was elevated to the highest office in the state by the Law and Justice and its president. He repaid his debt of gratitude with solid loyalty, well-being and availability, even to constitutional delicacy.

Nawrocki was the PiS candidate at the minute of the party's weakness. late deprived of power and
Most of the influences, broken down by problems with the law of any of its leaders, conflict to last in
First league against the Confederate right flank. Maintaining the presidency is
A key link to the endurance efforts would let for the maintenance of a number of footholds
institutions and readers increased their chances of returning to power in 2027. If it worked,
attitude and popularity (presidents in Poland are usually easy to build) Nawrotsky would be the basic pillar here. The organization would have a candidate.
a debt of gratitude and the largest possible caliber.

Duda and Nawrocks have akin views, but they seem radically different people. Duda is
a weak and dependent personality, an perfect ‘service provider’ for the alpha male, which is the president of the Law and Justice Office. Readable
The sign of Duda's weakness is the instinctive prostrate, masking weaknesses rich in facial expressions
(sometimes even grotesquely imitating hardness), experiencing the presidency in a ceremonial way
procedural, continuous repetition that "he is president" and inability to build within the framework
The WIS is simply a vital individual resource. Duda is the man who set up his wife to be her
She told Kaczyński publically that she was “not afraid of him”.

Charles Nawrocki seems to be a very strong man who is just waiting for a moment,
that the political position will let him to full uncover himself. He's usually kind and thanks.
it is able to show temporarily limited tolerance for Kaczyński's advantage in their
Deal. But Kaczyński in the following years the organization reins will slow slip out of hand due to
In the meantime, Nawrocki, if he had won the Palace in a period of PiS weakness, then – laying sand
in the modes of Donald Tusk's coalition – led the PiS to recover the majority in the Sejm, it would change
the logic of this relationship. He's a tough guy, full aware of his value, no complexes, no opposition or...
emotional swings. As president, he will not accept the position of "number two" towards
Anyone. He's far little connected to PiS than Duda, little tied up, and thus more
Incalculable, especially since it is to the right of what we utilized to service the mainstream at least
PiS.

Of course, between 2025-30 Nawrocki would have faced the dilemma of getting organization support for the second
term of office. Duda trembled for this support before the 2020 election and constantly sought access to the ear
the President, then in his second word of office, to stay submissive anyway, though he no longer had to. The thing is,
that Duda never built any environment of individual support even in the party, let alone
Except for her. In the meantime, Nawrocki already has a possible support structure composed of
fan groups, various movements and nationalist organizations, commemorating history,
reconstructive. He's got quite a few connections to right-wing science. That's what they do.
known links, which presently – while the run is ongoing – is trying to quiet down. If you had an extra
He built himself a large individual popularity as president, it was by organising these people in 2030 that he could be tempted to launch on his own, either ignoring the investment issue from the Law and Justices, or even the organization to support by forcing events. Then he could break out of the party's “side” already during his first term.

Karol Nawrocki, if he had become president, would have completely changed the face of this office compared to
The years of Andrzej Duda. Freeing himself from the organization dependency Duda was so criticized for,
could, however, prove to be a script for Poland, not less
dangerous. Nawrocki is simply a man of a strong character. However, he may have shown
left out of control by a fanatic without brakes.

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