In the election race there is no deficiency of emotion – the latest poll brings amazing moves to the podium and shows clear changes in the moods of young voters. 1 of the favorites loses ground, another gains unexpectedly. What affected the shuffle?
According to the latest survey conducted by investigation Partner, Rafał Trzaskowski is inactive in leadership position with the consequence 34.8 percent support. Although this is simply a fall by 0,7 percent points compared to the erstwhile study, KO policy continues to anticipate competition.
Second place, he's in. Karol Nawrocki, a candidate supported by PiS who gained 22.7 percent support. His ratings have increased by 0,5 percent point, which indicates an expanding interest in his candidacy, especially among older voters.
Mentzen loses support – young people search an alternative
He's in 3rd position. Sławomir Mentzen with consequence 15.8%.But his ratings are on a downward trend. In particular, he loses support among young voters (18-24 years), where he recorded a decline from 38% to 34.3 percent. in just 3 weeks.
Experts attribute this regression to Mentzen's controversial statements on paid studies and abortion. At the same time Adrian Zandberg from the organization Together gained popularity in this age group, reaching 21.8 percent. This suggests that the younger electorate is looking for more progressive alternatives.
Debate in Konski without much influence
Although the fresh debate in Koński was widely commented, researchers note that did not importantly alter electoral preferences. The results stay within the limits of statistical error, which means stabilising support for most candidates.
The seniors will decide the outcome?
Research Partner stresses that the final result of the election will most likely be decided among people over 55 years of age – this is the largest group of voters. This is it. Mentzen has previously gained crucial supportBut now it's Karol Nawrocki begins to effectively manage this section of electorate, achieving support of the order 28.7 percent..
Nevertheless, support for Nawrocki in this group remains lower than the average support for his organization – PiS.
Other candidates – who else gains?
The further part of the ranking was Simon Holovnia From the 3rd Way That He Won 6.7 percent., with an increase in 1.1 percent point. Adrian Zandberg, despite not being present in the debate, increased its score to 4.2 percent, gaining 2 percent points.
The stakes are closing. Magdalena Biejat with consequence 3.4% and Marek JakubiakWhich she pointed to 2 percent polled.
Test details
The survey was carried out by investigation Partner in days 11-13 April 2025 on a nationwide example 1080 people above 18 years of age. The example was selected by quota method – gender, age and size of the place of residence were taken into account.
