"TV debate in the town of Końskie did not origin crucial changes in support for individual candidates, as the results of the survey are within the limit of statistical error. This is confirmed by the fact that the 2 biggest absent duel in front of the cameras saw different results," says investigation Partner.
In support of this thesis, it points to a decrease in Slawomir Mentzen's quotes, which mostly covers the increase in Adrian Zandberg's quotations, on which it pointed out 2.0 pp. of more respondents than previously.
However, let us return to the duel of Trzaskowski with Nawrock. A duel, due to the fact that the poll indicates that the function of the another candidates will be alternatively small.
The difference between the most crucial candidates in the upcoming elections is already 12.1 pp. today, but their results disagree only somewhat from the survey from the end of March (Trzaskowski loses 0.7 pp. and Nawrocki gains 0.5 pp.).
A somewhat worse consequence compared to the erstwhile test wave was noted by Sławomir Mentzen, whose score is weaker by 1.2 p.p. Among the another candidates, Simon Hołownia enjoys the highest acceptance, which was indicated by 6.7 percent of respondents (an increase of 1.1 percent).
As investigation Partner writes in the study's description, its results show that conducting a presidential debate in front of millions of viewers in this phase of the run is not of much importance.
However, the workshop notes a very interesting fact. In the 18-24 age group, cards seem to be handed out to Sławomir Mentzen, who would support 34.3 percent of the youngest electors, and Adrian Zandberg with 21.8 percent support.
"The fight for this group of voters is besides visible – 3 weeks ago Sławomir Mentzen supported 38% of people from this age group, and Adrian Zandberg only 9.3%. Taking into account the fresh unfortunate statements made by the Confederate candidate regarding the remuneration for studies and the relation to abortion issues, it is crucial to think that these factors may have partially affected the attitudes of the youngest voters," we read in the study's report.
Researchers add that it is not the youngest but the oldest group of voters (over 55 years of age) to decide on the result of the election due to the fact that it is simply the most numerous. In this group of voters, Sławomir Mentzen gained a fresh crowd of supporters in February, and she was mostly liable for the crucial leap of support that had stabilised in the following period.
"And in this peculiar group of K. Nawrocki voters – as it seems – much better is managed by the right-wing electorate (28.7 percent of respondents). However, in this key group of voters too, it is lower than for the PiS supporting it," we read.
