photo. confederation.pl/The latest United Surveys poll for Virtual Poland bad signal for the ruling coalition headed by Donald Tuski. Despite the reconstruction of the government, the Civic Coalition loses support, and the real slaughter takes place among the smaller parties and coalitions KO – the organization Together, Poland 2050 and even the Polish People's organization would not enter the Sejm. The crisis benefits the Law and Justice and the Confederation, which, if elections were held next Sunday, would be able to take control of the Sejm.
According to the results of the latest survey of United Surveys for Virtual Poland, if elections were held next Sunday, they would be won by the Law and Justice with 28.3 percent of support. The second place included the Civic Coalition, for which 25.8% of respondents would like to vote. With respect to the last United Surveys KO poll loses 2.4 percent points, which means doubling the advantage of the PiS over the largest rival.
The biggest increase in support of all parties was noted by the Confederation – 4.9 percent points. The right-wing coalition wants to vote 17.4% of respondents.
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It somewhat loses the Left, which would enter the Sejm with a score of 6.7 percent after losing 0.1 percent points compared to the last polling survey.
The last crucial place was the “second Confederation” – the Confederation of the Polish Crown Grzegorz Braun, which reached 5.4 percent of the support (+1.2 percent points).
Other parties included in the poll shall not exceed the electoral threshold. Among them are: Poland 2050 with a score of 4.1% (+1.3 percent points), PSL with support of 3.7% (+0.2 percent) and the full Party, for which voting declares 3.6% (+0.6 percent points) of respondents.
The percent of the undecided, most of which, due to the top increase in support, were managed by the Confederation of Sławomir Mentzen and Krzysztof Bosak, fell to 5.1% (-4.6 percent points).
The reconstruction poll announces a disaster for the coalition on October 15. The Law and the Confederation would take control of the Sejm
The survey announces an earthquake in the lower chamber of the Polish parliament. By translating support into mandates, the most would be PiS (170) and KO (153), but the Tuska organization could no longer number on the support of most coalitions – PSL and Poland 2050, which would fall out of the Sejm.
The Confederacy would control as many as 96 mandates, and the organization by Grzegorz Braun – more than it presently has in the Sejm of the Confederation of Mentzen and Bosak (11 mandates), or 16 seats in the parliamentary benches.
The left would have 25 MPs.
A organization survey was conducted by United Surveys by IBRiS for Virtual Poland by CATI / CAWI method on 25-27 July 2025 on a example N=1000.
Source: Virtual Poland / United Surveys
