CNN writer Nick Paton Walsh in the latest text analyzed the situation related to possible end of war in Ukraine. He considered, among others, the fresh peace talks, Russia's attack on Sumy (it killed dozens of civilians – ed.) and the consequence of US president Donald Trump.
He assessed that Vladimir Putin “plays on time”. “It considers Trump to be easy to distract and He is curious in an easy win, but not a comprehensive compromise. Putin besides believes that This summer, he can win a full triumph on the front lines."which will change the dynamics of the talks," we read.
Escalation of the Russian offensive. “This will be a very hard summer”
At the same time there are concerns that Russia is gathering forces and resources for May to “raise the spring offensive, which, according to Ukrainian officials, has already begun".
CNN recalls that Kiev warned of insufficient ammunition resources. "The fresh commitments of allies may not have prevented this inevitable crisis. It will be a very hard summertime for Ukraine" - stressed.
‘Moscow has invested everything in a war in which it simply cannot afford little than victory“ – assesses CNN.
Anxiety in Europe. 2 scenarios, “Putin knows he will not be punished”
Nick Paton Walsh indicates that European allies of Ukraine "are preparing with concern for 2 unpleasant, possible scenarios for the future".
In the first – with little probability – after the fall of Ukraine and NATO members, without the aid of the US, will be liable for stopping Russia.
The second – “more feasible and more so” – takes into account the French and British presidencies in preparation for the creation of a ‘peace force’ to defend after the ceasefire. The sound associated with this plan is to have 2 benefits – allowing Ukraine to carry out diplomatic activities and partially pay attention to Moscow's opposition to peaceful implementation.
Walsh estimates that today Putin "is increasingly little inclined to partial ceasefire due to the fact that he considers Trump powerless and knows he will not be punished for refusing".
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