Many people in private talks, as well as many commentators in published analyses, inactive wonder what the causes of the failure of the United Right in the parliamentary elections on October 15th. surely the origin was not shortcomings or controversy in the right-wing election program, as evidenced by the fact that the full opposition had not proposed any program at all, and nevertheless won the election. In this sense, 1 can agree with the opinion that these were not elections, but plebiscites. Plebiscite who's for PiS and who's against. In a vulgar version of the plebiscite, who is behind the slogan of 8 stars and who is against. The question is, then, why did the opposition win this plebiscite?
Since it was a plebiscite and not an election, it was not substantive and tactical. And in both these issues, method and tactical, the full opposition made all effort to turn this plebiscite to its side at all costs. The incumbent right hand, either felt besides assured about its triumph or underestimated the peculiar dangers, forgetting that the sum of tiny losses could consequence in a large failure and origin of defeat. Let us so look at these small, seemingly insignificant, method and tactical issues.
Technical issues
2 months before the election, the long-awaited Central registry of Voters was yet created. He began to apply discreetly, without sound and media noise. possibly the reason for this was that the CRW introduced failed to solve 1 crucial case. He did not introduce the anticipation of controlling whether a voter collecting a certificate allowing a vote at any polling venue had committed a multiple-vote crime utilizing a copied, false certificate. However, specified a function, which is trivially simple from an IT point of view, would require all electoral commissions to be equipped with online computers connected to the Central registry of Voters. I heard a communicative about my grandson reporting to my grandpa that his parents, after voting at the polling station on their estate, went to another state to vote again. specified frauds were practically undetectable. This is evidenced by the fact that PKW knows from the electoral protocols how many votes were cast in the country for certificates, but does not know how many certificates were issued in the offices. So it is not possible to tell not only who cheated, but even what was the scale of specified fraud. So, alternatively of giving 4th graders laptops, was it not better to equip the election commissions with laptops? This would be a much better investment in the future of Poland and in the future of these fourth-graders.
The falsification of election results may besides have occurred in the evaluation and counting of votes in individual committees. Finally, this year there was a rule of collegiate assessment of whether the vote was valid and for whom it was devoted. However, the PKW has not developed rules for collegiate work of the members of the committee, leaving this invention of the members of the individual committees. The principles of collegiate work may even velocity up the committee's work, but the deficiency of these principles leads straight to an extension of work by up to a fewer hours. Unfortunately, this resulted in the opposition of many members of the committee (natural or fraudulent) to a collegiate and so transparent assessment of the votes. Many committees counted votes in subgroups, which could origin abuse or even simple human mistakes. More broadly, the members of the electoral committees were not decently trained and prepared to execute the tasks assigned to them. Most of the electoral commissions were under force from those committee members who asked illegal questions about whether to issue all the electoral cards, including a referendum ballot. This was a public form of agitation in the polling station, breaking the silence of the election and clearly referred not only to the referendum, but also, and possibly even, above all, to the parliamentary elections.
Another, possibly the most crucial method issue that affected the result of the elections was the alleged electoral tourism. fewer people know that the method of dividing D'Hondt's seats in Poland is applied at the level of individual constituencies. This in practice causes our voice to have different strength, depending on where it will be given. If respective / respective 1000 voters from a large city like Warsaw give their votes in a territory where support for both sides of the political scene is akin (this is from the American alleged "Swing States), this effect is that these votes will contribute to more mandates by a political option supported by this kind of election tourism. It is hard to prevent specified phenomena, but it is besides equally hard to usage them effectively for any option. Before this year's election, however, a peculiar computer program was available on the Internet, supposedly written by programmers of 1 of the world's IT giants, which the program calculated on the basis of complex algorithms created for the purposes of the Polish elections, where a given voter should go and give his voice in order to contribute to gaining respective additional mandates for the full opposition. Analysts estimation that in this way the full opposition took the United Right about 5 tickets. Organized "election tourism" controlled by peculiar software developed by abroad specialists exhausts the signs of unauthorised abroad interference in Polish elections and should be a adequate reason for the ultimate Court to cancel them.
Tactical issues
The full opposition supported by the street and abroad has ensured all item to win this plebiscite. In addition to method issues, tactical issues were professionally played. The first was to issue in the election a separate list of the alleged "Third Way". Right-wing politicians and sympathetic media did not decently admit the threat and launched an erroneous, counter-effective narrative. It was exulted that the full opposition could not agree with each another and was incapable to make 1 common electoral list. Meanwhile, it was a conscious tactical procedure so that part of the anti-script electorate affected by Tusk, or even affected by the full Civic Platform, could vote for another, new, uncontaminated group. I suppose, as part of this tactical procedure, Donald Tusk, during a debate on public television, allowed himself to be a complete idiot to further legitimize Holovnia as an intelligent, efficient, promising politician. And that worked out completely. The platform retained its iron electorate at the level of the fresh election, and voters of the 3rd Way voted for Holovnia and Kosiniak- Kamisha did not realize that they were faithful soldiers of Tusk. More faithful than any prominent associate of the Platform.
The second tactical issue was to break the votes of the right-wing electorate, preferably in specified a way that any of the votes were wasted by giving them to a group that would not exceed the electoral threshold. This was served by the registration of the new, niche PJJ organization by Rafał Piech. In this case too, the politicians of the United Right did not see the seriousness of the situation and the scale of the threat. So they felt that the best solution would be to stay silent. Public tv presenting the polls simply indicated that they did not include the PJJ party. another media favoring the government have even avoided the issue. Only now, 2 months after the election, the president of the company issuing the portal Niezalezna.pl, editor Tomasz Sakiewicz stated that "The political situation in Poland was determined by the party, which has 1.5 percent of the vote, did not get in, almost no 1 noticed it - Poland Is One. The fact that an ultra-Catholic organization will lead to abortion liberalisation is simply a deficiency of common senseIt’s okay. ” But the question is, did barely anyone truly announcement it, or did no 1 want to announcement it? After all, all media published the results of the primaries in Wieruszów, and while the thought of these primaries itself can be approached with reserve, these results showed a black-and-white mechanics which later repeated in the actual elections. PJJ's organization did not exceed the election threshold in Wieruszów with 4% of support, but it was these 4% that made the PO out of 34% overtake the PiS, which gained 32%. It was a informing that should trigger the reaction of the right side of the political scene.
And the only answer was the continued silence of both right-wing politicians and the right-wing journalists. As with the Niezealezna.pl portal, the weekly "Network" before the elections did not announcement the problem of PJJ. Only over a period after the election, the 48th issue of the weekly issue of late November published an article by Maciej Walaszczyk, in which the author states that "Poland is 1 Rafał Piech for the United Right turned out to be deadly". Could this truly not have been predicted before and effectively countered? The article recalls Piech’s electoral slogan: “Take sides with the fact and the fact will set you free”. Those who sided with Piech, who voted for PJJ, were not liberated but sentenced to slavery. They not only sentenced themselves to slavery, they sentenced us, they sentenced Poland to slavery of anti-democratic, anti-Christian and anti-Polish governments. Analysts estimation that these 360 1000 votes cast on PJJ translate into about 14 mandates lost by the United Right to the full opposition under the leadership of Donald Tusk.
The ecclesiastical statements of Piech and PJJ sympathizers were known in the Catholic community. The author of the article on the Web recalls the statements of Wojciech Sumliński, who spoke about Piech “as a man of providence sent down by GodIt’s okay. ” It besides recalls the message of the financial typical of Sylwia Pawełczak, who said that "God uses the infantry as a toolIt’s okay. ” Piech himself referred to his presidency in Siemianowice Śląski, recalled parent of God, saying: “She's the city manager, she manages it.It’s okay. ” Maciej Walaszczyk besides cites little known information about Piech. It recalls that Rafał Piech, so frequently speaking about "cleanness in politics" participated "in a network of city presidents, mainly from the PO and Left, who each sat on the supervisory boards of municipal companiesIt’s okay. ” As the author of this article, Rafał Piech earned tens of thousands of zlotys. I would add that akin functions in local companies in advanced Silesia were besides performed by Joanna Piech, Rafał's wife. But the most interesting information mentioned by the editor Maciej Walaszczyk is that Rafał Piech was a associate of the supervisory board of the Regional improvement Agency in Czestochowa. In the conclusion of the article, the author states that Piech “He was given the position thanks to the left-wing president Częstochowa Krzysztof Matyjaszczyk. Did Our woman have her hands in the function of manager?“
To full realize the importance and seriousness of this information and specified a punchline of this article, I will remind you that Krzysztof Matyjaszczyk spoke moving for president Częstochowa: “I want to break the stereotype in reasoning of Czestochowa as a pilgrimage centerIt’s okay. ” The motto of his run was “Rise from the knees of CzestochowaIt’s okay. ” 1 of the first resolutions was an effort to introduce "wash from pilgrims and tourists who stay in the city longer than 24 hoursIt’s okay. ” Alderman Częstochowa was the first in Poland to enact in vitro funding, which was not deluded by the authoritative website of the Office: "It's a groundbreaking decision. And what is significant, the decision that was made in the city mainly associated with Jasna Góra and thousands of Catholic pilgrimsIt’s okay. ” president Krzysztof Matyjaszczyk himself admitted that this decision was “One of the battles in the Cold War with Jasna GóraIt’s okay. ” The decision of the Aldermans of Częstochowa Archbishop Wacław Depo called it “an infamous priority.” And these were prophetic words in the context of what is presently happening in Poland.
all Catholic who voted in the final election for the PJJ organization Rafal Piech must answer the question, does he truly believe that Our woman has persuaded Pich to cooperate with people fighting her Sanctuary on Jasna Góra? Did Our woman truly persuade Piech to break the right-wing electorate, resulting in the systematic fight against Catholicism, Polish patriotism and Polish Independence? Does he truly inactive believe that?
With such, briefly described actions, the full opposition won this eight-star plebiscite.
Mr Bogdan
P.S. Math: Right got 194 tickets lost on electoral tourism 5, lost due to Piech 14 - that gives a full 213 mandates + 18 the mandates of the Confederation = 231
Would the Confederacy form a government with PiS? most likely not. But a coalition of 8 stars with 229 neither would the government make and Tusk would not be Prime Minister.
