According to Minister Francken, the most susceptible to Moscow's activities are the states with a large Russian minority, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. Russia's attack on 1 or more NATO associate states is improbable due to the fact that Kremlin troops know they'll lose. A more likely script is in which Russia uses the tactics of ‘to emergence up’ a Russian-speaking minority, followed by ‘to defend’ the country.
Minister Francken stressed that Russia's approach would be much more sophisticated. They can occupy the city, for example in Estonia, and then say: “We must defend the Russians here. This town is ours. This is Russia." More and more European politicians are informing against Russia's attack on NATO. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte pointed out China's worrying function in the possible attack on NATO states.
If China's leader Xi Jinping wants to take Taiwan, he will call Russia's leader Vladimir Putin to attack NATO territory and thus divert attention from Beijing's activities. Rutte said that "let's not be naive about this: if Xi Jinping attacked Taiwan, he would first call his younger partner in everything, Vladimir Vladimir Putin, surviving in Moscow, and say to him, 'Hey, I'm going to do it and I request you to take them in Europe, attacking NATO territory'."
According to NATO, Russia spent about $65 billion on the military in 2022, accounting for about 3.5% of its GDP. The United States spent about $721 billion on the military, which represents about 3.2% of their GDP. Europe besides increases military spending, for example Germany plans to increase military spending to 2% of GDP by 2030.
It is worth noting that Russia has increased its military presence in the Baltic Sea region since 2014, which is simply a challenge to safety in the region. According to Think Tank RAND Corporation, Russia has about 300,000 troops stationed in the Baltic Sea region, which accounts for about 20% of its full army.
Russia is besides expanding its military presence in the Arctic region, a challenge for safety in the region. According to the Arctic investigation Institute, Russia has about 40,000 soldiers stationed in the Arctic region, making up about 10% of its full army.
Finally, it is worth noting that Russia is besides expanding its military presence in the mediate East region, which is simply a challenge to safety in the region. According to Think Tank Carnegie Endowment for global Peace, Russia has about 10,000 troops stationed in the mediate East region, which accounts for about 2% of its full army.
The conclusions of this data are clear: Russia is expanding its military presence in regions that are crucial to the safety of Europe and the world. NATO and another global organisations should be aware of these challenges and prepare for possible attacks by Russia.