The Citizens' Coalition maintains its lead in the latest poll, but it is the Confederacy that is gaining popularity at amazingly fast pace. Law and Justice loses support, especially among younger voters, and election turnout increases.
In the latest opinion24 poll for RMF FM, the Civic Coalition powerfully leads with a consequence of 34% of support. Right behind it is the Law and Justice with 26.3%. However, it surprises the 3rd place that the Confederacy won with a score of 21.4%. The party, which has been gaining popularity for respective months, is on the heels of the ruling formation. In turn, election turnout is increasing, and more and more Poles declare their willingness to participate in parliamentary elections.
Confederacy in Invasion
The Confederation, whose support is increasing rapidly, has achieved an awesome increase of over 7 percent points since December 2024. Her success is peculiarly visible among younger voters. As many as 54% of those aged 18-29 declared support for this party, a immense increase compared to erstwhile months.
PiS loses young voters
At the same time, the Law and Justice face the problem of losing support among younger voters. Only 0% of those aged 18-29 declared voting for the Law and Justice, while only a period ago it was supported by 11% in this age group. This trend is besides evident among men, where support fell from 28% to 24% in the last month.
Increase in electoral attendance
Electoral attendance is besides gaining momentum. presently 60% of Poles declared their willingness to participate in the upcoming elections. It is worth noting that women who have been little electorally active so far are increasingly engaged in approaching men in terms of voting. In addition, the highest attendance is expected in medium-sized cities (100-500 000 inhabitants), where it will amount to 68%.
Election flows and changes in electorates
The Citizens' Coalition maintains unchangeable support among its constituents, gaining 81% of those who voted for it in 2023. In turn, the PiS loses support, especially among its conventional supporters. 71% of the PiS electorate from erstwhile elections continues to support this party, which represents a decrease of 13 percent points since January. In turn, the Confederation is gaining popularity, especially among those who voted for the Law and Justice in 2023.
Source: RMF24
