Comment: Attack on Belgorod

Today in the morning (May 22, 2023) units of the Russian Volunteer Corps and the Russian Legion entered the area of the region of the Belarusian Russian Federation.

The attack occurred after artillery preparation. The recordings depict a tank, chopper and armored vehicles in use. Kiev refuses to participate in the full event saying that it was only the “free Russians” who decided to free their homeland from Putin's regime.

On the another hand, the cremaries themselves are mistaken in testimony. They clearly deficiency a coherent narrative. First the event was denied, then only clashes at the border with diversion groups were reported, which were successfully rejected. This was contradicted by further reports and recordings of the inhabitants of the circuit showing the advancement of anti-putinian troops.

After a fewer hours in the Kremlin, the line was changed and it was found that everything is part of a peculiar operation that aims to ellipse and strike out “terrorists”. The fact is that RKO attacked respective border locations (at least three) by dividing into groups. possibly 1 of them was broken up as the milbloggers wanted, or possibly they were just trying. The struggles are surely heavier than before in the Briansk region, and their consequence – the victims on both sides.

Milblogers believe it is simply a Ukrainian diversion to draw Russian forces from another parts of the front. Well, they're most likely right about that one. The Russians stay reactive to the Ukrainians. Recently, they were forced to decision forces from the north to Bachmut, in order to yet occupy the city (which was to happen on May 20), and now it turns out that they request troops to defend their own border.

Regardless of who says what, due to the fact that the Ukrainian side besides cares about causing panic (which has been successful, you can see from the residents standing in traffic jams on the exit roads), the fact is that the Russian Federation has lost control of part of its territory. Free Russians dug into positions in the villages of Kozinka and Glotowo. possibly they besides occupied the six thousandth Grajvoron town. And in any case, they fought in it, captured the police station and blew up the bridge.

The terrain is good to defend due to the fact that artillery inactive stands behind its back (outside) and all directions are separated by watercourses. Whether the defence will proceed or model the operation carried out at the beginning of this year in the Bryan RKO will retreat troops after the task has been completed, of course we do not know that. 1 of the expected results is for certain to draw Russian forces into the game and then exploit the full situation narratively and propagandaally.

The RKO forces active in the operation are expected to number about the equivalent of a battalion plus a company of tanks (such information appeared on ros. telegrams). Since everything is inactive wrapped up with “a fog of war” it is yet hard to find the scale of the measures involved, but doubtful would be active more than a fewer 100 soldiers and “a little” heavier equipment (a few-several wheel transporters and respective tanks).

The Russian Federation has introduced a “anti-terrorism operation” government in the territory of the region of Bielgorod, and has transferred urgent chopper landings and police forces.

All specified actions, which will surely be more, are, in my opinion, part of the already ongoing counteroffensive. These are not to any degree the main impacts, but only auxiliary operations aimed at further confusing the opponent, stretching his lines, introducing panic in society and obstructing the logistics in the back (Bielgorod region is part of the supply corridor from Belarus and western Russia).

What happens erstwhile the situation in Belgorod is inactive not explained and a akin operation begins in the Kursk and Brian regions? What if at the same time the Ukrainian forces attack the flanks of Bachmut, attempting to environment the city? The Russian quilt is besides short and command must choose which of these directions poses a real threat, and where these are only appearances.

More about today's events, as well as the wider context of the counteroffensive, I said in the latest video on YouTube, to which I cordially invitation you. This is simply a fresh “hot” comment formula. If you like it, I'll effort to evidence this kind of stuff more often.