Another massive Russian air attack on Kiev. 1217th Day of War

osw.waw.pl 1 week ago
Zdjęcie: Kolejny zmasowany rosyjski atak powietrzny na Kijów. 1217. dzień wojny


Analysis

Another massive Russian air attack on Kiev. 1217th Day of War

Andrzej Wilk
Piotr Żochowski
Source
President.gov.ua

Russian forces proceed to attack in respective directions in Donbasa, but their field advancement on either of them did not change the military situation. The invaders have been controlled by another towns between Pokrowski and Welyka Nowosilka, where they crossed the Mokri Jały River and decision west on both sides of the Donetsk–Zaporzeże route. The struggles for defence of access to Constantinówka from the south-west of Jabłuniwka and Oleksandro-Kałynowe are ongoing, as well as Bila Hora and Stupoczky lying east of it. The agressor besides moved northeast of Siewiersk, where he reached Serebrianka located 4 km from this town, and north of Lyman, where he crossed the boundaries of the Donetsk and Kharkiv circuits. According to any sources, he besides occupied Hrekiwka – the penultimate village controlled by defenders in the Lugansk Oblast.

Intensity of Russian attacks in border areas of the Sumic region decreased significantly – informed the State Border Service of Ukraine. The next village north of Sum – Nowomykołajiwka – passed under the control of the invaders – but according to the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, General Alexander of Syria, the defenders recovered another from the previously occupied village – Andrijiwka.

On 23 June, the aggressor carried out another massive attack on Kiev and the Kiev region during the week. As was the case on June 17, 1 of the missiles struck a residential block, killing 9 and injuring 25 people (at least 28 people were injured in the city). The attack damaged respective twelve objects in 5 areas of the city. Hits were noted in industrial facilities (including Antonov plants) and Kiev University of Technology. According to any sources, 1 of the main targets of the strike was again the airport of Żulany, where the defending Patriot systems stationed. According to the Ukrainian Air Force Command (DSP), invaders utilized 16 rockets and 352 drones, from which 12 and 146 were shot down, respectively. Another 193 unmanned and 3 ballistic missiles were to be lost locally without negative consequences.

On June 20, there was a mass impact of drones on Odessa. 10 hits were reported, resulting in extended fires. 1 individual was killed and 14 wounded. A day later, the city again became the mark of the attack. Hostile drones besides hit the industrial infrastructure in Kramatorsk (18, 21 and 24 June; on 22 June the projectiles from the Death Missiles, Zaporoż (18 June), Kharkiv (19, 20, 21 and 24 June) and Sumach (20 and 21 June) fell on the town and the refinery in Krzemieńczuk (21 June). The mark of the aggressor rockets in turn was Ochaków (June 22,), Białogrod on the Dniester (23 June), in which 2 people were killed and 14 were injured, as well as Dniepr and Pavlohrad (24 June). On 22 June, the Iskander-M rocket struck another Ukrainian field close the village of Davydiw Brid in the Kherson Oblast. The General Staff reported the death of 3 and the injury of 14 soldiers.

According to Ukrainian data from the evening of June 17 to the morning of June 24, the Russians utilized a full of 1016 impact drones and their atrap and at least 53 rockets. The defenders declared to shoot down 453 drones and 19 rockets (second of those listed in the area of Kiev and Siliconchuk). A further 432 unmanned and six rockets (also in the vicinity of Kiev and Krzemieńczuk) were to be locused, which in this item the DSP has shown since mid-June (previously, information about missiles that did not hit targets was periodically reported).

According to the Ukrainian General Staff, on 23 June the Ukrainians hit the fuel base of the “Atlas” combination in the Rostov region. So far there's no confirmation of this attack from any another sources. Details of the operation are not given. There have besides been no reports of drone strikes in the combo area before, which does not preclude peculiar operations. Another Ukrainian attacks with unmanned drones in FR territory (the mark was, among others, the Voronezh refinery) did not produce crucial results.

Norway has committed EUR 580 million to military support for Kiev within the maritime coalition, and plans to allocate an additional EUR 350 million to buy arms for the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the producers there. Additional assistance will go to the army in 2026, as notified on 22 June by the head of the Defence Ministry of Norway Tore O. Sandvik. The agreement on the joint improvement and manufacture of submarines in Ukraine utilizing Norwegian technology was signed by the largest Norwegian maker of arms Kongsberg Defence & Aerospace with Ukrainian companies. In addition, Oslo intends to invest in joint air defence projects. It besides plans to deliver further NASAMS systems along with missiles capable of shooting down ballistic missiles.

Canada announced a fresh military support package for Kiev worth $1.5 billion. As Prime Minister Mark Carney stated on June 17, it will include helicopters, ammunition and drones. The preparation of the 29th €143 million support package was announced by the Ministry of Defence of Finland on 23 June.

NATO classified information on military aid to Ukraine – stated on 18 June after gathering with president Volodymyr Zelenski Secretary-General of the Mark Rutte Alliance. Given the fresh announcements of support from Norway and Finland, this declaration is likely to only concern NATO projects and will not include bilateral cooperation with Ukraine of individual members of the Alliance.

During his stay in Pjongjangu on 17 June, Secretary of the safety Council of the FR Sergei Szojgu revealed that the leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un decided to send 1,000 bomb squads and 5,000 military construction workers to Russia ‘to rebuild infrastructure in the Kurdish Oblast destroyed by war’. The Shoigu has already visited the DPRK for the 3rd time in the last 3 months. The decision of the authorities may mean that the North Korean military contingent will be de facto maintained there under the pretext of aid for reconstruction.

On June 21, Ukrainian military intelligence (HUR) reported that Russia presently has over 1950 rocket types including: up to 500 Iskander-M (9M723) ballistic missiles, 300 Iskander-K (9M728/97M729) maneuvering missiles, 260 Ch-101 maneuvering missiles, 280 Ch-22/Ch-32 maneuvering missiles, over 400 Calibr (3M-14 maneuvering missiles), 150 Kindzaz (Ch-47M2) hypersonic missiles, and 60 North Korean KN-23 ballistic missiles. These figures disagree somewhat from the Ukrainian media referring to HUR at the beginning of June (the biggest disproportions concern Iskander-M missiles, which the enemy had as if by 100 more, and Kindzarz – by 50 less). On a monthly basis, up to 195 fresh rockets will be created in the FR. Most – after 60 – types of Iskander-M and Ch-101. Russia present has over 6,000 Shahed-136 (Geran-2) and Harpia-A1 drones and more than 6,000 Atrap drones (Gerbera). The current production rate is up to 170 unmanned both types per day, and by the end of the year it is planned to be increased to 190 per day.

HUR stresses that the aggressor increased its production capacity by 10–20% but did not indicate the period to which it refers. erstwhile Ukrainian data on hostile stocks and the production of rockets from spring 2024 are residual and do not cover all types of missiles. akin to the present comprehensive summary of HUR presented for the last time in the spring of 2023 and since then the monthly production of maneuvering missiles has doubled (the Calibr kind – to a lesser extent) and ballistic missiles – even 10 times (in the case of the Iskander-M kind from 5 to 60 and Kindzarz – from 2 to 15).

The data provided by HUR should be considered as a determinant of Ukraine's current information policy. They do not gotta present the real possible and capacity of Russia. During the period of massive rocket strikes in Ukrainian energy infrastructure at the turn of 2022 and 2023. Kiev tried primarily to calm its own public opinion – and this was mainly what was meant by reports of the enemy's exhaustion of rocket supplies and the inability to replenish them. Today, HUR's message seems mostly aimed at the West and is intended to accentuate the increasing threat from the FR besides to NATO states. It besides supports president Zelenski's efforts to get further Patriot systems, which have proven to be the most effective in combating enemy missiles.

On June 22, the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Syrian general assessed the Russian forces in the occupied areas at 695 1000 soldiers.. These forces are to be composed of a non-participating operating reserve which he has not given. According to the Syrians, the enemy besides has a strategical reserve in its own territory of 13 divisions and a "certain number" of brigades and regiments, with a full population of 121,000 soldiers. The state of the FR Armed Forces is expected to increase by 8–9 1000 soldiers a month, and in 2024 they recruited 440 1000 people for contract service.

On June 19, president Zelenski appointed the fresh commander of General Hennadiy Swapow's Land Army. This post has been vacant since General Mikhail Drapaty took command of the Joint Armed Forces of Ukraine. He denied higher command education in the United States, and in fresh months he coordinated military support from the West (until February this year he held command over the Operations Command of the South). This allows us to presume that as the fresh Head of the Land Army will focus on their organization, training and equipment in cooperation with external partners, and that the full planning and conduct of operations will be taken over by General Drapatyj and the commander of the operational level at the front, as indicated earlier.

June 18 President of the ultimate Council of Ukraine Ruslan Stefanczuk stated that the Ukrainian parliament has no moral right to decide to demobilize soldiers without consulting the military authorities and that specified decisions must be preceded by an accurate analysis of their prospects and consequences. At the same time, he stressed the request to guarantee fair rules for rotation, leave and social support for soldiers and their families. He pointed out that Parliament had passed all the essential provisions in this area, but expected them to be implemented by the army and the highest military command.

Also June 18 Deputy Minister of Justice Yevhen Pikalov announced that more than 8.6 1000 convicts were mobilized or signed contracts with the Defence Forces of Ukraine. According to him, many military units are inactive recruiting from this group. An example are known and celebrated for the effectiveness of formations specified as the 1st Da Vinci Assault Battalion or the 225th Self-Storm Regiment. He added that more than a 1000 further inmates are presently being examined.

22 June The Syrian general reported that Ukraine now surpasses Russia in terms of the number of FPV drones utilized on the front. However, he pointed out that the enemy's weapons manufacture was expanding the production of unmanned workers. He besides pointed out the advantage of FR in the field of fibre optic drones – utilizing unmanned immune technology to the impact of radio-electronic combat systems. He admitted that the opponent had an advantage in terms of both their number and scope of applications – up to 40 km. According to Syrian Ukrainian fiber-optic drones have a scope of 20 km.

June 18 Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Mikhail Fedov stated that Ukraine is the mark of about 100,000 cyber attacks per month. He besides said,that Ministry of Digital Transformation It has implemented systems based on artificial intelligence that analyse users' behaviour on business computers. If an anomaly is detected, the strategy reacts immediately, thus identifying even viruses invisible to conventional antivirus programs. The Ukrainian cybersecurity marketplace is developing rapidly – according to the 2024 figures, its value was $138 million, a four-fold increase over 8 years.

19 June The abroad Intelligence Service of Ukraine reported that Russia is preparing to approve the updated National Policy Strategy, which assumes an intensification of rusification and propaganda in occupied territories Ukraine and another regions. According to the report, the paper emphasizes the dissemination of Russian language and culture as the foundation of the "national unity". Moscow plans that until 2036 until 95% The population in its subordinate areas will adopt "Russian identity". The 2 main directions of the strategy are the rusification of occupied territories, including confederate and east Ukraine, as well as Transnistria, Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and cultural expansion to Belarus, which is another long-term goal.

Updated by hr 11.30 Kiev time.

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