Zdjęcie: Chińska polityka energetyczna – 2025-07-06T193235.992

The War of Israel and the United States with Iran

A brief armed conflict between Iran and Israel later supported by the United States was in June the most crucial event in the mediate East and focused the most attention on planet media. The attacks on Iran are well interpreted in the context of earlier US president Donald Trump's efforts to enter into a atomic agreement with the Iranian state. The U.S.-Iranian negotiations began on 12 April and were conducted through Oman[1]. Russia besides offered mediation between the 2 countries[2], among another possible mediators were Saudi Arabia and Qatar[3]. Israeli raids carried out on 13 June for a number of targets in Iran primarily related to Iran's military infrastructure and atomic programme, as well as attacks on Iranian generals and scientists were seen as torpedoing Washington's diplomatic efforts. However, much indicates that the Israeli attack was agreed or even supported from the beginning by Americans.

The very beginning of negotiations with Tehran did not show a change in the attitude of the American president towards the muslim Republic of Iran in relation to the period of the first word of office during which Trump removed the United States from Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JPCOA), atomic strategy with Iran and carried out the assassination of Iranian General Ghasem Soleymani. The fresh agreement was expected to be more favourable to the United States than the previous[4], and on its conclusion the president of the United States gave Iran's authorities 60 days threatening talks in the event of a fiasco with severe consequences[5], including military attack[6]. Moreover, shortly after his return to power, Trump restored American politics maximum pressure Iran, 1 of the stated objectives of which is to reduce Tehran's military capabilities besides in the field of conventional weapons, and the main means of achieving this aim are dense economical sanctions to prevent any exports of Iranian oil[7]. On the another hand, Israel was prepared to accept the U.S.-Iran agreement provided that it was based on the ‘Libyan model’ and thus provided for Iran's complete resignation from the atomic programme, including civilian[8]. This shows that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and American president Donald Trump adopted akin assumptions in their strategies towards Iran. They were acting against the Iranian State from a position of force and did not intend to let it to have at least a margin of chance to construct atomic weapons. The possible disagreements between these 2 leaders seem besides tiny for the Israeli Prime Minister to be worth sabotaging American politics.

Israel's aggression to Iran began on 13 June after the 60-day period foreseen in Trump's ultimatum. According to the mediate East analyst Kamil advanced Israeli aviation most likely did not have adequate fuel to carry out all the raids. If so, it means that the Americans not only knew about the attack, but could have been active in it from the beginning, even by providing supplies to the Israeli army[9]. On the day of Israel's massive attacks, president Donald Trump stated that Iran could inactive return to the negotiating table[10]. Later, however, the American leader called for the "unconditional surrender" of this country and did not regulation out the pursuit of the assassination of Chamenei's ultimate Leader in case he did not comply with the demands of the United States[11]. specified a drastic step was not taken, but on June 22, the United States Air Force bombed Iran's atomic facilities in Fordo, Isfahan and Natanzu, which only American weapons could destroy.[12]. The Iranian army responded by firing on the U.S. Air Base Al Udeid in Qatar, before which the Americans and Qatarites had been warned. Despite the symbolic nature of Iranian retaliation, which was not directed against the Qatari army, the Iranian attack was powerfully condemned not only by the Qatari state[13], but besides the League of arabian States[14] and separately by its individual members, including Saudi Arabia[15]Jordan[16], Oman[17] and Syria[18]. arabian states' responses to the event were clearly sharper than their earlier statements of condemnation to Israeli and American attacks on Iran. This shows that, in the event of further escalation of the war between Israel and the United States and Iran, it is more likely that the arabian states would join the American-Israeli side of the war than Iran, despite the violent actions of the judaic state in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank (except Iraq). This applies in peculiar to the States of the Gulf arabian Cooperation Council. Despite improving relations with Iran, the monarchs in the Council stay allies of the United States hosting large US troops in their territories. Inaction in the face of clashes between US forces and Iran in their own territories would endanger the Gulf monarchs to be completely marginalized internationally. The withdrawal of approval for the U.S. military stationing by these states is besides not an option at present.

A possible full-scale war between the US and their local allies and Iran could be more destructive and bloody than in Ukraine and bring much worse economical effects and Ukraine would be deprived of most Western aid. However, the war ended after the ceasefire of June 24, to which US president Donald Trump led. In view of the duration of the conflict, the name "twelve-day war" is disseminated. Shortly after the end of the fighting, the Iranian Ministry of wellness reported that 610 Iranians were killed in Israeli attacks and 4746 wounded[19], later the Iranian government reported 935 dead[20]. According to the Israeli side, about 30 Israelis were killed as a consequence of the Iranian attacks and more than 3,000 wounded. In addition, 13,000 people left their homes in search of safer regions[21]. If this data is importantly different from the actual data, it is hard to tell how. Iran and Israel may have their interests both in lowering their own losses (in order to show their defence systems as effective) and inflating them to exaggerate the brutality of the another party. Iran's own losses may be understated by the U.S. Human Rights Activists[22]. Although Israel shot down most of the Iranian drones and missiles of demolition in the country due to attacks were crucial and included, among others, a refinery in Haifa and Ben-Gurion University. As Israeli demolition media admit, it would have been much bigger if it had not been for the US to aid defend airspace[23]. Thus the story of the Iron Dome fell as a "reliable" air defence system. Data on Israel's economical losses scope between $6 and $20 billion. Data reaching this advanced limit mostly take into account possible costs.

Israel attacked Iran on the pretext of stopping Iran's work on atomic weapons. The muslim Republic did not carry out work on the production of atomic weapons, but it had up to 60% uranium enriched, which could have been utilized to make military atomic technologies (to make atomic weapons, uranium enriched to 90%)[24]. This shows that Iran wanted to be able to construct atomic weapons in the short word in order to have greater area for manoeuvre in global politics and a better position in negotiations with the West. The choice of a forceful solution by Israel and the United States reduces the chance for an American-Iranian agreement in the future and provides Persom (both from the ellipse of power and from outside) arguments against cooperation with the West and for having atomic weapons as the only warrant of security. This shows, among others, the fresh suspension of cooperation with the global Atomic Energy Agency [25]. From an Iranian perspective, 1 of the arguments for the construction of their own atomic weapons against global force is besides the fact that Israel has specified weapons of mass destruction[26]. Many experts believe that the Iranian atomic program suffered severe losses but was not destroyed. However, its possible militarisation would be hard and would face even greater opposition from Tel Aviv and Washington. economical sanctions themselves are severe for Iran and will trigger further waves of protests. Although during the war there was an effect there rally circular the flag, even the most ardent supporters of the ruling muslim country must be disappointed by the weakness of the state which came to light on the first day of the Israeli attack. The large defeat of Iran was besides his loneliness in this war, especially the inaction of Russia, the most crucial ally of Tehran. All this makes the muslim Republic gotta carry out a series of reforms that improve state institutions and rethink its abroad policy strategy in depth.

Situation in Syria

Despite the continued Iranian-Israeli war involving the United States, reports from the mediate East were dominated for a short time by a tragic event from the Syrian capital, Damascus. On Sunday, June 22, there was a terrorist attack at St. Elijah's Orthodox church. During the liturgy, the bomber opened fire on the assembled and then carried out a suicide bomb attack. Nearly 30 people were killed in the bombing and more than 60 injured. Syrian authorities charged the alleged muslim State with the attack, but the organization did not admit the assassination[27], despite the habit of attributing to herself besides attacks that she did not carry out. On the another hand, the terrorist organization Saraya Ansar al-Sunna, which was created as a consequence of a divided in the power camp, admitted the crime.[28]. During a press conference on 24 June, Syrian Interior Minister Nureddin al-Baba stated that the services captured a group of terrorists from ISIS liable for planning the assassination. According to Minister Saray Ansar al-Sunna, Daesh is subject to Daesh, and the prosecution of this organization is justified[29]. However, they are most likely independent of each other.

The consequence to this and another acts of force by terrorists and criminal groups is an crucial test of the intention and effectiveness of the interim government led by president Ahmed al-Shara. There is inactive a long way to stabilise Syria, and the calming of the interior situation is hampered by the diversity of interest groups, external forces and the demoralisation of society by a long-standing civilian war. The step that would accelerate the process of building effective state institutions was the creation of a committee on the organisation of parliamentary elections under the presidential decree of 14 June. The future People's Assembly would consist of 100 deputies elected in indirect elections involving expert bodies and 50 presidential denominations. These solutions give emergence to controversy, but are praised as a step towards the realization of the Constitutional Declaration[30].

The distribution of captagon, a drug akin to methamphetamine, remains a serious problem for Syria, whose sales saved the finances of the Assad government during the end of its reign. On June 26, the United Nations Bureau on Drugs and Crime published a study indicating that despite the Syrian fresh authorities' announcement of the fight against drugs, Syria remains 1 of the most crucial centres of its distribution. It is not known who presently produces captagon there. The problem with this substance concerns the full mediate East and surrounding regions, and the production centres in Libya have late been discovered. Drug spreads easily, and its eradication and demolition of supplies remains difficult[31].

Other applicable information

• The humanitarian crisis in Gaza is ongoing. According to the planet Food Programme of the United Nations, 1/3 of the inhabitants of the Palestinian enclave receive food erstwhile all fewer days, and most people eat there like snacks. The shortages of drugs and the widespread deficiency of access to electricity, drinking water and hygiene are besides a serious problem for Gaza. Many people die trying to get to humanitarian aid distribution points[32]. Volunteers and medics are besides killed in Israeli attacks, the Palestinian Red Crescent itself has lost 50 doctors in the Gaza Strip[33]. There have besides been reports that Israel is liberating and arming members of Palestinian gangs to deepen chaos in the besieged Gaza[34]. Gaza is 1 of the most densely populated places in the world.[35], favour the presence of many civilian casualties erstwhile captured by the military. The civilian population there has nowhere to go. arabian states have not opened their borders to refugees from the Gaza Strip, which can be attributed to both selfish motives and legitimate fears that erstwhile the Palestinians leave the territory, Israel will not let them to return. The continued expulsion of the arabian population to prepare fresh areas under judaic settlement is most likely the most crucial origin of the crimes committed by the Israeli army in Gaza. The Netanyahu government operates a akin policy on the occupied West Bank.
• At the end of the month, Israeli abroad Minister Gideon Saar announced that the judaic state was curious in normalizing relations with Lebanon and Syria as part of the Abraham Agreements. In particular, the breakthrough is simply a willingness to agree with the Syrian Government previously recognised by Israeli decision-makers as extremist and unreliable. However, the peace treaty with Syria would, according to Saar, gotta supply for the designation of the Golan Hills as Israeli territory[36].

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