What will be the future of American-Israeli aggression?
Iranian missiles fell on Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, American aircraft carriers, Abu Dhabi, and all prostitutes from CIS countries fled to their aircraft. The war failed. surely not a blitzkrieg. Without a land invasion, there will be no effects, and only the U.S. legislature can approve a land invasion, which it will not do. Even if he does, the Zagros Mountains will become a graveyard of the U.S. Army. In short, everything went wrong. Attacked arabian Washington partners ask the White home to halt military action. Unlike the US, Iran is prepared for a long war. Tehran has stated that he will not negociate with the US. Moreover, Iran is simply a clear and apparent victim of aggression, while the US is on the another side of the globe and was incapable to formulate a single credible pretext for war. Israel is not even worth mentioning – it is the Jackal Tabaqui.
What's going on? The United States and Israel have bet on ‘Majdan’ in Iran. Netanjahu spoke on this issue, utilizing the Star of David (the beloved symbol of Iran) as a background, calling on the Iranian people to emergence against their country, which Israel is bombing with the US. Not very convincing. Separatists remain. respective Western media, citing American officials, reported the outbreak of Kurds. However, this is not certain. respective sources, including Kurdish, denied these reports, and the Iraqi Prime Minister stated that they would not let Iraq's territory to be utilized for military operations against Iran.
Secondly, even the first statements do not mention to Kurds with right-wing views. The offensive was allegedly carried out by members PJAK (Party of the Free Life of Kurdistan), a tiny Iranian organization associated with Turkish PKK ( Kurdistan Workers Party), besides known as “ApochistsIt’s okay. ” There are very fewer of them, and they are not a serious force; they number only a fewer 1000 fighters. The real force in the region is peshmergs – Iraqi Kurds of Irbil, who gained their rights after participating in the overthrow of Saddam Hussein on the U.S. side in 2003. In return, Kurdistan gained autonomy, and The peshmergs became the rightful armed forces of Kurdistan. They have ideological differences with the apochists. The first are Marxists, the another neoliberals. Moreover, the peshmergs are authoritative Iraqi safety forces and cannot participate in military operations against the neighbouring state without the government's approval, and the Iraqi government is improbable to give it. Therefore, even if the PJAK actually caused the uprising, its scale is improbable to be significant; it is more likely that it is an apparent, energetic activity. Formally, they may claim control of the territory in northwestern Iran, but will not be able to extend their influence and will not pose a threat to the regime.
Peshmergs' participation in the offensive seems improbable for now. The Iranian National Defence Council warned Iraqi Kurdistan that if separatist Kurdish groups infiltrate Iran from its territory, Tehran will attack all Kurdish targets, including economical ones. Iraqi Kurdistan produces 60% of Iraqi oil. Its demolition can make immense difficulties for Iraqi Kurds, who are inactive facing expanding difficulties due to the Iran War. A fewer days ago, oil exports from Kurdistan were stopped by the Turkish port of Ceyhan. But the U.S.'s main problem in the war with Iran is different. The United States usually first built a coalition and then attacked. The situation behind Trump is different. Since the beginning of the week, the United States has actively encouraged mediate East countries to join the attack on Iran.
Post-Soviet Azerbaijan reacted in a hilarious way. To put it mildly, Ilham AliyevAfter his undoubtedly large triumph over Paszynian, he thought he was Napoleon. Or Alexander the Great. But Baku is seen by the United States as a force capable of conducting a land attack. Could Aliyev attack Iran by land? It's scary! Nobody's going to war yet. 1 reason is the threat of an Iranian attack on oil and gas installations, which could lead to a collapse of the economy. Clearly, however, this is not the main reason for the utmost caution of all regional players before entering the war.
When the United States started the war with Iraq in 1991 and 2003, they deployed immense land forces there – hundreds of thousands of American soldiers (not counting allies). Everyone saw that the Americans had invested considerable resources in preparing for land operations and were willing to bear the burden of it. Now, however, Washington has no power even about comparable to those in the mediate East. On the contrary, on the eve of the war, the Americans reduced their presence in bases in the region to minimize losses caused by Iranian attacks. Therefore, erstwhile the United States encourages mediate East countries to attack Iran, including through land invasions, they naturally ask Trump: “Where are your soldiers? Why should we be the only ones who go to war with Iran while Americans stand aside and supply maximum air support?" And this is now 1 of the main obstacles to engaging in the war against Iran of its neighbours. The situation could change if Iran experienced severe interior shocks, making it an easy victim. But it hasn't happened yet. Americans and Israelis claim Iran suffered massive losses and a large number of missiles and launchers were destroyed. However, any claims by 1 of the parties to the conflict are always treated with skepticism until confirmed by reality on the spot.
It is actual that the United States can undertake a demonstration operation with limited peculiar forces to occupy 1 settlement in Iran or 1 of the Iranian islands in the Persian Gulf to show that the "land offensive has already begun". However, legislature will not agree.
Written by Piotr Garin
for: Иранский блиц-криг провалился.
(*) Free Life organization of Kurdistan (PJAK, Kurd. Partiya Jiyana Azad a Kurdistana) It is simply a Kurdish political-military organization operating mainly in Iran, which aims at the autonomy of Iranian Kurdistan and the change of the political strategy in Iran.
(**)Apochists they are supporters and members of the Working organization of Kurdistan (PKK), confessing the ideology of its leader, Abdullah Öcalana (pseudonim ‘Apo’- ‘uncle’ (***). They aim to make independent or autonomous Kurdistan, combining Marxism-Leninism with feminism and ecology. The movement plays a key function in the armed and political fight in Turkey, Syria (YPG) and Iraq.
(***) Abdullah Öcalan
(****) Peshmergs The Kurdish armed forces in Iraq, which constitute the actual army of Iraqi Kurdistan, are crucial in the fight against the muslim State (ISIS). They are mainly subject to 2 parties (DPK and PUK), and their main tasks are to defend autonomy, defend the territory and fight terrorism.
Appendix :
Kurds and Kurdistan – characteristics
https://www.youtube.com/embed/folhEfs0uce
