Comment in Brief
- On 7 May 2023, the inauguration of Vladimir Putin's 5th word as president of the Russian Federation was held in the Kremlin, which is simply a consequence of the winning elections in which the current Russian president received 87% support.
- The ceremony was boycotted by most Western countries, including the USA and Poland. At the same time, as Radio Svoboda reported, representatives of France, Hungary, Slovakia, Malta and Cyprus attended the ceremony.
- In his speech, W. Putin did not regulation out dialog with the collective west, but only with a change in the EU and NATO policies towards Russia.
- The next six-year word is W. Putina poses further challenges not only to the West, but besides to the Russian Federation itself, which in the coming years will gotta face the question of succession of power, given the advanced age of the current president.
- President Putin's swearing-in ceremony took place in the shadow of a full-scale invasion that has been going on for 2 years, in which the Kremlin does not display signals to change Russia's attitude towards the ongoing conflict.
Vladimir Putin, starting his next word as president of the Russian Federation, becomes 1 of the longest reigning leaders in the past of Russian statehood. In 2030, and thus at the end of the current presidential word of W. Putin, if he continues to execute his duties, he will become the longest ruling leader in Russia's past since Catherine the large (1762–1796), surpassing among others Alexander II (1855–1881) or Joseph Stalin (1922–1953). At the same time, the 5th word brings a number of challenges to Russian statehood. In addition to abroad policy issues, the governing squad gathered around Putin will gotta face a number of interior policy challenges covering not only economical but besides social issues specified as the progressive demographic crisis.
Foreign policy
"We do not reject dialog with Western countries. The choice is: whether they intend to proceed trying to halt Russia's development, proceed the policy of aggression, the constant force they have put on our country for years, or search a way to cooperation and peace.”1]. With these words, W.Putin addressed the countries of the collective west during his inauguration. In it he addressed the global community with the assurance that Russia is willing to cooperate with another countries, while respecting Moscow's interests. The phrase "continuous force exerted on Russia by the West" is included in Moscow's narrative, that the actions carried out by the Kremlin internationally in fresh years have had a srticte defensive character, and the current war in Ukraine or the destabilisation of the global situation is solely liable for the West.
At the same time, after 24 February 2022, we see the progressive isolation of Moscow by the widely understood “world of the West”, a circumstantial symbol of which is the arrest warrant of W.Putin by the global Criminal Court in The Hague issued on 17 March 2023. The inauguration itself was besides boycotted by most EU and NATO countries, with France, Hungary, Slovakia, Malta, Cyprus and Greece breaking out of the boycott. Furthermore, any media communications suggested that Belgium had resigned at the last minute [2]. The presence of representatives of Hungary or Slovakia does not constitute novum in the context of Moscow's affirmative relations with Budapest and Bratislava, however, it may surprise the presence of the French delegation, especially in fresh tensions on the Paris-Moscow line[3] as well as the controversial Emanuel Macron proposal to send troops to Ukraine. At the same time, the very presence of EU and NATO diplomats is simply a signal indicating the existence of a dissonance in view of what further policy should look like towards the Russian Federation.
In the case of a abroad policy led by Russia, it can be assumed that the next word of office of W.Putin will not bring any change. We can so anticipate further declarations from the FR authorities against the West against threats sustained in a ton and of an openly confrontational nature.
At the same time, it is already known that the first abroad journey during the word Putin will take place in Beijing, where he will meet Xi Jinping, another component of the closer ties on the Moscow-Pekin line.
Internal policy
On 10 May this year, it was announced that Prime Minister positions in the fresh government of the Russian Federation would be maintained by the current Prime Minister- Mikhail Miszustin. For another ministries, too, there has been no major changes in staff, which I point out is that Putin has chosen to keep the course in external and interior policies by appointing proven colleagues. Nevertheless, the biggest question mark stood by the name of the Minister of Defence- Sergei Szojgu, due to the ongoing anti-corruption proceedings in his department, as well as a number of allegations directed towards him in connection with the course of the "specialization". Finally, on the night of 12 to 13 May, the Kremlin announced that Sergei Szojgu would leave the position of head of the MON, and his place would be taken by Andrei Bielousov. The Shoygu will take the place of Nikolai Patrushev as Secretary of the safety Council. There is inactive no further place of work of the earlier mentioned Patrushev, who for years was considered to be 1 of the most crucial figures in the Putinian strategy of power.
As regards the Kremlin's policy towards Russian society, no change is expected, and the ongoing militarisation of society in the spirit of confronting the West will proceed to be maintained. At the same time, Putin's squad is faced with a number of challenges related to the consequences of changing the economy to war modes or the progressive demographic crisis. Vladimir Putin's first decision after the inauguration was to sign the ‘May Decree’ (майский указ) on the setting of interior policy targets for the current word of office, specified as expanding the life expectancy of citizens (from 73 years to 78 in 2030), taking 4th place in the global GDP ranking (now fifth) or expanding the minimum wage to 35,000 rubles (now 19 462).
Bibliography
- M.Eckel, More Years For Putin. 5 Things To Watch For, Radio Free Europe, https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-putin-election-what-to-watch-for/32863511.html,
access 12.V.2024. - Putin Inaugurated In Ceremony Marked By Western Boycott, Radio Free Europe, Putin Inaugurated In Ceremony Marked By Western Boycott (rferl.org), access 11.V.2024
- The ‘menacing’ call with Russia that’s turning into a Diplomatic headache for France, Politico, The ‘menacing’ call with Russia that’s turning into a diplomatic headache for France – POLITICO, accessed 12.V.2024.
- Vladimir Putin has been court in as president of Russia, Kremlin.ru, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73981, access 12.V.2024.
- Путин подписал « майский майский. Вот он обещает Meuda, https://mediza-io.ceno.life/feature/2024/05/07/putin-signal-novyy-mayskiy-ukaz-vot-chto-on-obeschaet-rossiyanam-k-2030-godu, accessed 11.V.2024.
- У Мишустина будет десять Kommersant, https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6690167, accessed 11.V.2024.
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