How many of us are there

Filip Springer's 13th level cycle is simply a housing column where the author – an award-winning writer, reporter, photographer – faces a housing crisis in Poland (and not only). In Interia, it will describe how we live, on a micro and macro scale, and what can be done about it.

In early January, Minister for improvement and Technology Krzysztof Paszyk announced that the fresh government housing programme would be based on the "good" solutions of the earlier 2014-2018 Youth Apartments programme. It consisted of a one-off surcharge to the own contribution erstwhile purchasing the first flat for a mortgage. These "good" solutions contained in the MdM, according to Minister Paszyk, are, above all, pre-set price limits for the dwellings covered by the programme. This is allegedly to prevent price increases erstwhile government aid is launched. Is it preventing? Not really.

One of the sales office employees of a large developer told me that When the show was announced at her company, champagne traffic was fired.. It besides had a akin effect Safe Credit 2 percent.,or The last residential bust of government Mateusz Morawiecki. present we know that the program should be called the Developer 10%, due to the fact that by more or less, the prices of housing at the time increased.

It is besides known that, in addition to rising prices, the abruptly increased request for housing programs causes urban spillage and the creation of dysfunctional settlements in remote, unconnected suburbs where basic infrastructure is lacking. But this is not a large problem for developers, due to the fact that Government aid usually sells everything, even holes in the ground. Donald Tusk, going to the election, he had to promise something too, so he threw the debt password 0 percent.

The discipline of public finances and common sense seem to request that, before specified a programme is prepared, any basic questions be answered. Like this: How many apartments do we need, how many we request to build, and how many unused ones, for example? It would besides be helpful to know precisely what kind of housing we request most urgently, and where are they most missing? To find this, however, we request to know how many people live in Poland And how many apartments there are.

If you asked all these questions to Minister Pašik, you would find that He doesn't know the answers to them.. As a politician, he'd most likely respond there and someway get out of trouble. But whatever he said wouldn't have much to do with reality. And there is no responsibility in this ignorance of your minister. In Poland nobody truly knows the answers to these questions.

It's been said for years that we've been missing millions to 2 million homes in the country. Given that with good winds We build 200,000 apartments a year, the inaccuracy of this estimation means a five-year housing production. 5 years is simply a lot – more than 1 word of government.

This housing gap was calculated over the years so that the number of households was compared with the number of housing units available. European indicators have besides been helpful, according to which housing needs are met erstwhile 1 dwelling is per capita.

The problem is that we in Poland do not know how many people we have and how many chambers we have. According to various papers and data Polish population varies between 37 and 39 million people. 2 million differences in the country of this size – that's a lot. Divergences besides prevail at the level of the number of cities. According to the census Krakow lives somewhat below 800,000 inhabitants. However, data from mobile telephone operators indicate that This figure is at least 200 000 people higher.

And we are only talking about those whose phones log on regularly to the network besides at night, so they are not visitors from the surrounding municipalities, who are only learning or working in Krakow.

Stefan Batory Foundation and the Union of Polish Metropolitans Paul Adamovich They analysed the problem together.

In a study published in 2023, the organizations point to another amazing differences. For example, we do not know how many Poles and Poles left the country. The census showed 1.45 million temporary migrants, while data from the main mark countries indicate at least 1.9 million people with Polish citizenship residing there temporarily. Thus, half a million more Poles and Poles arrived in these countries than they left Poland.

The comparison of census data with the Educational Information strategy is besides curiosistic. Here. 167,000 children and adolescents aged 6-18 years lost somewhere. Carefully assuming that about 250 students are taught in 1 school, these 167,000 children translate into 668 schools. How many teachers, how many million educational subsidies?

For example, we do not know how many migrants and migrants live in Poland.. The National Census speaks of 111 1000 people, Eurostat of 9 100 thousand, the Social Insurance Institution of more than 1 million, and the government estimates this number to be 2 and a half million people.

These discrepancies make more. And they give birth to questions. How many apartments are truly missing in Poland, where to build them and in what model? According to estimates by Piotr Krochmal, an expert at the Institute of Analysis Real property marketplace Monitor, in Krakow alone stands empty about 50,000 apartments. These are locations purchased in fresh years from developers and kept as an investment.

Service podkeyk.pl has late shown that Median offer prices in Kraków have increased by 82% over the last 5 years. So all we had to do was buy an apartment, lock it up with 4 triggers and sale it after a fewer years. Even after the current maintenance costs are deducted, the investment gives a higher return than any investment.

Is there truly a deficiency of housing in Krakow? due to the fact that possibly we don't gotta build them, all we gotta do is put any reasonable taxation on those who stand empty?

The past of Polish housing programs is actually a communicative of constant failures and tensions and so many problems. possibly due to the fact that in order to come up with a sensible and comprehensive program, it must be based on reliable data. But we presently do not have these – so we will not have sensible housing solutions either.

Philip Springer