Hand: Has Russia already won the atomic war?

Further energy transformation towards renewable sources is to be covered by increased usage of atomic energy. This will besides guarantee greater independency of the energy systems of the energy consumer countries from the supply of energy natural materials – that is more or little the "good news" associated with the Russian-Ukrainian War, or alternatively a message explaining the motives for further maintenance of the energy marketplace by the capital circles.

It is besides the direction of the 3rd Polish energy policy, which, together with the demolition of the Polish coal industry, is to be based on atomic power plants (with the participation of American and South Korean capital), decoratively and at the direct request of the European Commission damaged by wind farms. The joke, however, is that it is not the United States, the European Union, or their allies that have a technological and natural material advantage in both those considered to be future energy sectors. There can inactive be no "clean" renewable energy without natural materials and components constructed in China, and in terms of both the quantity, value and pace of construction of fresh atomic reactors and the supply of fuel to them, the Russian Rosatom shows the top growth dynamics. So, erstwhile eliminating Russian gas, will the West (including Poland) become dependent on Russian uranium and Chinese neodymium, dysprosium and prazaodym?

It's the 3rd atomic power plant! In my promise...

As if to sweeten the conventional surrender of its government on the Windmill Act Mateusz Morawiecki Not just anywhere, due to the fact that in Davos, repeated to the leaders of the western economy declaration of construction of the 3rd atomic power plant in Poland. Or, to be strict, he made a 3rd promise about investments that have not yet been made... The Polish atomic Energy Programme foresees the creation of the first atomic block already in 2033 and the next 1 in the next decade. Decisions taken in November 2022 give control of the full venture into the hands of the American Westinghouse electrical Company LLC at the first phase of the Programme, including the construction of six reactors and worth at least $20 billion and South Korean Korea Hydro atomic Power (KHNP) with 3 more reactors. The 3rd partner has not yet been designated. However, the offer of Électricité de France, rejected earlier under clear Anglo-Saxon pressure, may return with projects the installation of tiny modular atomic reactors (SMR) technologies on the Polish market. However, no substance how curious governments and consortia share control over Polish energy, it is apparent that Poland and Poles will stay a subordinate position: consumers and... payers.

C vs. Crazy Greta

And this is inevitable to Renunciation of our natural energy, or coal, It is besides perfectly suitable for the substitution of imported natural gas, as well as for rebuilding our electricity power. Unfortunately, the authorities of the 3rd Republic of Poland yet closed this anticipation first wasting giant money for the construction of Ostrołęka C energy block (the celebrated "150 1000 PLN failure per hour") and then equally spectacularly destroying what had already been created, resulting in At least PLN 1.35 billion were drowned straight and the final effort to rationalise energy change in Poland was yet sunk. In this situation, all we have left to do is to observe from whom we will depend to the top degree and to observe this completely powerlessly, comparing the behaviour of the III Polish authorities with the German determination Police mediocre Greta Thunberg from the area of hysterical protest against expanding coal mining in 1 of the many villages of Rhine-North Westphalia.

Blowing up the German energy strategy, Energiewende, was clearly 1 of the main objectives of provoking the Russian-Ukrainian war – and nevertheless Berlin is trying to at least safeguard national economical interests, and so energy in particular. And to Poles... Not so much proposed to Poles, but it is straight imposed on the technology of terrestrial wind turbines, elsewhere massively displaced by large farms in coastal waters. Both led by the government of PiS nonsense Fight with windmills, as well as the very prestigious failure, however, it is only a shaman dance around the problem of our energy failure, a state to which subsequent governments have led Poland in accordance with the last 3 decades.

China’s Renewable Future

The future is not so bright and warm for Poles, that not only do we accept our own subordination and energy dependence, but we are besides subject to forces not dominant in global energy, but surely not exclusive to innovation, efficiency and technological or natural power. In the case of renewable energy (RE), this is mainly due to China's position, which, being the largest global energy consumer, is not a clear opposition to the departure from fossil fuels, which are almost deprived of their own needs. China's chance is their increasing importance as an exporter of uncommon natural materials (REE) utilized in the production of RE infrastructure. Analysts have for a long time pointed to the threat of REE supply shocks expected due to the expected increase in request over the next 25 years, including neodymium (used in the production of hybrid cars and any types of wind turbines – projected 7-percent increase) and dysproz (an increase of 2600 percent!). In turn, request for lithium utilized to produce battery cells would increase by up to 674% by 2030. Critics admit that not all components of even advanced RE technologies are actually so rare, and in addition, they happen in much more countries than crucial deposits of hydrocarbons, but their exploitation is linked to large and hard to accept environmental costs in core countries, and production in peripheral countries is subject to frequent disturbances, as in cobalt, utilized in battery cells and mined in the Democratic Republic of Congo. possible There is so a hazard of both foreclosure (lock-in) in REE-based technologies, as well as the threat of fresh attitudes and even hegemonic conflicts over resources.

Rosatom’s Power

While observing the current escalation of energy transformation processes under the pretext of the Russian-Ukrainian War, any analysts believe that we are besides witnessing the hot phase of the war between the atom (and the liquefied natural gas of LNG) and natural gas, of course under the decoration of renewable energy and with assurances of "transitional technologies". However, it points out that, like Qatar-American LNG, it cannot cover even Western European natural gas request (and thus liquid gas terminals besides accept supplies of natural material... Russian), likewise Russian atomic technology for many partners seems to be more attractive and advanced than American-British, and with unchangeable natural material facilities. It does not make much sense, therefore, given that of the 440 presently active atomic reactors as many as 80 are Russian production and/or VVER technology (including those operating in the Central European EU). More importantly, though, Of the 53 recently built reactors, 20 are Rosatom's investments, of which 17 outside Russia. As he pointed out ‘Le Monde’ – in addition to the Russians, only French and South Koreans (two reactors each) conduct specified abroad investments. Yeah, but in Poland, they're gonna practice investing like this in Americans...

Russian participation in atomic power is besides linked to fuel supplies. Although the Russian Federation is liable only for 8% of global uranium production, it is liable for 40% of its processing and 46% of ore enrichment. The Russians are the 3rd largest supplier of uranium to the European Union, with 20% marketplace share, but besides with crucial impact on transit and transport to Europe of ore from deposits in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. And for the sake of clarity – Rosatom sells 25 percent of the fuel utilized by 93 reactors operating on U.S. Navy units... It is so unusual that uranium, both in the form of ore and reworked and enriched, has not been subject to Western sanctions, and more than €210 million a year's supply of this natural material to the EU continues despite wartime rhetoric and with silent acceptance besides having no American exits.

Poland loses the energy war

Of course, the search for fresh deposits continues, Americans, from the already known Westinghouse, skillfully plagiarize Russian VVER technology thanks to the control of the Ukrainian energy system. However, the facts are that The choice of an atom alternatively of natural gas (when abandoning coal) puts us at the starting point of the energy dependency plus, of course, rising costs, losses on started and abandoned projects and natural waste and corruption for III of Poland. Whether the ongoing energy war is won by Russia, China, the alliance of these 2 countries, or the planet will be permanently divided into energy domains – We'll just pay: erstwhile for relinquishing its own assets, twice for voluntary adoption of a subordinate, client and peripheral position. 1 thing is certain: with political and economical leadership known for the last 3 decades, Poland will not only win this war, it will not even be on the side of the winners, but as usual it will be among the most experienced victims of the large conflict.

And as usual, at your request and at the applause of the reptiles.

Konrad Hand