Before 1 December

dorzeczy.pl 1 decade ago
Zdjęcie: Odkrycie kopernikańskie premiera


What about Poland? A akin question, Donald Tusk, in his first speech as the “president” of the European Union, dropped as “not interesting”.


In Brussels, what he said was more important. – I will polish my English – promised with seriousness the Prime Minister of the Polish Government, giving himself time to take office. He was kind of forced to make that statement. European journalists were clearly annoyed by his transition to Poland (in the presumption that, it seems, referring Tusk to Andrzej Wajda's Oscar speech). Indeed – Tusk contrasted powerfully with the Italian advanced Commissioner-elect, who in French and English spoke cliche about working for young people... And if, after 1 December in Brussels, English – due to the fact that it is most likely the individual maximum of Gdańszczanin – will be the most crucial issue there, what is most crucial in Warsaw is what will happen to this term. fresh ARRANGEMENT, BUT warrant FOR CONTINUATION In 3 months Polish politics will change more than in fresh years. Until now, there has been a doctrine from the memorable cover of the 2007 “Politics”: “Tusku, you must”. Then suddenly, on the penultimate August, it turned out that Donald Tusk could freely say "I have nothing to say". And wanting to go distant for years. At least for a fewer years. In his plan, after the end of his 2 2.5-year word in Europe, which is at the end of the last five-year word of president Bronisław Komorowski, he - then 62-year-old, decorated with European nymbs - will be able to apply for the American position of "guardian of the chandelier" (and who will remind him then?) The platform clearly loses its only male-alfa, although the "director" to usage platformer slang, of course it does not intend to play the cue. However, the control from the rear seat not only failed Marian Krzaklewski or Lech Wałęsa with his most powerful mandate in history, but even Aleksandr Kraśniewski with his facilities. They all had a large camera at their disposal, and most of all they were here in Poland, and did not gotta deal with the constant crushing of compromises in abroad languages with 27 countries and inactive any neighbours whose interests are inextricably contradictory. And it is hard not to admit the right of the influential president of PKN Orlen, erstwhile he and Paul Grasie were discussing the taking up of a advanced function in the Union by “the leader”: “However, you are going in a completely different orbit, separating yourself from all this, from all this crap (...), you are a large bear, separating yourself from this folklore, from this shit”, says Jacek Krawiec, immortalized on the tapes “Wprost”. Moreover, from many experiences of these Poles who went to gain in pounds or euro, it is known that long-distance relationships do not succeed. And it was this insolent contradiction of the situation – as the President's presently understandable half-words indicate – that it was the subject of a mysterious debate in Belvedere formally announced as a "refuse" about the situation in Ukraine. Bronisław Komorowski, Donald Tusk, Ewa Kopacz and Tomasz Siemoniak had to agree on the plan a fewer hours ago. We can be certain that Adam Michnik's 1989 thought was repeated there, talking about "a fresh arrangement, but guaranteeing continuity." THE ARRANGEMENT THAT GOES The crucial question is whether the president will stay criminally as part of the script outlined for him, or whether he will usage the chance to grow his domain. As shortly as Bronisław Komorowski shaved his mustache, so rapidly (thanks to the back) can halt being a political safandula. Just like erstwhile he appointed his closest and individual co-workers to KRRiTv without consulting with the ‘headman’, leaving the mother-party without being able to straight fill the ‘national council of this and that’, due to the fact that the remaining seats have already divided the SLD and the PSL (which the TVP antenna inactive proves to be effective). And this triangle could be a field to show off. Especially after accelerated parliamentary elections, and before presidential elections. Of course, the president can, which doesn't mean he will. due to the fact that for the function of the fuse (so the function of the president was designed inactive in the times of Gen. Jaruzelski), he will receive the essential support during the re-election. Nevertheless, what is to strengthen him present may be a burden tomorrow. And whether Bronisław Komorowski will gotta usage the immortal “I don't want to, but I have to” will find something different than his vision. The most crucial euphoric question “Platformo we are going”, written immediately after the nomination for Tusk by Robert Tyszkiewicz on Twitter, will indeed become - as Donald Tusk himself called it - “the arrangement that goes” (see “Between Us Liberals” by Paweł Piskorski). But there is simply a fundamental difference between the desire to decision and the fact. And without Donald Tusk, there's no clutch. And the Prime Minister himself will sooner than anyone seems to be able to push his clutch pedal to the ground, and he will easy disconnect his drive from a dense circuit with a immense superstructure that could weigh on him. DEGRADATION FOR PREMIERA If the Prime Minister renounces leadership in the organization – and this, in accordance with European customs almost completely predestined – will include it from the vending device and vice-president, Ewa Kopacz. This makeshifter, as declared by PO MPs, can proceed until the end of 2015. And that's where the stairs start. due to the fact that although formally the Marshal of the Sejm is the second individual in the state, so far - as Komorowski did erstwhile he served this function - she was active in the service of the Sejm's “freezer”, and boring briefings “at the present session of the Sejm, the procedure will be the government's bill of amendment...”. Her top asset – fanatical fidelity to Tusk – will most likely not change, but she will encounter many problems. Prosaic first. Although she will have a call to the European Union, the line may be busy. However, not long ago, erstwhile the CBA came to search Minister Burego's parliament area and it was essential to agree, the Marshal, upset Ewa Kopacz was grabbing the telephone and the agents were waiting for him to complete the "consultations". Worse, that erstwhile he calls, Donald Tusk, deprived of direct contacts with the services, with Igor Ostachowicz & Co., will be increasingly mistaken. And Kopacz, a doctor from Szydłowiec about the criminal soul of the c.-k. soldier, needs strict prescriptions and regular orders, not "management". This, above all, importantly reduces her chances of becoming Prime Minister. due to the fact that portals and evening editions of news programs always quote much more abundantly Prime Minister than talker of the Sejm, which is very merciful for them. In most situations with the impression of a quarrelsome baby, Ewa Kopacz could be an imageable defeat of the full formation. Furthermore, promotion from the second to the 3rd individual in the state (and these paradoxes of the Constitution, Kwasniewski's pen) would open up an additional field for the dart of the next Marshal of the Sejm, which erstwhile was utilized efficiently by Grzegorz Schetyna in this function. And while Schetyna has not had a chance to cover the agenda for the Kicker now, he has waited 5 long years for specified a game - since the gambling scandal. And possibly he has to tell everyone he has, due to the fact that there's nothing left to lose. Besides, it is better for Tusk to have the individual union of the head of the organization and government, whom the Prime Minister has followed over the years, ended up like another promises and rules. Personally careful Tusk won't have a problem diversifying... his successors. National defence PREMIUM Tomasz Siemoniak, who may have been “the manager by profession”, is involved, but has never shown that he can be “the driver” (the first position of the current driver Tusk was at erstwhile the position of... the manager of TVP1). And although anointing the current national defence minister as Prime Minister would be a skillful PR-ovian procedure in wartime, however, Tusk himself hit his back saying that the old F-16 bill was all we would do to defend ourselves against Russia. And a horse with a row of those who call out the thought from Semoniak's many speeches. The colorlessness which allowed years ago to skillfully negociate Siemoniak with the crew of then Prime Minister Leszek Miller in the public media position for then (in the early 2000s) tiny PO (or not sometimes Radio Gdańsk for Sławomir Nowak?), would not be covered with any media powder. Even worse, if the interior situation (which is highly likely), had ordered to get on any premier-bus and meet with voters who at all "historical promotion of Poland" do not request to be drunk. Poles, they are not soldiers who criminally stand at attention and perceive to the banal. method PREMIER Not for no reason this platformer bench is so short and full of injured second league players. For the minute of promotion, Tusk was most likely preparing Bartłomiej Sienkiewicz. That is why he began his ministry with a bold “we are going after you” as an component of the male strong entrance. It was a thoughtful strategy, consistently conducted – so it had to be in favour of approval, or even of instigation, of Tusk himself. but that the concept was painfully collided with reality from the beginning, until yet the titanium ego of the minister met with the iceberg of the tape affair. And present Minister Sienkiewicz can be certain that not only will he not be at the head of the fresh government, but even in its composition (which must be admitted, is simply a very neat solution to this problem). For the minute of promotion, Tusk was prepared by Elżbieta Bieńkowska. It was for her that the super-minister was created (which in the fresh government will be redistributed), that her rank was raised by immense money, PR and the title of Deputy Prime Minister. The deletion of the prefix "wice-" would be natural, and both European funds and infrastructure would include no-names. With Prime Minister Bieńkowska not only at the dawn, but besides at the end, things are akin to Sienkiewicz. but her tapes of fact haven't been published yet, but everyone knows she is. This is most likely not the only reason Donald Tusk would want, if this bomb was to go off at all, so that it would happen at a safe camp in Brussels – and lobbies for the candidacy of Elizabeth Bieńkowska as an EU Commissioner. due to the fact that even if it works, her ratings will be negative, so who's gonna resign her then? Otherwise, the opposition will be utilized erstwhile both the Prime Minister and his deputy flee to Brussels leaving for the throne of the lonely Janusz Piechociński. Of course, we could mention Radosław Sikorski in the last weeks. The 1 who was to be head of EU diplomacy became the mayor of Chobielin-Dworu. Prime Minister Sikorski? Then not only the party, but Bronisław Komorowski. Grzegorz Schetyna would have shouted – but out of luck, due to the fact that then he would have gotten carte blanche from the president and PO to take over in the second full of power. And that's the main reason this script is unacceptable to Donald Tusk. Another thing is, if it wasn't for this, he most likely wouldn't have trusted Sikorski like that. due to the fact that this one, baptised on the killing pack, the erstwhile author of “Gazeta Polska” and minister in the Olszewski, Marcinkiewicz and Kaczyński governments, could betray him much faster than Komorowski. That is why in 2010 the Platform decided to have primaries provided that the 2 candidates did not win them Sikorski. So all successor of Donald Tusk will be Prime Minister weak and purely... technical. And the only way out for the PO is for its word of office to last as short as possible, mainly so as not to exposure its vices. As short as possible to disprove electorally "the top success of the Pole since Chrobry's time", who spoke only late about "billions from the Union", and late he was almost handing out shorts to children and grandparents. usage the minute erstwhile the “manager” in the organization is inactive there and “everything is coming together”. So until December 1. Let's save what's coming. Last but not least, you gotta – as he sings, ending Budk Sufler’s long-standing career – “save what you can”. "Presidentship in the Union" combined with earlier elections is the last tactical advantage that the PO can usage to catch a polling breath for a while. And effort to stay in power for years of another term, which is something that was no longer believed in the PO itself. due to the fact that in this polling position war with the Law and Justice, it has long been in the defense, dangerously close to the breaking-up 20%, and another “taping of truth” or even property statements can blow it up. And without that, he'd be threatening her with fatal morbidity and decay. And here the elections before 1 December are not only legally-politically possible, but besides at the hand of the Prime Minister's party. Otherwise, it could come 1 day in 2015 erstwhile the sobered MPs of the PO from the another half of the benches will be outraged (more than a European taxpayer) to show themselves printed in tabloids bills for mules forced to be eaten by Donald Tusk, while they, orphaned, themselves were left for feeding. Then they will realize that they are the "whole mess" from which their "director" separated, who, according to the words of Kawalec, became "a fat bear." Hence, the only solution is Donald Tusk's favourite maneuver – "turn over the table" and earlier elections parallel to the local elections. The second will be skillfully covered, which will facilitate the task of many candidates of power, erstwhile the hearts and minds of Poles are divided between “European Poland” and “wild country” (© Mirosław Drzewiecki) and its “mental Podkarpacie”. It is comic that Chancellor Angela Merkel, together with another leaders of Europe, fulfilled 3 wishes of Jarosław Kaczyński – they resigned Donald Tusk, where the method Prime Minister will come and lead to earlier elections. Today, the problem with the president of Law and Justice is that the method Prime Minister will not be prof. Piotr Gliński, for whom he will not die. The point is that the PO government will inactive prepare the elections under the PO, as evidenced by Thursday's most fresh exposé of Prime Minister Tusk. The effect of his appointment will improve her quote, which is to sustain for respective – respective weeks with the effective beating by the government media into a national drum (and how much) pride and sowing fear by barbarics from the opposition. The Kaczyński organization must do much more present than just win the election. For having been the first citizen of Bronisław Komorowski, Jarosław Kaczyński may presume that it is not the leader of the winning organization that will be designated as Prime Minister of the fresh government, for example an efficient cooperative and an experienced stateman, Cezary Grabarczyk, who is the head of the PO–SLD–PSL coalition. For PO this is simply a better option than Prime Minister Miller, who would eat PO faster, more efficient and digestible than Jarosław Kaczyński utilized to be. The election the year before is simply a year little for Kaczyński and Miller, who have just dealt with their counterfeits. If Kaczyński is the next real Prime Minister, of course it will be a hard co-habitation. And he's going to be the 1 with the "whole shit", the hot potato of Tusk's state heritage. Ba, he will gotta implement Tusk's budget along with his latest promises. And if Tusk divides the destiny of Jerzy Buzek (who remembers this turn of events erstwhile he became head of the European Parliament), who, after 2 and a half years, has lost his position to Poland, the Union and Poland in the Union? Then he will be able to effort to return on a white horse as a luminary of the anti-Cacest crusade. Déjà vu... The past master Donald Tusk surely sees his future as Caesar prepares to go to Gaul. However, as I recall, although he was the 1 who amazed Rome, the communicative yet amazed Caesar... Furdy story, erstwhile Santas are early this year. The PO only has a 4th to have presents alternatively of horns. Antoni Trzmiel Author is editor-in-chief of the tv Portal Republic and associate of the Weekly for Things. He was a writer of the Republic of Poland, Polish Radio and Polish Television. He is simply a PhD student in the Department of the Political strategy of Poland and Central and east European States of the University of Warsaw.
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