- On Friday, the Munich safety Conference begins, during which the future of Ukraine will be a key subject in the context of the talks of the president of America with the leader of Russia.
- If there is simply a truce between Ukraine and Russia, the function of Poland becomes crucial. “We must convince Europe that the point of gravity to keep this truce is to make a military contingent, a military mission that would be tasked on the site in Ukraine on the buffer line to guarantee that the terms of the truce are respected,” says Onet Gen. Stanisław Koziej
- He points out that Poland's mission is besides to convince him, during a Friday visit to Warsaw, that Ukraine cannot be "conquered at a large-scale market"
- “The U.S. needs to hear from us, from the front state, that Russia — if it devours Ukraine — will always be excited about this success,” said erstwhile Deputy Minister of Defence
On Friday, the safety Conference, dedicated mainly to the conflict in Ukraine, opens in Munich. The same day U.S. Secretary of defence Pete Hegseth will arrive in Warsaw.
The situation of Poland as a front country After Donald Trump's talks with Vladimir Putin made on Wednesday, it becomes much harder. due to the fact that no substance what the terms of the truce, which the American president announces, it is possible to make a script that Europe, including Poland, will be forced — without the participation of America — send your troops to Ukraine on the line of the future truce to guarantee its compliance.
“I would not go so far as to consider at this minute whether Poland would be forced to send its troops to the truce line of Ukraine and Russia, to this buffer line,” says Onet Gen. Stanisław Koziej, erstwhile Head of BBN, erstwhile Deputy Minister of Defence.
— And as regards America’s future strategy on the Ukrainian issue, it is this strategy that can clearly clarify the beginning of the Munich conference,” he stresses. — Bo The fact that Trump had his first conversation with Putin and what Trump has announced so far is simply a small bit of a celebrity talk.. The president of the United States boasts that he has a good relation with the Lord of the Kremlin, assures him that he will arrange everything with him, that he is his partner, but it sounds a small false due to the fact that how can an aggressor be a partner?
— So far, after Trump's statements, we see 1 thing. The fact that Ukraine would go to concessions, but it is not known what Putin would step down on. I hope the U.S. has a plan on this. The U.S. Secretary of defence gave specified signals, so I hope that this U.S. strategy on plans for further talks with Putin will be discussed during the cultural talks at the Munich Conference, as indicated by the erstwhile Deputy Minister of Defense.
PAP/EP/FRAncIS CHUNG/POOLDonald Trump
“I think it is only after this conference that Poland, like Europe, will have a clearer image of how Trump intends to deal with the Kremlin. This U.S. strategy is just getting, I have the impression, crystallized, due to the fact that so far we see only a paper — that is, starting talks — and not seeing candy — says Gen. Koziej.
The function of Europe and the function of Poland. “We must sale it to the West”
- There's 1 thing for sure. No substance what the U.S. strategy yet turns out to be, it is clear that Europe must take full work for maintaining this possible truce. As long as it is signed in the first place, due to the fact that I have serious doubts here, says erstwhile head of BBN.
— However, if this were to happen, the point of gravity and the key to maintaining the truce becomes the creation of a military contingent, a military mission which would be tasked on a site in Ukraine on the buffer line to guarantee that the terms of the truce are respected, says Gen. Koziej. “This is not expected to be a NATO mission, the U.S. does not want this, so these soldiers would not include guarantees under Article 5 NATO. This is where the key function of Poland comes in,” he stresses.
“For Europe to make specified a quota would be a immense challenge and a first step towards a real defence union. And that's what our country must make Europe aware of the request to take specified measures and this effort. It is clear that Prime Minister Tusk is already trying to usage our Presidency of the Union for this, and his individual authority in Europe is besides important, says Gen. Koziej.
“Poland is simply a front country in this second Cold War. And we can't be the main shareholder in this continent, we gotta defender our borders. First of all, the Western states should power this mission with their troops, and Poland can only aid with any symbolic participation. All this needs to be explained to Europe and convinced of it,” she says. “ Our function here is mainly to make this imagination — the necessity to make specified military forces — Europe, so to speak, sell. We must convince Europe to do so, due to the fact that if this quota does not arise, we will have a black screenplay,” says Gen. Koziej.
What if Ukraine falls prey to the Kremlin? “When Russia devours Ukraine, it will always want to teardrop out further areas”
“This black script assumes that if there is no 1 to defender the truce, Ukraine has no safety guarantees. And that any truce in specified a situation would be a force truce, imposed. Ukraine will not agree and the war will continue,” the erstwhile Deputy Minister of Defence points out.
He stresses that, despite Trump's declaration to enter into dialog with Putin, A script is inactive possible that the promised truce will not happen at all. “ I would not be amazed if their negotiations ended immediately after Trump’s first collision with Putin’s expectations. Then the war in Ukraine will continue, with even more intensity,” says Gen. Koziej.
“Another script that we must besides prepare for is the negative 1 that Ukraine, however, will fall prey to Putin. It will be sold at a large-scale market. The function of Poland is to make the U.S. Secretary of defence aware that specified a improvement for the planet would end badly, that it should not be allowed to do so," he stresses.
PAP/Viktor DabkowskiUS Secretary of defence Pete Hegseth and NATO Chief Mark Rutte
“We Poles, aware of what Russia can do, must convince him that further expansion and strengthening of the NATO east flank is necessary. The U.S. needs to hear from the front country that Russia — if it devours Ukraine — will always, excited about specified success, want to teardrop out further areas for itself, specified as the land bridge to Kövec. This cannot be allowed, says the gene. Goat.
