Prof. Lorenzo Konarski: Change people around you. To impose your arguments
Politologist, Rector of the Vistula Academy of Finance and Business, believes that the chance to bounce back is always there. "You just should be able to prevent it. You don't wait for what."
He so believes that Rafal Trzaskowski's mistake is that he is surrounded by the incorrect people and should absolutely change that.
As shortly as possible. I have a bad opinion of Rafał Trzaskowski's staff. I think he's working poorly for individual selection. They're people who can't handle themselves. They're possibly competent. any of my students are among them. But sometimes I look at their actions with any surprise. It would seem that as experienced pros, they should be far more prepared for possible surprises. These are not people who can lead to victory. It may be the other – says prof. Lorenzo Konarski in an interview with Temat.
As he notes, in this run there is simply a unusual trend in the case of both major candidates – that both Trzaskowski and Nawrocki, alternatively only those from their camps stick, fundamentally isolated from the academic world.
– Any politician, if he wants to be interesting, should remember that he is much more needed by those who will not flatter him than those who are around him and even seem good and proven friends, friends, or friends. This is simply a mistake by Trzaskowski and Nawrocki. And it's always harder for him due to the fact that he's being attacked from all sides. And it is the favourite that feels the peculiar force here – he says.
What's he missing? What should change in Trzaskovsky?
– My first advice is this. erstwhile entering the run you request to have a ready set of arguments, and even ready answers to expected attacks. That's due to the fact that we're dealing with individual who's a certainty. In this regard, I believe that the staff of Trzaskovsky has completely failed to do his homework. These are people who are profoundly rooted in mainstream and are powerfully convinced that Trzaskovsky's argument will be able to grow his electorate, reaching the undecided. And this is simply a incorrect assumption, due to the fact that it should be a combination of substance and emotion," he says.
Effect?
Prof. Konarski besides points out that the PO candidate is besides unactive and besides reactive.
– erstwhile Nawrocki attacks him on physical strength, he talks about it too. It doesn't make sense. He should make his own communicative that would impose certain verbalisms and actions against his rivals," he says.
Therefore, the political scientist proposes:
He besides believes that it is not amazing that the opponents from another coalition parties are attacking him due to the fact that we are yet campaigning. Although a novelty in it is the behaviour of Szymon Holownia, for which Trzaskowski's staff was not prepared.
– Before that Rafał Trzaskowski did not have a chance to gain the support of the full ruling camp I personally observed respective times, even at the turn of August and September 2024. For free giving the camp guidance, but he ignores specified things. And present Trzaskowski must make conditions for himself to drink beer, which he gave him his own camp, and not just his opponents – says Prof. Lorenzo Konarski.
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Dr. Sergius the Third: Mobilize the electorate. Fight for Polonia
Politologist, political marketing expert and author of many books draws attention to the difference between poll results and election voting.
– frequently people declare sympathy for a peculiar candidate, in this case Rafał Trzaskowski, but yet they may not vote. Therefore, in my opinion, not only the question of the polls themselves, but the real mobilisation of voters to participate in both the 1st and 2nd round, will be crucial at the minute – he emphasizes in an interview with Dr. Sergius Trzegak.
Why is that important?
– erstwhile individual is the favourite in the election, it frequently demobilizes his electorate for competition. Many people presume that Trzaskowski will win anyway, so they don't gotta bother, having another reasons, specified as good weather, barbecue, weekend trip. Therefore, I would first point out that this run should not only be based on the search for fresh electorate groups, due to the fact that it is comparatively late at the moment, but on maximum mobilisation. Rafał Trzaskowski should be peculiarly afraid at the minute – the political scientist believes.
As he says, the local election experience taught him that the favourite frequently loses in the second circular just by demobilising voters who think he'll win anyway. And that's the biggest threat.
– The biggest threat is triumphism, which turns into arrogance. This demobilises the electorate, due to the fact that why vote erstwhile it is said to be a brick candidate. This is what lost Komorowski. Humility is very crucial here – says the expert.
Therefore, according to him, Trzaskowski should now show voters that their vote may affect the final result of the election. That anything can happen and that nothing is doomed.
– Even if the polls show that the favourite in the first circular will be Trzaskowski, he should not show it at all. He should mobilise people to give a voice that can prevail," emphasises Dr. Trzegak.
Politologist suggests he should be looking for voters among the Polish people. In his opinion, it is the Achilles heel of this campaign.
– I do not know if Rafał Trzaskowski is planning anything like this, but if I were him, I would look for voters in London or in the European capitals, where there is simply a large Polonia and where support for the KO was high. And in the United States, not Chicago, but fresh York. The point is to show the Polish people that they will besides represent the interests of Poles abroad. I think there's an empty field, undeveloped. I would have noticed that," he says.
He believes that better preparation for debates is besides needed: – I would work on it. The first 1 didn't go well. Trzaskowski looked tired. possibly he should get any rest. possibly he shouldn't be campaigning on the same day as the debate, due to the fact that then it affects his speech.
It besides draws attention to 1 issue. As he says, that's what he lacks, and he urges it.
– Electoral run is simply a large energy effort. In an perfect world, a presidential candidate should have a nutritionist, a psychologist, a full staff of people who work with him, who make certain that he eats properly, so that he reduces tensions, so that he has good intellectual health. In particular, the debates show that candidates lose not due to substantive preparation, but due to intellectual preparation. You can see that they are tired, that they can be upset – he says.
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Dr. Trzenak believes that his run should be directed at the young to go to the elections at all times. And, as he says: – alternatively of fishing in completely new, unknown waters, I would concentrate on utilizing my facilities as much as possible.
– Trzaskowski went more to the right. But he must do everything he can to guarantee that left-wing voters are not discouraged. This is simply a group that can prevail. This is crucial due to the fact that the left electorate may not vote for Nawrocki, but may stay at home if it considers that Trzaskowski does not represent their interests," the expert points out.
He besides stresses that Trzaskowski should not alienate those who can vote for him in the second round. – On the another hand, there is simply a centre-right electorate with average views, which is threatened to PiS. The full art is not to alienate the electorate and make cardinal mistakes," he says.
Prof. Radosław Markowski: This is the last minute to halt squirming into the supposedly centre-conservative majority
Professor of Social Sciences from SWPS University and the Polish Academy of Sciences, notes that for six months he has been talking about the fact that the run of Rafał Trzaskowski has mistakenly moved towards the centre-conservative part of the electorate.
– This was a fundamental mistake, due to the fact that very fewer voters could have been gained there, and seemingly Rafał Trzaskowski has made at least 2 million educated, wise, resourceful, large-town women and young people. And here the milk spilled – he comments on the subject by prof. Radosław Markowski.
He says that erstwhile the primaries of Trzaskowski-Sikorski were held in the PO, he was asked which 1 was better. I said they were both good. But the worst thing that can happen is that if the progressive, liberal Rafał Trzaskowski were elected, and moments later he would be told to pretend to be a Conservative, says the expert.
And so it happened: – People got thirsty erstwhile they saw him with Martyniuk. Martyniuk who? For God's sake, it's a slap in the face of the aesthetic needs of parts of the electorate. How do you show up with individual like that erstwhile you have an electorate like that?
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Therefore, according to him, the main goal of the run should absolutely be to fight for more progressive voters.
– There is simply a misconception that Polish society is conservative. It is progressive-liberal-left. These people are much more, this group has been only politically demobilized over the past decades. So it's a new, attractive message. A commitment in matters that women are most afraid with. That's the lead. Trzaskowski has already lost quite a few people. no of his electorate will discourage him from being more progressive," says Prof. Markowski.
It points out that only about a period and a half ago the support for the candidates of the Left was 2 percent, and present it is about 5.5%. likewise with Simon Hołownia – the support was 3-4 percent, and present it is about 8-9 percent. possibly – as he believes – it is simply a consequence of the activation of voters who have become convinced of another candidates, which does not necessarily mean that Trzaskowski lost something. But they could have left him.
– If I were on the election staff of Trzaskovsky, I would consider that the situation from the point of view of the 2nd circular is not bad. But this is the last minute to halt squirming into the supposedly centre-conservative majority that there is not. And go back to convincing those who are already partially offended. Especially among the Left and those who will vote for the Holovnia. I hope that Szymon Hołownia and Magdalena Biejat will persuade their voters to vote for Rafał Trzaskowski in the second circular – he comments.
What else would a PO candidate advise?
– Toss out the full election staff – prof. Markowski reacts.
He points out the debate in Koński and refers to Hungary, where he was in 2010. At that time, the Hungarians were preparing for elections that brought full authority to Viktor Orban. Fideshu's leader was leading in the polls.
– As 60 percent of the support he issued, he made specified a recommendation: "Don't say anything. Don't show up. We wait for elections and win." Rafał Trzaskowski did not have the advantage to do nothing. But it was a complete mistake to get into any kind of brawl he couldn't control. How is it besides possible not to agree beforehand that candidates do not approach each other? The staff should be liable for this," he says.
Trzaskowski, he believes, reacted badly about the flag that Nawrocki gave him, but besides points to another issue for which the staff is responsible.
– We have any atavism that tells us that higher is usually a better presidential candidate than lower. And that's what the PiS was all about. For the higher Nawrocki to stand at Trzaskowski. It's a shame to talk about it. This is something that they teach in the first year of polytologic-media studies. Can't the election staff control it?
What else would he advise?
– The election staff of Trzaskowski should very rapidly figure out how to re-publish the criminal features of the PiS candidate, or the relationships with the radical, fascist right, with bandits. erstwhile individual writes a book under a pseudonym to praise themselves, in our environment, you do not give a individual a hand. possibly it's worth talking about it even more clearly. I would besides urge you to show what will happen if this next emissary of Novogrodzka sits at the Presidential Palace. That there will be a sanction of the Polish legal system, that efforts to return to normality will burn on the pane", says Prof. Marek.
But he admits, everything should be done so that there is no sense of extremist change in the candidate. - It's a swing at the last moment, too. any people might get it out that he said otherwise before. You gotta do it intelligently. But there is not 1 prescription. Trzaskowski has money, has staff, let them head – he says.
