Food prices in 2025: Are we in danger of a supply crisis?

In 2025 Poland and another European countries face the challenge of rapidly rising food prices. The increase in costs, which we have seen for respective years, is increasing, and experts begin to wonder if we are in danger supply crisis. The increase in food prices, combined with possible disruptions in the supply chain, can have serious consequences not only for households but besides for the economy as a whole. Let us follow up on what is happening in the food marketplace and what future prospects may be.

Increase in food prices in Poland – what is the situation?

Year 2025 promises to be another year in which food in Poland It'll cost you. Already in 2023, food prices increased by about 15%, and forecasts for the following years indicate that in 2025 we can anticipate further increases. The GUS reports from the end of 2024 show that the most noticeable price increase concerns specified products as:

1. Bread – in 2024 the price of bread increased by about 12% compared to the erstwhile year. In 2025 there may be further increases, mainly due to increases in cereal and energy prices.
2. Milk and milk products – milk prices increased by 10% in 2024, and forecasts indicate further growth, which is the consequence of increases in production and transport costs.
3. Meat – especially beef and pork may cost 8-10% in 2025. advanced feed costs, energy costs and problems with access to inexpensive natural materials will further increase prices.
4. Vegetables – vegetable prices can increase even by 15%, due to climate change that affects yields and increases in transport costs.

Experts foretell that all these factors will affect the final food prices on the Polish market. The increase in prices is already visible now, but this is only the beginning of major difficulties that may come in the future.

Reasons for rising food prices

Why are food prices in Poland rising? There are respective answers to this question that depend on many global and local factors.

1. Increase in production costs – higher prices of natural materials, including feed, fertilizers or energy, make food production costs rise. In 2024 gas and electricity prices, which are crucial in production processes, increased by 18% in relation to the erstwhile year.
2. Supply Chain Problems – the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine revealed the sensitivity of global supply chains. Distortions in the supply of natural materials, as well as transport, have a major impact on the availability of food products on the marketplace and their prices. Stock shortages agricultural as well as transport problems can origin further price increases.
3. Climate change – the changing climate affects farmers' yields, resulting in little food production. In 2023 Poland took place intense droughts and floodswhich affected many crops. The consequence was higher prices of vegetables and fruit, as well as cereals from which feed is produced.
4. High inflation – inflation, which affects almost all sectors of the economy, besides affects food prices. Inflation in Poland in 2025 is expected to be around 8%, which can rise the cost of living, including grocery shopping.

Are we in danger of a supply crisis?

Often the question of whether Poland and another European countries will gotta face supply crisis in 2025. Experts indicate that although food crisis on a large scale in Poland is not very likely so far, this may happen local availability problems, especially for imported food. increasing gas and oil prices, supply disruptions and land simplification as a consequence of climate change can contribute to the food crisis in any parts of the world.

Additionally, the war in Ukraine, which importantly affected cereal prices, may lead to further difficulties in supplying food products from the region. The increase in gas prices, fertilizers and the decrease in agricultural land area, including in Poland, can affect global food supply chains, which may consequence in further price increases.

Forecasts for 2025 – what awaits Poles?

In 2025, Poles must prepare for the further increase in food prices. The price increase is expected to be from 10% to 15% compared to 2024. In particular, this will apply to products specified as meat, dairy products, vegetables, fruit and cereal products. Although Poland remains 1 of the largest food producers in Europe, rising production costs, climate change and problems with the supply of natural materials can affect the prices we face in the close future.