FIRST TURA

stary-bob.blogspot.com 2 months ago

Despite the massive attacks of the "crows" companies associated with the Platform and the fake hacking attack, in the "Russian" guess to cover the scandal with backing of the Trzask campaign, the first circular only minimally won the PO candidate. That's good, due to the fact that there's no reason to overturn it.

The defeat was suffered by Polish "independent" polling companies, which ran the win of Trzaskowski in the scope of 6-8 percent points. authoritative results have not yet been provided but the triumph of the PO candidate is within the limits of the statistical mistake which is 2 percent. Poland's debut American company AtlasIntel in the pre-election poll had the closest results regarding the decision in the first round.

Mentzen's 3rd place is not a surprise. The consequence could have been higher if it had not been for honesty in statements on respective delicate topics. If in the next election, Mentzen adapts to the level of lies of the main competitors, he and his organization have a chance to "turn over the table". Confederate but from the Polish Crown, Braun obtained a very good consequence distancing subsequent coalition candidates Holovna and Biejat. Zandberg's score from the Together Party, which lost to Holovnia only by 0.13 but won from Biejat.

Despite only the 3rd and 4th places of divided Confederates, a full of more than 20% can have a decisive impact on the II round. It would be naive to think that all voices would go to Nawrocki, but any would. The Confederate looking into the future and striving to break up the po-PiS duople has software, in any respects closer to the PiS than the PO. The Pisov president and possible early elections may be the first step towards creating a fresh government in which the Confederacy can have a decisive voice in many matters. As in years ago, PSL with fewer MPs ruled with the SLD on its own terms.

The end of the presidential run is interesting. I'm afraid it's not going to be a program battle, and the continuation of the search and usage of "hooks", which proved to be not very beneficial for the PO candidate. Can Trzaskovsky's staff change the "waice" from hatred to substantive action in these 2 weeks of the presidential campaign, shortly convinced.


https://www.liil.eu/promujnotke


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