- Expert Artur Bilski considers Trump's decision to force a peace agreement with Russia
- Suspension of military aid increases force on Ukraine and EU countries that do not have adequate resources for military support
- Bilski emphasises that 80% of NATO's possible is simply a U.S. contribution, making Europe incapable to aid Ukraine alone
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The White home announced on Monday that it suspended all military aid for Ukraine, including 1 on its way to Poland and in warehouses in Poland, "to guarantee that it contributes to resolving the conflict." In the opinion of the safety expert kmdr Lt Artur Bilski, president of the think tank Nobilis Media Safety and Defense, president Donald Trump's main goal is to end the war in Ukraine.
— president Trump wants a peace agreement with Moscow and will usage all possible peaceful tools to do so. Stopping military aid will be a immense threat to Ukraine due to the fact that Europe has neither the resources nor the strength to force peace," said PAP Bilski.
"The next step will be to put force on Poland"
He stressed that Poland would be facing a hard choice in order to keep good allied relations with the US, while at the same time implementing the European support policy of Ukraine.
— If Europe tries to argue US decisions, I think that the next step will be to exert force on Poland and possibly to start with the "photo of rocket protection" of the airport in Rzeszów, which is liable for supplying arms to Ukraine," Bilski reminded.
He added that Trump could besides endanger the gradual withdrawal of US troops from Germany and Central Europe. Bilski estimated that without the aid of the US it was impossible to accomplish the military and political objectives of Ukraine. Declared action by EU countries will be insufficient.
“In the short word Ukraine, president Zelenski will effort to build a coalition of European states to gain political support for the continuation of the war with Russia, any form of financial and military support for the reconstruction of the Ukrainian arms manufacture and to save his position. However, the U.S. has all the assets in hand and will put expanding force on Ukraine and another European countries, according to Bilski.
"Trump will not agree to sale arms to Ukraine"
The expert stressed that during the first U.S.-Russia peace negotiations, the Russians most likely signalled to the Americans that peace would be possible subject to Zelenski's resignation from the office of President.
Bilski besides questions the anticipation of selling U.S. arms and technology to European allies who would mobilize to fund Ukraine's war effort.
— president Trump will surely not agree to sale arms to Ukraine and NATO allies, as a form of "catch" for the chance to support Ukraine and keep president Zelenski in office," Bilski said. “I think that, after peace has been made and the situation has stabilised, this option is absolutely in the image as a condition for maintaining NATO,” he added.
Bilski recalled that NATO's strength is primarily the US Army today. In Bilski's opinion, European states do not have the military capacity to supply adequate support to Ukraine.
— Not to mention sending European troops to Ukraine, including a mandate to usage force. We're talking tens of thousands of soldiers here. Without the US, this is impossible and no 1 from Europe will agree to it," Bilski said.
“The continuation of this war becomes an unnecessary burden”
He stressed that 80% of NATO's possible in the area of reconnaissance, weapons, logistics, command, transport is simply a U.S. contribution.
Bilski concluded that the conclusion of the peace agreement on Ukraine is simply a goal that Trump will implement “with all the consistency and power of the US State”.
— Having a strong mandate and the cognition that the erstwhile administration did not have a clear strategy towards Ukraine, so continuing this war becomes an unnecessary burden – Bilski assessed.
He pointed out that after a spectacular triumph in the U.S. presidential election Trump had a "strong mandate from the Americans", as well as "a sense of conviction about the mission he acquired as a consequence of saving his life in the failed Pennsylvania bombing". During the election rally during the July 2024 presidential campaign. Donald Trump was shot in the ear.
