Written by Tyler Durden
Written by Andrew Korybko via substack,
It is suggested that Poland, the Baltic States and Romania like to stay under the US safety umbrella...
Financial Times (FT) quoted 4 anonymous European officials who reported that "European military powers are working on a 5-10-year plan to replace the US with NATO". The United Kingdom, France, Germany and the Nordic countries are listed as those wishing to present this proposal to the United States at the next NATO summit in June. They besides reported that any countries refused to participate in these talks, either for fear that it could encourage the US to decision faster in this area or for the belief that they would not abandon Europe.
FT most likely means Poland, Baltic countries and Romania, the most crucial states of the east flank of NATO, all of which like to stay under the US safety umbrella. Recent flirtation Poland with France Can announce a actual phraseif the ruling liberal globalists win the May presidential election, but for now functions as an effort to balance ties with the US in the face of uncertainty about their future plans. This may besides be seen as incorrect negotiating tactics intended to keep and extend the US military presence.
As for the Baltic countries, they have an ardent pro-American elite and are only inclined towards the EU if they are forced to do so by Trump, who unilaterally reduces or even completely removes US troops from their territories under a large agreement with Russia. At the same time Romania rejected, among others. France's proposal to extend a atomic umbrella to the remainder of the continent, which can be interpreted as placing more religion in the US than in Europe in crisis scenario with Russia on Moldova.
If these 5 countries proceed to see their national interests in this way, which will require the ruling Polish liberal globalists not to turn to France if they win the presidency (their opponents are comparatively more pro-American), then an intra-Natarian divided will appear in Europe. France and Germany, which compete with each another and with Poland for leadership in Europe after the conflict, can then find themselves in a situation where their projected impact on Central and east Europe (CE Europe) can be challenged by the US.
From Estonia to Romania, and possibly even to Bulgaria and even Greece, the penultimate of which long ago turned to the US against the will of its Russian population, while the second needed the US to keep Turkish sea claims as a bay, the east flank of NATO would be influenced by the US. This alleged "sanitary cordon" could then service 2 purposes: to keep U.S. influence in this geostrategic part of Europe that "returns back to Asia", while maintaining the division of Western Europe and Russia.
This script can be offset by Polish liberals, as already explained, but it is besides based on: 1) further perception of Russia by countries of Central and east Europe as threats; 2) consider that the United States is simply a more reliable safety partner than the EU; and 3) that the US does not voluntarily renounce all its influence in Europe. If these variables stay stable, then Western Europe can consolidate militarily to a large degree independently of Central and east Europe, which Central and east Europe can inactive appreciate, due to the fact that this will strengthen their strategies of "repeating".
Finally, if America abandons them in the improbable script of NATO-Russia's hot war, which someway will stay below the atomic threshold, then the countries of Central and east Europe can number on a militaryly consolidated Western Europe that will hurry to save them if They won't be able to halt Russia on their own. Having said that, Russia has no intention of invading NATO, further U.S. military influences in Central and east Europe could halt the provocative actions of these anti-Russian states and the U.S. reputation would be destroyed if they abandoned them during the hot war.
With this in mind, Europe can militarily divide into a strategically autonomous Western half and an east ally with America if the FT study on plans to replace the US with NATO by the first 1 is true. The only origin that could realistically offset this script could be the consequence of the upcoming presidential elections in Poland, thus paying attention to its disproportionate impact on shaping Europe's future safety architecture, the subject of which is at the heart of NATO-Russia tensions.
Translated by Google Translator
source:https://www.zerohedge.com/
