Donald Trump will reduce the presence of troops in Europe? “This was to be expected”

At least since the February 61st Munich safety Conference, Old Continent politicians have been stripped of their illusions. Americans, as promised in Donald Trump's election campaign, intend to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict as shortly as possible. The devil, as usual, is in the details.

If the U.S. administration's announcements were to take 1 to one, at the negotiating table with Moscow There will be no European leaders and Ukraine will lose any of its own territories. The fears are clear and It's about what happens next.

The Kremlin will arm itself with power, and there's no indication that erstwhile it catches its breath after an assault on our east neighbors, it's going to stop. 1 thing is certain: further statements by the president of the United States indicate that without building his own defence capabilities, not only Ukraine, but Europe will besides be doomed to face Russia.

American NATO Declarations. Komorowski: Even Putin will treat it as weird

– It is not known: laughter or cry. The amendments to the Washington Treaty, proposed by the American President, will never pass – he believes Bronisław Komorowski, erstwhile president of Poland. – So, aside from absurd declarations, it is deprived of the chance to get legal basis – said Interia.

The erstwhile president is convinced that Americans cannot bring a military-political alliance into financial-trade mechanisms.

– surely the U.S. President's message does not strengthen the belief that NATO is internally consistent and acts as 1 fist. I think even Vladimir Putin will treat it like Donald Trump's freak – raises Komorowski. So many were the superiors of the Armed Forces of Poland. Polish generals effort to watch the medal from both sides, though they besides spare no bitter words.

– Of course, any forms of force is needed on countries that avoid paying for their own safety. I myself was in favour of pushing harder on Europe. But not in specified a way that it could be played by the creamy propaganda – says gen. Roman PolkoFormer head of GROM.

The Interia talker draws attention to the declarations made by European leaders. – After all, the European Commission announces expenditure at the level of EUR 800 billion for arms. So, erstwhile Europe declares with a strong voice an increase in investment, there is an attack (President of the United States – ed.), which in this situation is completely incomprehensible – believes General Polko.

As he gave us military, interior disputes in the North Atlantic Alliance should be dealt with in buluarach. For 1 thing, public fights are a gift to the Kremlin. “When individual has a black sheep in the house, they effort to influence her in the privacy of the house, alternatively than washing dirt in front of everyone,” says Polko. – Trump's message sounded a bit like encouraging Russia to attack countries that don't pay. It's a terrible policy. That's not how diplomatically you handle things like that. – the general told us.

Donald Trump is abandoning Europe. ‘NATO does not be without US’

– At the moment, the strategical presumption of the United States is that Americans must prepare seriously for the conflict with China and rebuild their possible for deterrence – raised Dr. Marcin Terlikowski from PISM.

The military are aware of that. That's why the gene. Leon Komornicki considers that it was “expected” to partially retreat American forces from the Old Continent. As he says, However, this does not mean leaving Europe alone.

– The US calls for money to be spent to increase combat capabilities, thereby fulfilling Article 3 of the Washington Treaty. If we look at the "old" members of the alliance, including Poland, they have not built adequate defence potential, which is ready to defend their own states and thus balance the alliance's ability with the United States' contribution. NATO is 80% of the U.S. capacity, 20% is Europe. There's no alliance without the U.S. – raises the erstwhile Deputy Chief of Staff of the General Military of the Polish Army.

From a military point of view, there is no longer a return to the times of the Warsaw Pact and the hegemony of the United States. Although the Americans have reduced financial spending on their own troops, they are inactive able to react. Just not in 3 or 4 strategical directions.

“This is why the United States, since Donald Trump’s first presidency, has been calling for Europe to increase its investment in the context of expanding threats from China and Russia,” says Gen. Komornicki. – These are not ideas of the President-in-Office, but analysts who pay attention to the mediate East and the Pacific. The U.S. strategical interests are at risk. He emphasizes.

Donald Trump woke up Europe. Now you gotta get up

The erstwhile Deputy Head of the General Staff of the HR is of the opinion that declarations by European leaders on defence spending are only the first step. A strategy and possible are needed to deter Russia without the participation of the United States. “This is simply a way out to meet the expectations of a strategical ally, the US. The Old Continent cannot only have expectations, must show its own strength – says Gen. Komornicki.

Given the European capacity and the war situation behind our east border, it seems impossible to aid Ukraine alone.

– Politicians suppress events on the Russian-Ukrainian front. There is presently no means to wage this war. Where to produce ammunition and military equipment? What about the production lines? How long do we request to train the armed forces? How many men do you request in the military? How do we get soldiers in an ageing Europe? There are plenty of questions – the general emphasizes. “Ukraine has no chance of winning with Russia, the liberation of occupied territories. Therefore, the war must be ended and peace negotiated, even if it is unfavourable to Kiev. The aim is to guarantee safety for the following years and gain time – Komornicki believes.

In a conversation with Interia, military will besides draw possible scenarios after a crucial simplification in the presence of Americans on the Old Continent. The general does not regulation out that in the absence of Americans the Germans will turn towards the Kremlin. As he says, it is hard to foretell the behaviour of Western countries, which can be clearly unfavourable for Poland. In this situation, however, solutions beneficial to the Republic can be sought.

– If the US joins its policy of withdrawing from Europe, they will search a strategical ally in the region. We have a good chance of becoming one. As Poles, we should keep good relations with the European Union, but besides with Americans – he believes. We should be a moderator and a middleman. Of course, what Donald Trump says is outrageous and painful, but on the another hand, the United States has no another choice," he said.

Jakub Szczepański