Why Russia Wins

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Why Russia Wins

28 August 2026 by Peter Haenselersonar21/why-russia-is-winning

Even before the West began a direct armed war with Russia, Russia had already won this war: its army, its economy and its people.

Written by Peter Hanseler via ForumGeopolitia.com

Hard factors

Many enemies of Russia

If individual wants to find which side wins the war, they can compare, measure and analyse countless factors. The West is at war with Russia. Ukraine is only a platform; Western Europe is simply a gathering place for NATO, the EU and the United States.

Russia is so measured with the following factions:

  • Ukraine as a platform
  • NATO
  • EU-wide
  • United States

Militaryly Russia competes with 41 countries , which supply direct military support to Ukraine – this is an unprecedented situation in planet history. Moreover, Europe does not believe that it is already at war with Russia, which can be justified question Europe assumes that the war will not start for a fewer years. He so believes that Russia will patiently wait until Europe is ready for war.

Russian Progress

In military terms, Russia has proved to be a force to be reckoned with in the fight against this powerful opponent. I mean... Front reports which supply factual and not propaganda information. The fact is that the Ukrainian front is breaking down, and the advancement of Russian troops has become unchangeable and has been accelerating for respective weeks. The last fortified cities specified as Kramatorsk and Slavic are gradually surrounded by Russians. Ukraine's air defence has virtually disappeared, allowing Russians to straight bomb the front from the air.

The second front – Russia as the mark of terrorist attacks – serves as a measurement of Russia's collapse in the eyes of the West. The fact is that these attacks – specified as those on Wildberries and Ozone – and the Russian energy infrastructure actually has a destructive effect on Russia's life, but in no way does it affect the course of the conflict. Moreover, as a consequence of the attacks on Russia in fresh weeks Ukraine has been cut off from the sea. The port in Odessa is closed, which means that Ukraine lost the only effective wheat export route. Due to the deficiency of a trade way across the Black Sea Ukraine lost over 70% of its export infrastructure.

The difference in the treatment of soldiers by Russia and Ukraine is apparent – and shockingly drastic. In Russia, no 1 who wants to fight is sent to the front. all period many young men volunteer to service on the front. In Ukraine, young men are virtually hunted on the streets, in cafes, sports clubs and schools, and after a short training camp they are sent to the front to die there. Now Ukraine goes 1 step further and shortly women will be sent to the front. Scott Ritter will compose about it soon.

The Russian Army is doing everything possible to aid wounded soldiers. There are reports in Ukraine that wounded Ukrainian soldiers receive medical assistance only if they pay for it. Moreover, reports have been made that fallen Ukrainian soldiers are being buried in mass graves by their own citizens – on the 1 hand, to let officers to proceed to collect soldiers who have died (in Ukraine, pay the commander), and, on the another hand, in order to avoid the request to pay widows' pensions to those in mourning. It seems to be a reality no 1 in the West talks about. This does not mean that the service on the front is not devastating for Russian soldiers – it is for everyone. However, the fact is that Russian soldiers are more motivated, which is simply a prerequisite for victory. They know that their military command and society are doing everything they can to defend them.

It's hard to tell how far Russia will go west. I mention to my comments in the articleThe summertime area died. where we discussed the "maximum solution" in which only the remnant of Ukraine would stay and Poland, Hungary and Romania would regain their erstwhile territories.

Source: Geopolitica Forum

Economy

Sanctions against Russia entered into force as early as 2014. Russia has since taken its first steps towards the improvement of the agricultural sector. Russia has become not only self-sufficient, but besides 1 of the largest agricultural exporters in the world. In 2025 Russia exported agricultural products of value $41.6 billion to 170 countries being world leader wheat.

In February 2022 Russia was swamped with a hail of sanctions aimed at bringing the country to its knees as shortly as possible. This plan ended with a complete failure, and Russia not only survived this economical war, but besides managed to importantly increase its production. Europe – and Germany in peculiar – had to see sanctions harm Europe and Germany in particular; Germany as an industrial centre in its erstwhile form already belongs to the past.

20222023202420252026
Russia100,0104.1109.2110.3111.5
Germany100,099,198,698,899.5

Source: IMF

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For Russia it was border balance: on the 1 hand, maintaining the growth of the Russian private sector and on the another hand, gradual transition towards a war economy. 1 of the biggest challenges in this process was to prevent inflation caused by Western sanctions from escaping.

Elvira Nabiulin, president of the Russian Central Bank, maintained, and continues to maintain, the main interest rate well above the inflation rate, to the large discontent of Russian investment sectors. Russia is the only industrialised country in the planet that can afford and keep specified a strategy of interest rates due to the fact that the debt-to-GDP ratio of the Russian Federation is respective times lower than in Western countries that simply cannot afford higher interest rates. president Putin trusts the head of his central bank – and rightly so.

Elvira Nabiullina — intelligent and consistent

Currently, the main interest rate of the Bank of Russia is 14% and the national Reserve is 3.5% to 3.75%. The profitability of 10-year US government bonds is presently 4.7%, and US experts are afraid about the collapse of the bond marketplace if the profitability of 10-year US bonds increases above 5.5-6%.

The effect of the "Twist" intervention initiated by Scott Bessent, consisting in selling short-term American securities and buying long-term bonds, has already weakened after 24 hours. The full value of the intervention is about $28 billion. The value of the US bond marketplace is about 31 trillion. That's $31,000 billion. It is simply a drop in the sea, even if we consider that long-term US bonds – 10 years or longer – represent only about 20% all American bonds.

Scott Bessent – Desperate

The US government presently pays interest of around 3.35% from its debt of $40 trillion – or $1,340 trillion, which represents a good 25% taxation gross 5.235 trillion dollars (data from 2025). It's a disaster. If interest rates increase even more – and so will – the collapse is imminent.

There is another interesting development. During the last major financial crisis in 2008, there was a renewed communication and coordination between the US and Europe. There's no indication this time. Most countries – including the Western ones – sale out US bonds on the marketplace to save their own skin; everyone takes care of themselves: improbable to see any coordination or loyalty. Instead, Americans are trying to put force on countries. with large amounts of US government bonds – Japan, large Britain, China, etc. – to not sale their assets. This will not work due to the fact that Japan and the UK gotta sale them to defend their markets, and China has been selling US Treasury bonds since 2013, speeding up the pace since 2018.

How serious the situation for the US is, 1 can see in Trump's quote of 21 August 2026, erstwhile referring to countries selling US bonds, he virtually said:

Trump wants to solve all problems by force – even against friends
"The final intervention is our army. And if we gotta usage it, we will”

Trump did not specify how or against whom he would usage military force in consequence to the sale of bonds. In this context, it does not matter; this message simply shows how tense the Americans are. If the American bond marketplace collapses, the Americans will drag the full Western world.

Sanctions defend Russia from risks related to Western markets. Consequently, the crisis described above would affect Russia at most peripherally.

Manufacture of weapons

Unlike Europe, Russia has already undergone a transformation towards a war economy. This transformation was much easier for Russia than for the US and their vassals in NATO due to the fact that all major arms suppliers stay under the control of the Russian state. NATO is limited to large declarations and large sums of money. I am referring to Mark Rutte's message from a press conference with German Chancellor Friedrich Merzem, held on May 21, 2025 in Brussels. Rutte said there:

Even Mark Rutte can be honest.
"They [Russians] presently produce ammunition within 3 months in the amount that NATO produces throughout the year".

Russia managed to importantly increase the production of arms last year, which most likely further deepened the distance between it and NATO.

The basic problem of American weapons production lies in the ownership structure of the arms industry. The U.S. military-industrial complex is not committed to mass production of high-quality, efficient weapons systems, but to making large money. The full planet felt the consequences in the ongoing conflict in the mediate East. In 40 days of war with Iran, the Americans utilized between 50% and 80% of their full stock, depending on the kind of ammunition. It will take them 2 to 8 years to complete this deficiency. This is simply a sign that the West as a full is in no way prepared to effectively conduct a long-term armed conflict.

Russia is self-sufficient

One of Russia's top advantages is its self-sufficiency. Energy : In 2024, Russia produced 60,3 BTU primary energy, utilizing only 34.3 BTU primary energy. Regarding food, Russia has the following self-sufficiency indicators :

  • Grains: 152.4%
  • Vegetable oil: 260.2%
  • Fish: 125.4%
  • Sugar: 107.1%

Russia so enjoys a very advanced degree of strategical self-sufficiency.

Nevertheless, Russia is besides dependent on imports, especially from China. However, due to the fact that Russia is working closely with China and there is simply a real alliance between them, there is no reason to be afraid. It is crucial that Russia be completely independent of the Collective West.

As for self-sufficiency and military potential, the prospects for the West are bleak. Contrary to claims, the West as a full is dependent on energy sources from Russia and the mediate East, as well as uncommon earth elements from China erstwhile it comes to goods essential to wage war; these are not the conditions essential to last the long-term conflict.

Society

Ultimately, however, all military and economical arguments are decisive in conflict only if they are combined with the most crucial factor: the willingness of people active in conflict to actually defend their country, to fight and to give their lives.

Russia

To do this, people request to know what they're fighting for: the Russians know it, and the West, with its unbridled hatred of their country, played a key function in this. They fight for a united, strong, safe, resilient and sovereign homeland.

There are many different opinions in Russia about the course of the war, including very skeptical about the strength and scale of the conflict — see Karaganov, for example, who claims that Germany, among another things, has lost fear of Russian military possible and advocates atomic attack on Europe as a deterrent ( Karaganov doctrine president Putin's strategy is surely publically debated and criticized. Putin, who leans towards deescalation, not only obtained the support of Duma — and so society — for his action plan a fewer days ago, but the Duma deputies also supported a more decisive approach with "more courage", even if it means more fatalities.

This discussion takes place in front of the public and confirms the viability of the public discourse in Russia. specified a discussion of a war strategy can only take place in a united country. The goal is what unites people.

At first glance, it doesn't seem like much. Its meaning becomes clear erstwhile we look at the situation of opponents.

West

The main component of Western strategy is hatred: hatred of Putin, to Russia, to Russians, to everything Russian, including Russian culture. At first glance, this is simply a primitive and easy to implement strategy that the Nazis have already applied. But hatred does not undermine the enemy, but those who sow this feeling—the Western society. You can't constantly argue something if you don't know what you represent. And that is the problem facing Western societies. At the same time, it is the secret to the success of the Russians – the 1 that will lead them to victory. In this conflict, the winner will be 1 who, in addition to the hard factors discussed above, will show perseverance. And this can only be developed if he is assured in his support.

The unifying force that grows in Russia is not visible in the West. People with hatred deficiency energy to cultivate it. hatred is inherently destructive and deprived of affirmative energy. Following Western media, it can be seen that the leaders of the countries afraid are doing nothing to improve the lives of their citizens. immense sums are spent on fighting Russia, while expenditure on education and social services They're drastically cut. It is impossible to defy the impression that Western rulers do not care about the welfare of citizens.

In addition, it's the mystery of the polyquinel that the intent of the West has always been to break up Russia. These plans are 200 years old and are inactive very current present — see René Zittlaua, June 2023. “ Russia's planned division They would benefit from immense conglomerates (such as Blackrock ), but not the people in the West or the populations of those artificial “responsible states” of Russia that would be unprofitable according to existing plans. The groups behind these plans origin hatred of the largest country in the planet among the Western population. Millions of Western Europeans are expected to die for this. How hard it is to convey this, it is demonstrated that in Germany, for example, only 0,17 % of the population surveyed at draft age would be willing to service in the Bundeswehr.

Conclusion

To win a long-term conflict, it takes many factors. Apart from pure military power, economical factors and independency from global trade play an crucial role. However, it is crucial that the people support their government and are ready to follow this path.

In each of these points Russia has the advantage. It remains to be hoped that decision-makers in the West will see this in time; only then will the unprecedented bloodshed in past be prevented.

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