We invitation you to a subjective overview of the regular economical review of information from Russia.

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Shorts:

• In the region of Jankoj in Crimea, the rubble is inactive being dismantled after a bridge collapsed, which occurred the day before. The origin of the incidental was to overload the truck, which exceeded the permissible weight by 13 tonnes. The bridge collapsed on the railway tracks. As a consequence of the incident, 2 people were injured, 1 of whom was severely hospitalized.
• Analysts of the investigation company Oil Price Information Service believe that the oil price in 2025 could fall to $30-40 per barrel if OPEC+ countries waive restrictions on oil production.
• According to Rosstat, inflation in October was 0.75%. This is over 0.48%, which was recorded at the end of September. The October consequence was close to the monthly maxims of this year – there were more in January (0.86%) and July (1.14%). Rosstat reported a slowdown in GDP growth in the 3rd 4th to 3.1%
• In 21 regions, agreements were concluded on the simplification of butter prices," said FAS press service. "Conservation of the agreements will aid to stabilise prices and increase the availability of goods for citizens. Agreements on the voluntary simplification or fixing of prices (margin) for butter were concluded as a consequence of the work of the FAS territorial authorities of Russia with the regional and local authorities of economical operators under Decree No 662 of the Government of the Russian Federation.’
• 78% of Russians consider themselves good people. any said they tried to do good deeds all day, others explained that they were good to people until others began to benefit from it.

1. Ministry of Interior complained about server failures with Russian processors and the deficiency of the ability to exchange them.

The Russian Ministry of the Interior faces difficulties in operating servers based on the Elbrus microprocessor, produced by the Russian MCST developer, said Igor Kashpur, Deputy Head of the IT department, communication and information safety of this department.

According to him, servers showed low responsibility tolerance – the ability to keep its functionality after failure of 1 or more components. "The Ministry of the Interior does not, in fact, have the anticipation to rapidly replace specified server equipment if it fails due to force majeure, due to the fact that its supplies are only carried out as planned," Kashpur stated at the Federation Council (Viedomosti quote).

He explained that the MCST responds to requests from the Ministry of abroad Affairs that the reserve of the Elbrus processors has been distributed and that the fresh batches are temporarily not produced. They're not produced at the moment, that laughter in the room. But I will not run for our first episode of CEP TECH.

According to him, between 2020 and 2024 the ministry purchased 709 servers with Russian processors, including 32 sets this year. These servers are utilized in centres to evidence traffic offences in the net software database, as well as in a unified origin of information on immigration registration.

According to Vedomosti source, banks, telecommunications operators and state corporations besides have problems with server performance on Elbrus processors. The situation is "obvious", given the circumstances in which Russian electronics has been produced over the last 2 years, noted Ivan Pokrowski, CEO of the Association of Russian Manufacturers and Manufacturers of Electronics.

At the moment, the improvement of the MCST "stopped" due to the deficiency of processors that were produced for them in Taiwan, said the interviewer Wiedomosti in 1 of the defence manufacture companies. The MCST had plans to transfer production to the Micron factory, but so far it has not been implemented.

In the fall of 2022 the company was subject to American sanctions. The Taiwanese TSMC, whose bets produced the Elbrus, Baikal Electronics, STC Module and others, subsequently refused to deliver the products to Russia.

At the end of September, it turned out that the Ministry of manufacture and Trade had transferred the MCST to the control of the creator of mobile processors Skif – NPC Elvis. According to sources close to the authorities of Wiedomosti, the company had difficulties in executing the state's defence order, and so it was threatened with bankruptcy. The government decided to remedy the situation "because of the strong management powers" of Elvis' discipline and Production Centre.

2. The maker of Deals on the brink of bankruptcy.

The authorities are preparing fresh support measures for AvtoVAZ, as the company is incapable to repay the loans after the Central Bank raised the chief interest rate to 21% per year, said Interfax agency chief Rostec Sergey Czemezov.

The corp owns 32.3% of the company's shares. According to Czemezov, the issue of aid is discussed at the level of the applicable departments. ‘AvtoVAZ's credit charges are evidently besides high. <... >With the increase in the main interest rate of interest payments to banks increased by billions of rubles per year", he complained.

"The state understands this besides and does not quit the company. <... > It discusses how to aid AvtoVAZ in this situation," said Rostec's chief.

In September, CEO of the automotive company Maxim Sokolov said that the company's debt exceeds 100 billion rubles. "This is simply a dense burden, especially at the current key interest rate, it is an additional nearly 20 billion rubles that request to be found to handle loans annually," he stressed.

The government even wanted to waive any of the debt to AvtoVAZ – this anticipation was already mentioned at the beginning of the year, as Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturow spoke about in winter.

However, in August, the head of the corporate department for interaction with national authorities, Aleksandr Winogradow, said that the decision was postponed due to increased sales and improved financial performance of the company. “In addition, our financiers felt that there were additional commitments... And so far everyone has stopped," he added.

According to Winogradowa, the authorities had already helped AvtoVAZ erstwhile they decided to postpone payment to the recycling company by the end of the year. On November 8, the Ministry of manufacture and Trade announced that the exemption would besides apply in 2025.

In early October, Sokolov called for the support of AwtoWAZ "through targeted clarification of legislation", including protection against import dumping, as well as preferential loans from the Industrial improvement Fund, subsidies and subsidies.

In turn, Dmitri Kostromin, Vice president of Sales and Marketing, complained that 89% of the funds that the Russians spend on purchasing fresh cars go to China, and only 11% goes to the home company. Previously AvtoVAZ actively lobbied to rise the recycling fee due to competition with Chinese companies.

In 2023, the sales of Lada cars in the country increased 1.9-fold, to 352.6 1000 units, resulting in AvtoVAZ being second after Chinese producers (456.1 thousand). During the January-October period its sales amounted to 377,9 1000 pieces. At the same time, the company expected to sale PLN 500 1000 by the end of the year. He set the same standard in 2025. AvtoVAZ does not print financial statements.

According to Autostat's 2024 forecast, the Russians will buy about 900,000 Chinese cars. At the same time, the revenues of dealers from the sale of fresh cars from China in this country in the first half of the year reached 1.7 trillion rubles.

3. 30 Russian airlines are facing bankruptcy.

Thirty tiny and medium-sized Russian airlines, which operate more than a 4th (26%) of passenger traffic in the country, could go bankrupt in 2025 – informed Izwiestia.

The fast deterioration of the financial situation and the withdrawal of operator certificates threatens air carriers due to increased debts due to the leasing of abroad aircraft. After the imposition of sanctions in 2022, many of them ceased paying leasing instalments. In 2025, the government allowed their debts to be released, but these amounts will be subject to income taxation of 25%. This financial burden could force them to close.

So perceive to your debt in leasing companies. The government says don't pay- relax. But since you don't pay those debts, we're dealing with income, so 25% please. It's just beautiful.

NordStar Airlines CEO Leonid Mokhov has already pointed out this problem. In a letter to the Air Transport Operators' Association (AET), he noted that despite the entry of aircraft in the Russian registry and continuation of home flights, leasing agreements with abroad owners are inactive in force. Punishments are evidently expanding due to the fact that no 1 will give up.

At the same time, air carriers utilized leasing money to keep the airworthiness of aircraft which had been driven by sanctions. These are the spare parts of parallel import. It wasn't cheap, of course.

At the same time, Mochow noted that only large airlines, Aeroflot, Ural Airlines and S7 Airlines, could buy leased aircraft at the expense of the National Welfare Fund (NWF). one more time we have crucial and more crucial and creating large players at the expense of tiny players.

In view of the threat of the bankruptcy of tiny and medium-sized airlines, AEVT has been developing proposals for amendments to the taxation code to defend the interests of airlines, informed Izwiestia

Almost the full fleet of Russian carriers was registered in Bermuda, Ireland and another European countries, and the average fee for the non-new Airbus A320 was $80–150 1000 a month, says Andrey Patrakov, the founder of the flight safety and certification service RunAvia. In his view, it is incorrect to treat exempt leasing charges as income and to taxation them as they service to keep airworthiness.

Dissatisfaction of marketplace participants is understandable, as the written commitments concern ‘inoperative income’ and the ‘saved’ money is included in the profit and taxed," said Boris Romanow, task manager at S&K.

‘The initiative of airlines and AEVT aims to guarantee that outstanding debts to abroad leasing companies are not considered as profits. There are already examples of another abroad creditors in the taxation Code," Romanov concluded.

I don't think they're gonna do anything. The government needs that money, but they don't request those carriers. It will be easier to control and manage 2-3 large alternatively of 10 tiny ones.

4. Kazakh Banks again extended the times of transfers.

Russian companies face a sharp increase in payment deadlines in Kazakh banks: in November, money transfers lasted on average 24% longer than in July, and in any cases the money transfer lasted 2 months.

"The more complex and larger the transaction, the longer it takes to process it," says Andrey Gusev, Managing Partner of the Nordic Star Chancellery.

According to Roman Romashevsky, the financial manager of the transport company PEK, Kazakh banks tightened the rules and demanded more and more additional papers and explanations with data on sending companies as well as recipients of funds, characteristics of goods and details of transactions.

The situation with payments for Kazakhstan deteriorated about 3 weeks ago, said Anna Fomicheva, the founder of Digital abroad economical Activity. According to her, the minimum settlement period is 7-10 days, but more than half of the calculation is delayed by a month.

"At the same time, we are talking about direct agreements with customs clearance in Kazakhstan, not transit. It became impossible to conduct it about a year ago. Therefore, we decided not to usage Kazakh banks until the situation stabilises. This has become long-term and economically unprofitable," Fomichev explained.

The tightening of the rules by the Kazakh banks is due to the force of global sanctions and the strengthening of global anti-money laundering measures, said Gusina. "Every suspected participation in illegal programs threatens banks with serious image losses," he added.

Previously Bloomberg's sources reported that Russian banks and companies began to choose Kazakhstan more frequently to conduct currency transactions with China. This happened after sanctions were imposed on the Moscow Stock Exchange and the refusal of Chinese and Turkish banks to cooperate with Russian business.

The increased volume of transactions on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) pointed to the strengthening of Kazakhstan's function in the celebration of sanctions by Russia: from July to August 2024 average monthly volumes of tenge trading on the exchange marketplace in Chinese and Russian currencies increased more than twice as compared to the first 5 months of the year and amounted to 893 million yuan (US$127 million) and 86 billion rubles respectively (US$925 million).

5. "Prognosis is dreary". Russian billionaires have begun to prepare for the economical downturn.

Russian business elites do not share optimistic government forecasts of the growth of the Russian economy and do not anticipate Donald Trump, as president of the United States, to lift the sanctions imposed on the Russian Federation.

That's what respective Russian billionaires say in interviews for Bloomberg. These are persons controlling key companies in the Russian Federation, where hundreds of thousands are employed.

According to the plan of the government, Russia will evidence economical growth of 3.9% (after 3.6% in 2023). In 2025 it will only slow slightly, to 2.5%, after which the rate will increase again: in 2026 2.6%, in 2027 2.8% and on average 3% between 2028-30

But the richest businessmen don't believe these numbers. They think they are impossible to achieve, writes Bloomberg.

They claim that the Russian economy is undergoing depressing changes: the departure of western companies has led to a deterioration of the production base, mainly in the device and technology industry. The replacement of imports is slow and the recruitment of hundreds of thousands of citizens for war increases staff shortages.

The agency writes that most billionaires do not believe in the swift end of the war, despite Trump's promise to conclude a "agreement" within 24 hours. They are besides preparing to keep sanctions for which Russia has become a planet evidence holder, ahead of Iran and North Korea. I remind you, possibly any people have already forgotten. possibly any of you don't know.

Forecasts for average and long periods are gloomy – experts from Stockholm School of Economics write.

The global Monetary Fund predicts that next year Russia's GDP growth will slow down 3 times, to 1.3%, and by the end of the decade it will fall to mediocre 1% per year. According to the Russian Central Bank's forecast, in 2025 the economy will increase by just 0.5–1 %, and the dynamics of private consumption and investment may fall to zero. And these are the authoritative colorized data to the limits. What do the differences between these final data and the details look like, we tell you all day.

Key industries of the natural materials manufacture another than crude oil are already experiencing problems due to sanctions. For the first time in a 4th of a century Gazprom has become unprofitable. Coal companies faced a collapse in exports, which is why the experts of the Ministry of Energy announced the threat of bankruptcy of the full industry. Founders reported a sharp decline in sales on abroad markets. present we told you about the airlines and the car industry. A fewer days ago, about the shipping company and all that.

The Kremlin continues to insist that the economy strengthens sovereignty. But billion-dollar megaprojects to replace western technology end in failure after billions were burned: for example, the Russian aviation manufacture for the years 2023–2024. was able to produce only 3 civilian aircraft alternatively of planned 40 and not 1 ice-class gas tanker left Zvezda shipyard.

A fresh problem for business has become an increase in the Central Bank's basic interest rate to levels that the economy has not seen in over 2 decades.

The Central Bank was publically criticized by billionaires Oleg Deripaska and Alexey Mordaszov. another oligarchs admit that Elvira Nabiullin has very fewer tools to slow down inflation due to massive military spending.

6. Number of divorces in Russia with growth record

360 1000 marriages, 318,000 divorces. This is the statistic of the Russian civilian position offices for the first half of the year. It turns out that if six or 7 couples had broken up on average in 10 marriages earlier this year – more than eight.

Russia, which ranked 3rd among all countries in terms of number of divorces. has a chance to become a leader shortly and outrun Kazakhstan and Maldives .

In 2023 there were 3.9 divorces per 1,000 people per year (in Poland 1.4, in Ukraine 2.9).

In Russia, the attitude of divorce to matrimony is worse than ever.

On the 1 hand, the FR is making efforts to encourage young people to marry earlier and to have children more quickly.

This is promoted by the authorities and the media, the state stimulates the birth of children with money.

On the another hand, early marriages frequently end in divorce. People over 30 are more aware of matrimony and their families are stronger.

In addition to natural causes, fresh ones have emerged for 2 years.

In the North Caucasus there was a divorce boom in the years 2022–23, in any republics the divorce rate increased 3-4-fold. Of course, this was due to kid benefit

Let us remind that the monthly payment for children under the age of 17 appeared in 2022, since 2023 has been converted into a one-time service. It is paid if the average income per household associate is lower than the regional social minimum per person.

At the same time, clan traditions, informal agreements between relatives are preserved. That's why after the divorce, the couple inactive lives together.

The Russians besides began to divorce massively due to advanced bills for the media.

The matrimony is dissolved to receive a subsidy from the state to pay for housing and municipal services. specified payment shall be due if the contribution of media costs to the overall household budget exceeds the maximum limit set in the region.

The Russians began to divorce massively due to advanced media bills. The matrimony is dissolved to receive a subsidy from the state to pay for housing and municipal services. specified payment shall be due if the contribution of media costs to the overall household budget exceeds the maximum limit set in the region.

This situation has already led to an increase in divorce rates in any regions, e.g. in Buriacja. In future, this phenomenon is expected to become massive in the region."

According to statistics, women think about divorce twice as frequently as men. And twice more frequently they file a divorce suit – both in Russia.

In an effort to halt the wave of divorces, the authorities sharply raised the divorce fee from 1 January 2025 – almost 8 times. It will be 5,000 rubles alternatively of the erstwhile 650 rubles.

In addition, the State Duma received a bill that would complicate the divorce. A Ministry of Justice is already developing a "conciliatory procedure" involving psychologists who should prolong or block the divorce process, peculiarly if the couple has children or 1 of the spouses disagrees on separation.

State pride is besides considering a bill according to which persons who have been married for 20 years or longer and have never been divorced. They will receive the prize with money and live together for little than thousands of rubles. Members offer to pay their spouses $50,000 for gold mating.

At the same time, according to statistics, the average duration of marriages in Russia is between 5 and 10 years.