Confederacy the key to the power of the Law and Justice? Survey

wbijamszpile.pl 7 months ago

The latest poll by the Pollster investigation Institute for “Super Epress” shows an increase in support of Law and Justice, which reached 34.3 percent, ahead of the civilian Coalition with a score of 32.2 percent. The Confederate won 13,5 percent of the votes, and the 3rd Road and Left obtained 7,7 percent and 5.8 percent respectively. Support for the Left fell due to a divided with the Together Party, which reached 1.5%.

The PiS precedes the civilian Coalition, but inactive without the majority

Law and Justice, despite an increase of 3 percent points compared to the erstwhile poll, inactive cannot number on an independent majority in the Sejm. According to prof. Olgiard Annusewicz, the key to the success of this organization is simply a disciplined and faithful electorate.

The Citizens' Coalition, with the support of 32.2 percent, maintains advanced ratings, but the distance to the Law and Justice has increased. According to commentators, it may be decisive for the result of future elections to mobilise voters outside large cities.

Third Road and Left on the Edge

With a score of 7.7%, the 3rd Road balances at the electoral threshold. Politologists point out that if she had run as a coalition, she might not have crossed that threshold, which could drastically alter the strategy of forces in the Sejm.

The left, gaining 5.8 percent, saw a decline in support. Experts indicate that the break-up with the Together organization had a negative impact on her ratings. She alone earned only 1.5% in the study.

Read more: A survey. Poles appreciate local power

Confederacy? Possible coalitions after the election

According to political scientist Marcin Palady, a possible PiS coalition could be a Confederate, which received solid 13.5% support. This arrangement would give the Law and Justice and the Confederacy most of the mandates in the Sejm, especially in the case of low 3rd Way results.

However, if the opposition had united around the common goal, it could have taken the power of the Law and Justice. However, this script depends on the ability to agree on leaders of groups specified as the Civic Coalition, the Left and the 3rd Road.