Every 4th Pole wants Polexit. Like a cold shower

natemat.pl 1 month ago
A 4th of the respondents support the launch of the EU exit procedure. The most Eurosceptic are PiS voters and villagers.


Poles inactive powerfully like to stay in the European Union, but the latest survey is simply a cold shower: almost all 4th of the surveyed people think that Poland should start the exit procedure soon. Euroscepticism is best seen in the countryside, among right-wing voters and in the group of thirty- and forty-year-olds.

Most of me stay, but Polexit comes out of the niche.

In a public opinion survey conducted by United Surveys commissioned by Virtual Poland, it was asked straight whether Poland should shortly begin the procedure of leaving the European Union. "Definitely not" declared 48.6% of respondents, and 17.1% responded "preferably not". This gives 65.7 percent of respondents who do not want to decision Poland out of the European community.

On the another side are supporters of Polexit – a full of 24.7%. These are 11.6 percent of people who respond to "yes definitely" and 13.1 percent, who choose "more cautiously so". In another words, all 4th responsive believes that the process of leaving the Union should start "in the close future", not in the distant future.

The remainder are undecided or avoiding a unambiguous declaration. It is this group – which fluctuates between the irritation of EU bureaucracy and the fear of the effects of exit – that can find the direction of the debate in the following years.

The right is increasingly anti-EU. PiS ahead of Confederacy


The biggest surprise of the poll is the structure of responses in the electorates of the individual groups. It is not the voters of the utmost organization niches that are the most anti-EU, but the mainstream of the right.

Among those who voted for the Law and Justice in the parliamentary elections, 47% present are in favour of starting the exit procedure from the EU. Importantly, 29 percent of them choose the answer "strongly yes", which shows a hard, emotionally rooted opposition to further membership. Only 33 percent of this electorate is powerfully opposed to Polexit.

Confederate voters are second in terms of support for exit – a full of 41% is "for". In this group, 19% declare "agreement yes", and only 8 percent say decisive "agreement no". This means that among the sympathizers of this Euroscepticism formation, it is more spilled and little unambiguous than in the PiS ranks, but there is no shortage of the hard core of the Polesit supporters.

At the second pole are voters of center and left formations. In the electorates of KO, fresh Left and 3rd Way, EU membership is an almost undisputable foundation – 83%, 88% and 83% respectively declare their opposition to the exit. Significantly, among the KO and Left voters, the percent of "decisive" supporters of Polexit is equal to zero.

Men and Women: Different Faces of Euroscepticism


The survey besides shows a clear division along the sex line – not so much a general attitude towards the Union as a speech of declaration.

There's definitely more political "all or nothing" among men. As many as 19% of men respond to the question of starting the exit procedure from the EU. After adding the answer, we get a full of 28 percent Eurosceptics – almost 1 in 3 respondents. This is simply a signal that there is simply a large group in the male part of society that would be willing to press the exit button without having to think about the consequences.

Women are clearly more careful. "Definitely so" for Polexit declares only 3 percent of them. They are much more likely to choose the answer "perhaps so" – 18 percent. In total, this gives 21% of Eurosceptic declarations, but with a much milder, little revolutionary character. This is simply a signal of impatience and fatigue of EU policy alternatively than the request for immediate separation.

Generation War


Young people aged 18-29 are the most pro-European - as much as 61% of them are powerfully opposed to leaving the EU, and only 13% support the Polexit. It is simply a generation raised in the realities of open borders and EU funds. In the group of 30-49 years, Euroscepticism is the top – as much as 38% advocates leaving the EU, and only 36% powerfully opposes it. In older groups radicalism is decreasing again – for example, among 50-year-olds only 11 percent support Polexit, and most see the benefits of membership.

Village, tiny towns, metropolises. Where does Polexit sound the loudest?


The biggest support for exiting the EU is in the countryside, with a full of 35% of residents in favour of Polexit, 1 in 5 being "strongly yes", even though it is there that EU measures are most felt. In the mediate cities (50-250,000 inhabitants) there are utmost divisions: evidence 59 percent powerfully opposes the exit, but as much as 19% say "decisively so".

In tiny cities scepticism is milder – 19 percent advocates a "more" way out, but no 1 indicated the answer "agreement yes". Large metropolises stay a bastion of Euroenthusiasm – only 15 percent support Polexit, and 2 percent definitely – although at the same time it is there that most people stay undecided.

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