President Karol Nawrocki consistently uses his prerogatives by provoking laws and strengthening his position towards the ruling centreleft and Prime Minister Donald Tusk. The year 2026 is going to be interesting – both for Polish national policy and for the situation in Europe, and decisions taken now can find the arrangement of forces before the elections in 2027.
It is just six months since Karol Nawrocki won the presidential election. Although, as we remember, 2 hours after the closure of the polling stations, the president was announced as Rafał Trzaskowski, erstwhile the results began to flow from the polling stations, it became clear that it would not be as wanted by the ruling centre.
And she wanted full power. It lacked only a “own” man in Belvedere – 1 who would sign by tape everything that had already been prepared or was to be passed by parliament controlled by the political base of Donald Tusk's government. These were expected to be matters related to the economical and social sphere, climate policy, which in the current ruling Polish squad has many fans as well as issues of values.
With specified a arrangement, the Act on the establishment of the Lower Oder National Park could enter into force – to the delight of Berlin, standing on his head so that Oder's navigability was not – officially in the name of the protection of various species of birds and plants. We would besides have an abortion on request and partnerships, which would open the way, sooner or later, to legalize vows for single-sex couples.
It would besides be possible to rapidly change the institutions where the president points out his representatives. Anything individual with the erstwhile crew would fall apart like a home of cards. Next year Poland would be unrecognizable – democratic, ecological and European. But Poles, not for the first time, decided that to give power to 1 squad can occasionally, but not constantly. This was even the case in 2000, erstwhile the re-election of Alexander Kwasniewski gave co-abitation with the then ruling centre-right AWS, and in 2015, erstwhile the Civic Platform continued to regulation and Andrzej Duda of the Law and Justice organization became president. The last experimentation to give all power to 1 crew, we watched in 2020 and that ended there. Since the election in 2023, we had rough cooperation between president Andrzej Duda and Prime Minister Donald Tusk. Today, as a consequence of the sovereign vote, by 2027 we will follow the equally harsh cooperation of president Charles Nawrocki and Prime Minister Donald Tusk
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The nervousness, which has been increasing on the government side for respective weeks, as a consequence of this fact, is increasingly evident. We already have statements from the top officials of the ruling squad suggesting – attention, attention – the unconstitutionality of the President's actions that veto laws. Meanwhile, all kid in the Polish kindergarten knows that it is the prerogative of the head of state, resulting from the 1997 Constitution in force. The president can veto and nothing to those who passed the bill and sent it to the signing.
By the way, we are already seeing, unfortunately, in Brussels salons, a form of usurpation of power by – nomen omen – people who call themselves democrats, who take distant the right to function within the framework of democracy to their opponents. Fish break from the head? The Brussels one? And infects another parts of the body? Looks like it.
The ever-increasing clash of Tusk–Nawrocks, and most late with the overactivity of Deputy Prime Minister Sikorski, seems not accidental. Prime Minister Tusk knows that lost in the view of the current situation is the head of the largest opposition party, Jarosław Kaczyński. He besides knows that the leader of the Confederacy has not late flashed anything peculiar “in plus”. They both go to each other's throats, to the delight of the ruling centre. There is besides the leader of the Crown, Grzegorz Braun, who is increasing in the polls, but in the face of remaining in the toughest antisystem, in opposition to the Confederacy and, above all, to the PiS, this pushing on the right is not considered by Tusk as a greater threat.
It is president Karol Nawrocki – with a fresh social mandate, after six months with a clear advantage of sympathizers over critics of the function. This distinguishes him from the increasingly divided centreright, due to the fact that most voters – from PiS to the Crown – are affirmative for president Nawrocki. This gives a treasure in the form of more than half the indications of Poles – which is not Donald Tusk as Prime Minister. His cabinet and his co-founding parties do not have this advantage. In a word – the dream of democrats, beyond their reach. That's why we have what we have: the constant fire of the Presidential Palace and its main tenant. Liberal media and ruling crew politicians do it. More and more due to the fact that they look at the polls and see that the president's supporters don't shrink. And 2026, Donald Tusk won't be able to make it easy.
I am not accidentally stressing what might happen next year. This will be of fundamental importance for the 2027 elections. After six months after the election, Tusk knows that Nawrocki is not a ‘girl scout’ who is afraid to leave the shelter at night, like young Andrzej Duda. He knows that further vetoing of laws, the President's bad opinion, will make the next year on the president-premier line a direction for the black screenplay – administration alternatively than governance. Which means the points for the centreleft they're going to get won't be awarded.
The year 2026 will be real, felt for the portfolio of all Pole the effects of full turnover of climate policy. Everything that, in the name of the delusions of a "burning planet", leads Europe to marginalisation. The reaction does not should be immediate, but sooner or later it will burden those who supposedly save the planet over the Vistula. On the ruling side, everything that is very eco-friendly, and on the opposition side, supporters of the “cutting of the branch on which you sit” are few. And erstwhile it costs electricity and heating, apart from the followers, i.e. TVN viewers, TOK FM listeners or readers of “Gazeta Wyborcza”, another Poles will not respond positively to the name Tusk.
We can witness the end of the war, or at least the cessation of war in Ukraine. This is besides not the taste of the ruling, due to the fact that there will be no unification of the threat around power – at least those who think alone, alternatively than following the rule of “anyone but the Law”. You can play with fear due to the fact that there is an enemy at the gates, but if the shots outside the southeast border are not, at least for a time, playing “because Russia, due to the fact that Putin” could not have continued.
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It is not by chance that the ruling squad in Warsaw is in the waiting area of the coalition willing to give everything to Ukraine, unless the war is over. In the waiting room, due to the fact that “not for dog sausage”. Berlin or Paris did not recognise and do not recognise that Donald Tusk, to reconstruct the origin of the European community, is needed – apart from giving money to defend Poland to German and French companies. From a debt or something?
Thus, the interior and external situations do not give emergence to optimism for the rulers. If it does not improve, Poles can experience effects in their wallets in 2026, and in the following year it may be even more difficult. We request to include a calendar outside Poland: before we go to the elections in the fall of 2027, the president will be elected by the French. The poll leader is Jordan Bardella, the closest associate of Marine Le Pen, excluded from the election by decision of the French court. This is gonna be the first large shock. The Spanish will besides vote, where the coalition government with the participation of the People's organization – the equivalent of the Civic Coalition – is preparing, and VOX, the hard right. The People's organization itself will have no majority. Finns or Slovaks will besides vote. Italy has the chance to keep the centre-right majority, headed by Prime Minister Meloni.
At the same time, imagine a political turn in France – country number 2 in the EU, maintaining a right-wing course in Italy – country number three, a fresh right-wing course in Spain – country number four, and a possible maintenance of power by the right-wing coalitions in Finland (True Finns) and Slovakia (coal of Robert Fico). This causes convulsions in Brussels Eurocrats. The erstwhile structure of bureaucratic, sex and ecological Brussels, with women with limited thought horizons – specified as Von der Leyen, Matsoli or Kallas – could not have continued without prejudice.
That is why it is so tense – both in Warsaw and in the EU. Eurocrats and Europhiles request a war in Ukraine, due to the fact that then you can attach a centrally controlled Europe, with censorship in the media, migration policy, eco-crazyness and gender-LGBT ideology. This could be stopped in 2 years. The key is 2026. Poles cut their wings to Eurocrats and globalists six months ago. Will another nations in Europe follow? Is it possible to reconstruct the "normal Europe" to the right track?