Armenia on a downward slope

In March of this year, the media semi-stamped over the negotiations of the governments of Armenia and Azerbaijan on the signing of the Treaty on Peace and the establishment of interstate relations.

After this bombastic and gloomy word lies another defeat of Armenia, with disastrous consequences. Globalist media (the alleged West) began to cry out with delight over the chances of "normalization" in the Caucasus - finally! This premature delight should be peculiarly alert to watchful observers. Talks were slow. The Armenian side was occasionally mentioned. In May there was a "private" conversation between Paszynian and Aliyev at the European Political Community conference in Tirana. This month, both parties announced that the negotiations had been successfully concluded and the treaty was ready. As it turned out, not exactly. The Treaty is said to contain seventeen arrangements. Only 3 or 4 have been revealed. On this basis, it can be said that Azerbaijan has placed another ultimatum to the weaker and twice defeated neighbour.

The situation so requires a fewer explanations. Was the destiny of 150 000 Armenian refugees driven out of Arcah, their native land, in the fall of 2023? No, they're inactive increasing in the territory of present-day Armenia. True, there have been rumours that the Azerbaijanes will at least release illegally imprisoned Armenians, defenders of their country from 2023, considered by the winners to be “terrorists”, but, as far as I know, this has not been officially confirmed.

Has the position of Arcach (Modern Karabach), the land of eternal Armenian, seized as a consequence of armed aggression by the Azerbaijanes in autumn 2020 (in part) and autumn 2023 (in whole) been established? No, the Azerbaijanes consider this issue an interior substance of their country. After the exile of Armenians (some of the civilians were simply slaughtered during wartime) and the demolition of their historical legacy will turn this state into a model Muslim and ethnically unified country.

Did Azerbaijan decide to admit to brutally erasing any traces of the Armenian past in the territory of Nachichevan, granted to him from Lenin's grace at the threshold of russian history? I will remind you that Armenian churches were demolished in this territory and gravestones were blown up in Armenian cemeteries. No, that wasn't even mentioned.

What, then, does Azerbaijan want now? Firstly, the liquidation of the alleged Minsk OSCE Group – an reflection and mediation mission, which has indeed long been powerless and inept, but creates at least an appearance of global interest in the Arcach issue. So the Azers say plainly: Arcach-Karabach, won by us in a bloody fight, is and will be ours. Nothing to do with anyone. This is the first "peaceful" proposal for Armenians. Secondly, the Azerbaijani government demands the removal from the territories of both countries of any military quotas of 3rd countries. large condition. In Azerbaijan, they are not present (logistics, weapons and training aid of the Turks is not included in this request).

However, Armenia should, under this condition, terminate the military agreement with Russia and remove the Russian troops which have so far guarded delicate points on the border with Turkey and on the confederate border of Armenia on the River Araks. This condition is equivalent to the final disarmament of Armenia. Her own tiny army can't handle the Azerbaijan invasion, let alone the Turkish storm from the west. It should be noted, however, that the Russian army failed as a defender of Armenians after 2020, and especially in 2023, erstwhile it did not even want to break the blockade of the alleged "Latin Corridor" between Armenia and the relic Arcach area. This blockade was a clear breach of the truce agreement of November 2020 from Azerbaijan. The Russians' credibility had a clear geopolitical cause. During the chronic massacre in Ukraine, Russia successfully seeks the neutrality of Turkey and avoids an acute conflict with Azerbaijan (reserved fuel resources). The Armenians so stopped trusting Russia.

The Azerbaijani package for this treaty contains a real revelation. Azerbaijan demands Armenia to change the constitution in those articles that talk about the violently lost historical national areas (the last was the Arces) and renounce any re-enforcement in the future. The war and political conquests of the Azera are to stay in their possession. No legal expression for this state of affairs can undermine. To date, the Armenian delegation has refused to respond to this insolence.

The draft "peace treaty" is an expected defeat of Armenia. Paszynian's government has had a capitular attitude since the end of 2023, as it sees no way out of a desperate situation. After the humiliation of 2024 – the failure of 4 border villages in the state (marz) of Tawusz (despite the mass protests of the nation) – there is simply a worse future. The Azerbaijanes openly uphold the request I wrote about in February of this year. As Hitler in 1939 demanded from Armenia an extraterritorial east-west transit road moving along the northern bank of the River Araks on a long between the Azerbaijani territory of Nachichenia and the area of the Azerbaijani "tulin" of Karabach captured in autumn 2020. If this happens, it will cut Armenia off from the last tactical ally (wariła Turkey) or Iran. As I have already written, through the border and river town of Meghri goes regular to Armenia the vital import of Iranian fuels (petroleum, petrol, propellant oil, gas). However, Iran's current threat to Israel cannot be overlooked.

Like Germany in 1939, Azerbaijan, supported by Turkey, will not halt there. one more time the slogan appears forbids Armenian state (marz) Sjunik, besides called Zangezur. The failure of this province, pressed between the 2 Azerbaijani territories, will forever push Armenia distant from the border with Iran. The dwarf Armenia will be at the mercy of Turkey. all conscious Armenian remembers what a national being means under specified conditions. all day it is worth remembering the years 1895 and 1915-1916. There was a large danger over Armenia.

Prof. Tadeusz M. Trajdos

Photo: Wikipedia

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