The full-scale Russian-Ukrainian war entered a fresh phase in the autumn of 2022. The Russian Federation's Armed Forces are undergoing major organizational changes and the completion of ranks exhausted by army fights. Changes in the conduct of war are besides noticeable, but besides the deterioration of the quality of the aggressor's military equipment. What factors will affect the war in 2023? Will the Ukrainians give advice to a mass army of conscripts? Part 2 of the forecast.