American flags – symbol of democracy // unsplash.com, photograph by Dyana Wing So2024 will be the electoral year for a large part of the globe. There is no uncertainty that any change in power, even in the smallest country, will carry a certain amount of rifts on earth’s chessboard. None, however, will be observed as closely and with specified a tightness of thumbs and air in the lungs as the election of the president of the United States of America.
The present head of state, Joseph R. Biden jr. – will most likely fight the erstwhile head of the US Armed Forces – Donald J. Trump (despite charges against him). For both of you, this will be the second effort to extend your residence in the White House, which is the fight for re-election. This competition will be very balanced, as the current results of the polls talk of even support, with a deviation of the top by 4 percent points advantage. Ultimately, the most crucial variable may be the level of support in the alleged swinging states, or states in which citizens at any election to date did not respond in a clear way after 1 of the parties to the Republican-Democratic political repression.
The least determined
The main ever-unspecified electoral centres of the most crucial federation of the planet are the states: Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin and Georgia. These 4 administrative entities live in a full of over 27 million Americans, which translates into as much as 8.2% of the full population of the territory under Washington jurisdiction. In order to realize the microscopic scale of the difference between the results obtained in these regions by the 2 largest parties of the superpowers of the Western cultural circle, it is worth returning to the erstwhile elections. During the last campaign, Joe Biden won in the six most politically upset states, enjoying a combined advantage of only 44,000 votes, which, given the number of voters, is only a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of possible opportunities.
His wings, however, are full developed by Biden's top rival 4 years ago. Businessman by choice and cresus by birth, Donald Trump. All the signs in the sky and earth now seem to advocate his re-candidacy for the Republican Party. If you believe in analyses, in the primaries you will be able to number on the support of up to 61% of the representatives of your party, erstwhile at the same time, the most serious contender to replace it in obtaining this honorable nomination, Florida's politician Ron DeSantis has about 12 percent of the votes of the representatives of that group.
The President, who is now in charge, is judged by colleagues far more critical. In January last year, there were only 46% of the people from his home organization who applied for the continuity of his office as head of state. The results of the repeated survey do not give his followers optimism. By November 2023 his results had reached only 40%. This situation is the first specified case since 1980 – then another members of the democratic block were in a strong number behind the re-election of Jimmy Carter.
Trump a black horse race?
So erstwhile we put together data on both individuals, we can conclude that a multiple bankruptcy (Trump) actually precedes erstwhile vice president Barack Obama (Bidena) already in the run-up. According to a survey commissioned by CNN television, a erstwhile businessman, mainly active in hotel construction, has 49% of the support, compared to 45% held by erstwhile Senator of Delaware State – Joe Biden. However, the message that things will go with 100% certainty to the erstwhile president's head can be inserted between fairy tales. It is crucial to take account of the form of the American electoral strategy and, consequently, to take into account the origin of the electoral college, which makes the final decision on the presidency. It must take into account the voice of citizens, but not necessarily follow it entirely. This has happened respective times (including Donald Trump's election in 2016).
Both candidates have their supporters, but even among them there are criticism voices. As regards the presently serving nation, the people surveyed as concerns about potential, the next 4 years of his regulation pointed out: the right age of the president (he will end 82 this year, and already is the oldest head of Washington's homeland in past and 1 of the oldest representatives of executive authority in the planet in general), as well as the degree of his awareness or even possible engagement in the illegal course of his son. As regards the author of the paraphrase “Make America large again!”, he is besides referred to as “Make America large again!” and the number of villages he has lived is besides referred to, but in addition, the citizens are primarily afraid about the allegations he has made, as well as his approval, or at least his deficiency of opposition, the rape of democracy in her heart, or the march on Capitol in early 2021.
Predictions about who, why, or what majority our friends from across the ocean are so nothing more than fortune-telling from fuzes. To the right, to the left, to the right, to the right, each of the variants will bear the colossal consequences, which we as humanity will know in their distant future. 1 thing's for sure, he's coming in large steps with a very breathtaking race. So I propose you fasten your seatbelts and hold tight. Ready? To take off?
Mr Mateusz Wasielewski
