- Analysts of the Institute for War Studies indicate that Russians are building a way and a railway line to strengthen the network of connections in occupied areas in Ukraine
- The ISW warns that a ceasefire would let Russia to prepare a larger offensive, including — possibly — crossing Dniepr
- Russian troops are located 30 km from Kharkiv and 25 km from Zaporozh, which requires faster supplies of weapons for Ukraine from the West,” emphasises the ISW
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According to analysts, the Washington centre, the Russians are building a car way and a railway line to strengthen the network of connections between Russia and cities in the Ukrainian occupied areas. In the opinion of the ISW, this will let Russians to further consolidate their power in these areas.
Furthermore, as the latest Think Tank analysis states, Russian troops can usage a possible ceasefire to prepare a large-scale offensive, including crossing the river Dniepr. According to American experts, this could consequence in breaking the current front line and threatening crucial cities presently controlled by the Ukrainian side, including Zaporozh.
Mike Waltz, US President's safety Advisor announced Sunday that Ukraine would receive safety guarantees in exchange for territorial concessions. The White home typical did not specify what these guarantees and concessions would look like.
The needs of the Ukrainian army may be greater
During his speech, Waltz pointed out that in diplomatic talks about the end of the war in Ukraine, Washington would consider “realias on the battlefield”. The ISW points out that the Russian authorities have repeatedly utilized this phrase erstwhile they spoke of situations at the Kremlin's territorial front and conquests in Ukraine.
Russian troops are 30 km from Kharkiv and 25 km from Zaporozh, which means that Europeans and Americans will gotta deliver even more weapons to Ukraine and do so even faster — so that the Ukrainians can defy the enemy’s attack, the ISW estimates.
If the ceasefire meant "freezing" the current front line, crucial European forces would be needed to counter possible future Russian attacks. At the same time, if Ukraine could recapture any strategically crucial territories, as suggested by U.S. president Donald Trump, this could "reduce the cost" of a possible peace for Kiev and the West," the analysts stress.
Despite negotiations Moscow does not want to make any concessions on the territories seized in Ukraine. Representatives of the Kremlin have repeatedly said that they do not agree to the presence of NATO troops in the country and do not imagine that Kiev could join the Alliance,” says the report.
