The alleged German movie about Ukrainian refugees is manipulation

fakenews.pl 1 year ago

For respective days now there has been a German movie on the net presenting the anti-Ukrainian campaign. Refugees from Ukraine are compared to a buckle clamped on women's nipples. Their presence is expected to destruct the German economy, so the only way out is to break the buckle, and so return the refugees to the country. The movie besides presents many statistic to prove the presented thesis. What connects them is that their context has been manipulated to trigger a circumstantial reaction in the recipients.

Thesis:

Refugees from Ukraine are liable for the economical crisis in Germany and are liable for the deterioration of the quality of life in that country.

Our evaluation:

Manipulation

More about our evaluation system:

The German movie appeared, among another things, on the site X (old Twitter). It is usually made available without any comment, and the full context of the recipient must add itself. The recording was besides recorded in Polish Telegram. They were besides made available here without any discussion. The video has not yet gained more popularity in our country. However, we decided to take a look at him due to the fact that he could rapidly flood the information space.

German movie — Who Is the Author?

The recording looks like a professionally assembled material. He's not much of an amateur job, he's more of an ad place maker. The suggestive message easy reaches the audience and creates certain emotions.

A fast look at the movie shows us that there is simply a pink logo in the advanced right corner. We easy identified them as belonging to a German feminist organization Deutscher Staatsbürgerinnen-Verband (German Citizens' Association — ed.). However, we did not find this material either on the website or on the social media of the entity. We have so decided to contact the organization and ask if they have anything to do with the movie and whether they support the message it contains.

We rapidly recovered the answer from Sandra Cegly, president of the association. It denied that Deutscher Staatsbürgerinnen-Verband had anything to do with the recording. The logo was utilized without the approval of the association. In her email reply, she besides stated that “the transmission of [the video] is shocking. We do not support him." So the recording, despite the usage of the association logo, has nothing to do with it and contradicts the values it professed. Unfortunately, we were incapable to identify the first origin of this video. However, there are any clues that it is part of the Kremel propaganda game.

Russian trace

How determined Fact-checking portal DPA, the above movie was mainly distributed by Russian social media accounts. He appeared, among another things, on the website X (old Twitter). We'll besides find him on the portal. YouTube. Russian press besides picked up on the subject. Pro-Russian Service Donbass Today Although he did not share the movie itself, he referred to the alleged position of the German Citizens' Association, utilizing accurate quotes from the film.

As an additional clue, 1 of the actresses participating in the movie wears a black top with the inscription “Future Vision” (seen on the above screenshot). As it turns out, these clothes origin from the collection of a clothing company from St. Petersburg. This is another clue that may indicate that the recording was created as part of a Russian disinformation operation.

German movie — Thesis

Several figures were besides shown in the video. We decided to look at them 1 by 1 and briefly discuss them. As it turns out, they are mostly manipulated, disregarding the essential context, and mistakenly combine correlation with a causal-effect sequence. We're dealing with a alleged cherry picking, which is matching data under the thesis.

Thesis first

1 204,000 Germans left the national Republic, leaving mainly for Switzerland, Austria and the USA — We are dealing with manipulation. In fact, in 2022 Germany left more than 1,200,000 people, but most of them were not German citizens. This is not a very amazing number either, as it returned to pre-pandemic levels. German citizens themselves It's gone. From the country, little than 270,000. Here, too, the situation returned to the 1 before the pandemic. Indeed, the most popular countries to travel for Germans were Switzerland, Austria and the USA. It is not true, therefore, that more than 1 million Germans have left their country due to the fact that most of them are citizens of another countries.

Thesis 2nd

Germany's public debt reached evidence level of 2.37 trillion euro — this is true, but one more time given without appropriate context. With a leap in Germany's public debt We had to deal with in 2020. It was then that he began to grow very quickly, and this was due to the covid crisis. The economical problems in Europe, initiated by the invasion of Ukraine, have only increased the debt that has grown rapidly before. It is so not the work of refugees from Ukraine, but the economical downturn worldwide since 2020.

Thesis 3

The national deficit in Germany increased to EUR 42.1 billion — these data are actual and refer to until the first half of 2023. The deficit is besides higher than the same period from the erstwhile year. However, there are besides different factors here, and the answer to why the budget gap in Germany is expanding is not simple. However, it is surely not related to refugees from Ukraine, and above all to aid packages and subsidies from the national government, which increased as a consequence of inflation and advanced energy prices.

Thesis 4

Germany had to close 50 600 companies — here besides we are dealing with real data originating from the first half of 2023. They concern the bankruptcy of companies of greater economical importance. All companies that declared bankruptcy were 246,000. That's actually more than 14% last year. However, at the same time large companies were created 62.7 1000 and all 317 600. This is 10% more than in 2022. This means that there were far more start-ups than those that declared bankruptcy. Finally, it is worth to add that in erstwhile years intended crucial measures to aid companies, as well as many of them, have suspended the work to declare bankruptcy. This ended with the beginning of this year, hence the jump in recorded bankruptcies. erstwhile again, Ukrainian refugees had no influence.

Thesis fifth, sixth and seventh

Germany has importantly reduced budget expenditure on student welfare, pensions and digitalisation — erstwhile again, it is true. In fact, backing of vocational education, alleged BAföG, fell EUR 440 million. national social safety subsidies besides decreased EUR 600 million. However, the budget for digitalisation decreased up to 99% from € 377 to €3.3 million. besides in this case, there are wider financial problems of the German government, which do not depend on 1 origin and are the consequence of many reasons. In addition, they concern only national expenditure, not Land budgets, where the situation varies according to a peculiar region.

Summary

There are many indications that this recording was created as part of the Kremlin's disinformation campaign. The dramatic movie and its flooding with meticulously selected data are intended to stimulate circumstantial emotions in the audience. This time, it is to be an aversion to refugees from Ukraine who are presented as liable for Germany's economical problems. In fact, the economical and budgetary situation of this country is simply a complex issue, and the causes of this state of affairs are multiple. It is not liable for 1 factor, and the main components are the covid crisis and the consequences of the invasion of Ukraine alternatively than the presence of refugees.

Sources

DPA Factchecking: https://dpa-factchecking.com/germany/230907-99-109576/

Deutscher Staatsbürgerinnen-Verband: https://staatsbuergerinnen.org/

Statist:

Statistisches Bundesamt:

Die Zeit: https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/2023-08/statistisches-bundesamt-betriebe-gewerbe-aufgeben

Sozial Platform: https://sozialplattform.de/en/content/profunding-professional education-bafog

MDR: https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/deutschland/politik/haushalt-kabinett-sparen-elterngeld-pflege-bafoeg-bahn-radwege100.html#sprung4

Deutsche Rentenversicherung: https://www.deutsche-rentenversicherung.de/DRV/DE/Ueber-uns-und-Presse/Presse/Meldungen/2023/230705-kuerzung-bundeschuss.html

Tagesschau: https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/innenpolitik/digitalisierung-132.html

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