The inhabitants of Saxony-Anhalt will elect a landtag on Sunday 6 September, and AfD in the last Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll has 41 percent, compared to 23 percent CDU. This announces the AfD's triumph in this landa and the dense test for the "fire odor" which another parties separate it from power.
AfD has 18 points advantage over CDU
The latest Forschungsgruppe Wahlen survey, published September 3 for ZDF, gives AfD 41 percent support. CDU achieves 23 percent, Left 11.5 percent, SPD 8,5 percent, Greens 6 percent, FDP 3 percent, and BSW 4 percent. The survey was conducted from September 1 to September 3 on a example of 1044 people. A summary of fresh studies shows that AfD's advantage is not a one-time leap: the batch has remained between 40 and 43% since May.
Official election calendar of Saxony-Anhalt confirms that the vote will take place on 6 September. The voters will choose the ninth landtag and the Land is divided into 41 districts. 398 candidates from 16 parties apply for tickets. By 25 August, any 335,000 correspondence voting packages were issued, equivalent to about 1 5th of the eligible ones.
Five years was adequate to turn the force around.
The scale of change is enormous. W official results of the 2021 election The CDU won 34.1 percent of the votes for letters and the AfD won 20.8%. present the poll gives the chadeks 11.1 points less, while the AfD almost twice as much as it gained 5 years ago. This is simply a political bill issued to groups that have for years recognised that the very separation of the AfD will solve the problem of the increasing revolt of voters.
German political scientist Prof. Wolfgang Merkel explained in Interia that the origin of AfD's popularity is primarily disillusionment with conventional parties and failure of assurance in them. This diagnosis is at the heart of it. ‘Brandmauer’, a fire barrier excluding cooperation with AfD, may block the coalition in parliament. However, it cannot invalidate a citizen's vote or answer the reasons for his decision.
Already in 2025 AfD's support for Saxony-Anhalt exceeded 40%.. The mainstream parties got a long warning. alternatively of regaining credibility with a circumstantial policy, it continued with the method of moral separation of the competitor. The voters clearly felt that the political ban on conversation did not replace the answer to their concerns.
The dam can survive, but it will become more hard to manage
The poll does not give AfD an independent majority. However, it shows that any effort to keep it outside the government will require a broad agreement of the parties powerfully different programmes. Arithmetics can so save "Brandmauer", but the price will be the coalition built primarily against the election winner. specified an office from day 1 will gotta prove that it has a common plan, not just a common opponent.
The force of AfD has already changed the language of German politics. Markus Söder tries to take her voters with a more strict approach to deportation. It is simply a confession, though indirect, that any of the topics pushed under the carpet over the years return to the mediate of the debate. Citizens cannot be taught indefinitely that they feel badly the effects of decisions taken above their heads.
The consequence in Magdeburg is crucial for Poland
Saxony-Anhalt does not set the policy of all Germany, but the Sunday consequence will be a clear signal for Berlin. Germany is the largest economy of the European Union and a country whose decisions on migration, energy and EU integration straight affect Polish safety and portfolios. The expanding strength of AfD means for Poland the request for cold analysis, without delight and without hysteria.
AfD's programming demands must besides be assessed by the Polish interest. Ideas for Germany's exit from the euro and Schengen area could affect trade, cross-border workers and freedom of movement. On the another hand, opposition to uncontrolled migration and the imposition of costly ideological projects shows how far German elites have left part of their own society. Poland is not obliged to support any German party. He has a work to defender his sovereignty.
Sunday will show the real result, but the political lesson is visible today. You can build a wall between parties in parliament. A wall between the state and hundreds of thousands of disappointed citizens cannot be built without further undermining assurance in democracy.
Source: Interia, Statistical Office of Saxony-Anhalt, Wahlrecht.de
Source: Interaction Facts
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