In the last fewer hours before the voter silence, we learn about the results of the presidential polls. In the survey Opinion24 for RMF FM is rather surprising. Although Rafał Trzaskowski remains the leader, his support fell below 30%. The second is Karol Nawrocki and the 3rd is Sławomir Mentzen.
Friday, May 16, brings out a rash of polls. This is due to the fact that the run is on the last consecutive and in a twelve hours the election silence will begin before the Sunday presidential election. In the survey carried out by the Opinion24 for RMF FM, 1 thing does not change – it is the candidate of the Civic Coalition that remains the favourite to win I tour.
However, there is rather a surprise, virtually unnoticed throughout the campaign. The Citizen Coalition candidate was on the "psychological" border, which means that his support was below 30%.
A fresh poll for hours before the voter silence. Trzaskowski under 30 percent
The vote for Rafał Trzaskowski was declared in the poll by 29.7% of the respondents who will participate in the election on 18 May. Second place is Law and Justice candidate Karol Nawrocki with a 25 percent support. Sławomir Mentzen is besides placed on the podium – the Confederate wants to vote 10.5 percent of the respondents.
The next places are: Szymon Hołownia (Third Road) – 6.1 percent, the candidate of the Left Magdalena Biejat – 6 percent, Adrian Zandberg (Together) – 5.5 percent, Grzegorz Braun – 5.4 percent. The another candidates evidence much lower results: Krzysztof Stanowski obtained 1.7 percent indications, followed by Marek Jakubiak (1.5 percent) and Joanna Senyszyn (1.3 percent).
Interestingly, 6.2 percent of respondents who declare to participate in the vote do not yet know who they will support. In addition, “only” 79 percent of PiS voters want to vote for Nawrocki. On the another hand, only half of the supporters of the 3rd Way declare voting for the Holovnia, and 16 percent of this group intends to put a cross by the name of the candidate KO.
According to RMF FM, supporters of Donald Tusk's group are by far loyal to Trzaskowski – he wants to support 90% of the group.
II turn for Trzaskowski
The respondents were besides asked who they would vote for in a possible 2nd circular of presidential elections. In the first scenario, the rivalry between Trzaskowski and Nawrock was taken into account. The candidate could number on 48.5% of the votes, and the head of the IPN would score 44.4%. Let us point out that 7.1% of respondents inactive hesitate in this case.
In the second scenario, if Trzaskowski and Mentzen were in the second round, 51.7 percent of the respondents would vote for the president of Warsaw and 42.9 percent for the Confederate candidate.
Let's add that on May 16 the results have already been published respective polls. In the survey of the Pollster investigation Institute for “Super Express” Rafał Trzaskowski would gain 34.2% of the indications in the first circular and Karol Nawrocki 26.9%.
However, in the United Surveys poll for Virtual Poland, the advantage of the candidate KO somewhat decreased. In the first round, voting for Trzaskowski declares 31.5 percent of respondents, and at Nawrocki – 26.6 percent.
