I'll start with something that I think is the most important. Batyr's win was not a "bug" in our perfectly functioning system. It was a natural consequence of what this strategy had become. For the record, by a “system”, I mean something that we will receive after gathering together social realities, political realities, media realities, “shape” of public debate/etc. Incidentally, the same "bug" was not Andrzej Duda's win in 2015 (although I would very much like to believe it, due to the fact that a small little would most likely bother me that it seemed at that time that his win was unrealistic). To be honest, specified a “bug” was the double win of PiSu in 2005. There were a fewer things that applied to it (e.g. the fact that for 5 twelfths of the PiS began to screw up in PO polling spots, or the fact that it was the surroundings of Tusk by murmuring methods that took Cimoszewicz [yes, I know, he resigned himself, but not for no reason]), but it could inactive be considered an accident at work.
Except you know. Even if we consider that it was an accident at work in 2005, it was worth drawing any lessons from it so that specified an accident would not happen again. The PO did something else. She thought it was an accident at work, and she didn't learn anything just in case. Nor did the platform pay attention to the fact that the reality (i.e. the previously mentioned ‘system’) is changing.
I am not able to indicate any borderline minute at which it "started", but 1 of specified moments (and very visible) was what happened after the "catastrophe" in Smolensk. Almost immediately it turned out that PiS would want to rise political capital on this. At this point, it is time for 1 confession from my side: any time after the disaster we discussed this subject in any classes (but concerning persuasion communication) and I have shown myself so far-reaching naivety that I want to laughter at it. Well, we were wondering who the PiS was going to put out and what's going to happen, and then I made an opinion that said that it would most likely be that Jarosław Kaczyński would retreat from politics after this tragedy. The lead said that in his opinion it was improbable and that the presidential candidate would most likely be "unfortunately Jarosław". I didn't argue with him, though it seemed improbable to me. Well, increasing out of naivety is simply a long-term process.
Of course, PiS could not coinise politically Smolensk by telling the truth, so they began to enter the public debate (unless for the first time on specified a scale). The PO had 2 options then. First: go short with PiS in public space and explain each of these theories as shortly as they appeared (to make any information campaign). Secondly, to conclude that nobody, but PiSowski's concrete, will believe it, and PiS himself will bleed to death politically and fall down and smash his face. In the short run, this proved to be effective, as PiS in 2011 went to elections in a full communicative mess, sowing to the left and right with conspiracy theories. This ended in the second consecutive defeat (so severe that the PiS lost respective % of the vote).
And on the 1 hand, it's all good due to the fact that the PiS lost, so you can sit in the CS. But on the another hand, all these theories aren't gone. They devoured in PiSowski's act so profoundly that it was 1 of the founding myths: Russians killed us president due to the fact that they were afraid of him, and Tusk was most likely involved. Tusk then decided that the case would solve itself (PiS would never win again, and beyond any margin no 1 would believe in this nonsense). Kaczyński, on the another hand, saw that he could unpunishedly spread disinfo 24/7 and not only that he did not bear any consequences, but the media are inactive scrupulously leaning over it (of course, not over debunking, but over spreading these theories), spreading them even further. To make it even more fun, the disinfo binds its toughest electorate and does not let it to get loose (the fact that a concrete electorate is needed, they found Lepper and Gierty at 1 time).
And then it went downhill. The PiS began a long march to win. This march was 1 dezinfo after another. And these are any genders (though it must be admitted to PiS that he did not invent this narrative, he got it from the Church) and this is the privatization of forests, and this is the "falsified elections in 2014" and many others. Incidentally, this communicative of the "falsified" elections proved to be the most bearable. It started with the fact that during the 2014 local elections there was a multi-futkum. The first 1 to happen due to the state's responsibility was that the recently changed strategy in the PKW took over and broke out. The second was due to the fact that any voters were defeated by the ballot book.
Let's halt for a minute here. I am very knowing and I do not look everywhere for the strength of "Social guilt". Nevertheless, 100% of the voters who voted or "by heart" (not looking at the list on which their name is deleted) were to blame for this fuckup, or either invalidated their vote by voting for respective people simultaneously. The problem was that PSL had drawn the No. 1, so any voters mistakenly voted for them.
And that was adequate to have Pis build a communicative of "stealed elections" and since then mobilized its voters, informing them of "chosen forgeries". In 2015 1 of the PiSowski influencers founded on the FB action "take your pen for election" (because if you don't take it, the committee will give you any left 1 that will vanish and the vote will be void). Then she explained her failures with “election counterfeits”. In 2023 there were rumours that this failure was the responsibility of the left certificates and that people had voted fartillion times either on 1 certificate or they were copying them (which is impossible). On the occasion of these elections, we had a disinformation action organized by SuwPolowcy (+ Czarnka and a fewer another people), which, in my opinion, was the basis for trying to competition the consequence of the election (or advanced turnout frightened the United Right and were afraid to repeat from 2023 [and then it turned out that it was a 2018 replay erstwhile it turned out that the increased turnout was not at all in PiS's hand).
And so the PO continued, and the PiS picked and dug until he yet won the 2015 presidential election. If anyone wants to look for guilty persons of what happened in the course of the local elections, the culprits were Komorowski's staff. Well, it's a digression. In the meantime, the PiS produced and let into circulation from cholera misinformation. PO either didn't want to, or she couldn't handle it anymore. For the record, it is not that I think Komorowski lost only by disinfo, but it was 1 of the pillars of the PiSu run (in the campaign, for example, the Smolensk issue). And then future parliamentary elections, which the PO besides fucked due to the fact that it could in no way defend itself against idiotic narratives about the threat of Islamism/etc.
What has the Law and Justice done, who has been convinced that disinformation is simply a useful tool in politics so far since the cholera has been there (of the costs it will be about in a moment)? The TVP was plowed and replaced with a giant disinformation factory. Yeah, I know it's bad now, nothing like it has to do with what the PiS did before (which, of course, does not explain the propaganda of TVP in liquidation at all). Since PiSu's disinformation was the main tool for policy making, it is not hard to figure out why the same Law and Justice Service did not take on social costs.
And the cost is that in the first circular Braun and Mentzen had more than 20% of support. But, as Voloshansky utilized to say, “let us not inform the facts.” The Law and Justice Department did a large occupation (while scheming on elgiebets, and this on teachers, and this on residents), but at 1 point it turned out that, as it is constantly littering public debate with disinformational narratives and putting into people's heads that there is no specified thing as nonsubjective reality – there are only “various positions”, that can be a problem. During the pandemic, we could all find out. PiS first completely ignored the fact that in covid issues began to appear disinfo, and then, erstwhile he thought it was a problem, it was besides late. It went fast. While at the very beginning of the pandemic the nonsense narratives about the "light flu" came out only from any highly harsh backgrounds, already during the 2020 presidential campaign, the competition of compulsory vaccination for covid was handled by both "major" candidates (because they both wanted to bend for Bosaka electorate). The full case was surely not helped by Morawiecki, talking about “virus in reverse”.
Then it got worse. The end consequence was that PiS was incapable to vote on its own anti-covid bill, due to the fact that about 40 MPs rebelled. But it did not end there, due to the fact that we had SuwPol, the fucking stupidity about "sanitaryism", fighting any possible sharpening and Janusz Kowalski, who, together with the then associate of Siarkowska, raided the child's home due to the fact that the bombers vaccinated there and did not like it. Although Richard Terlecki said something under his nose that these anti-strains would not let them on the list, but, what a shock, of course they did.
It was peculiarly interesting to have another disinformation narrative. The 1 that was created in 2015. While at its very beginning it was about any more vague “Islamists”, then it extended to all the celestials. On how bearable this communicative was, let the Law and Justice organization attest that they decided to hold a referendum on this issue and in parallel with the parliamentary elections (in parallel with those with which the local elections could not be organised, for no, and so on). Only in the meantime, Donald Tusk besides joined the event, and PiS himself began to disinformation about "bringing in hundreds of thousands of people from Africa/etc." The fact that visas were traded was apparent (videos of beautiful videos that advertised the anticipation of specified a visa), but the communicative of millions of migrants' farts was just a lie. Tusk, as Prime Minister, then spoke of hundreds of millions of migrants who want to enter Europe.
In the proverbial meantime, the media counted the descent on a downward slope, so it was hard to anticipate them to, I don't know, take care of it to fight misinformation. Instead, they distributed it themselves (because it was good to click and the entrances were besides unveiled). Let's add social media in which disinfo can swing at will, and any debunkers have zillion coverage times smaller than the materials they debunk. Thanks to social media, stunning careers were made by people specified as Patryk Jaka, Dominik Tarczyński, Janusz Kowalski and many others. Of course, these careers were mostly misinformation.
Yet, in 2023, the United Right was removed from power. There wasn't much missing at the time. If it wasn't for the usual net move, then the confa could bring her support from the polling highest to the election and then it would have been swept away. It worked, but one more time the PO after the win drew bad conclusions (not only the PO, due to the fact that it was about practically the full coalition, but about that in a moment) and came to the conclusion that the conflict was finished. erstwhile it came to the PO, it was like this: 100 specifics? We don't give a shit. Progressive promises? We don't give a shit. Seizing another electoral promises? I think you know where my argument is headed.
It seemed beautiful good. Blitzkrieg, in which they dealt with the concrete prosecutor and with TVP (I am so old that I remember how Sroczyński before the election explained that he did not know how Tusk would explain to voters that he was not even able to cope with TVP- well, was managed and practically everyone applauded [besides the PiSows due to the fact that they were busy holding the handle on TVP]), proved effective. You could have done anything at the time. For example, could you effort to rebuild public media and as part of these, I don't know, like effort to fight misinformation? But why, if you could make TVP a small soft TVPiS. No feeling, but with comparatively embarrassing propaganda. Besides, if the PO had tried to fight misinformation, then ministers and the Prime Minister would frequently be, that's how I put it, objects of debition.
And again, in the meantime, further disinformation campaigns have begun. 1 of them afraid the Green Deal. And you know, the fresh power could have done 3 things at that point. Gate 1: Explain what the Green Deal is and what it's all about (but that would most likely require them to read it). Gate 2: Screw the subject. And gate 3, which was decided: to start cutting off from the Green Deal and to explain (truely) that it was the Law and Justice who had previously owned it. In another words, alternatively of trying to grasp the subject narrationally, they were allowed to repel misinformation in the hope that PiS would fall from it. And it fell a little, but you won't believe who grew up and why it's about a organization whose name rhymes with the word collaboration. This is precisely what happened with the subject of migration and the alleged "Migration Pact". The subject was given to the fight and then it became a problem, due to the fact that the pact was presented so that they would send us colored people here, which they did nothing. Of course, the EU was corrupt and bad. And since the PO is simply a pro-EU party, no 1 paid attention to the anti-immigrant tirades of Tusk, the suspension of the right to asylum/etc.
The ridicule of public debate with disinformation led to the fatigue of material in society, and this in turn allowed us to instill the belief that "everybody lies". Since everyone is lying, it means that erstwhile further charges were made against Batyr in public space, a large part of the society perceived them as attacks on a presidential candidate. Whether he actually did something didn't matter. It meant where the information came from. And it besides didn't substance that Batyr was lying all the time (vide the situation with the studio erstwhile his own staff produced from the hell conflicting narratives). Incidentally, in the case of a studio, the situation was as simple as the construction of Janusz Kowalski: it was adequate to collect these conflicting statements and make it a run on the Internet? And let Batyr rotation with it. But it was better to think that the Games on Channel Zero is something that would attract millions of votes to Trzaskowski. But it's item and digression.
Let us leave the disinformation issue for a minute (as shortly as we get back to it). And let's focus on the ruling coalition (the issue is "as long as" due to the fact that Tusk announced that he wanted to vote on the vote of confidence, and Holovnia had declared a small earlier that he would actually hold off in this situation).
It seems to me that 1 of the many immense mistakes made by this coalition was the incorrect explanation of why in 2023 the Law and Justice could be removed from power. In my humble opinion, this full squad has come to the conclusion that these elections have won due to the fact that they are simply brilliant. And the fact is, they won it due to the fact that people were sick of PiSu. possibly otherwise, any people had had had adequate of it before, but in 2020 the staff was overdone and the number of “disheartened” grew. In order not to prolong, although voters in 2023 voted for the coalition on October 15, they actually voted in favour of the change that this coalition promised them.
And this is where we come up with 1 more thing that turned out to be crucial. This issue was the unexpectedly good consequence of the 3rd Way and (which, unfortunately, could be expected) somewhat worse than the polling consequence of the fresh Left. With the 3rd Road it was so that any polls (those carried out closer to the elections) showed that it could be thrown out at the threshold, and then to the surprise of many people (including TD politicians) it turned out that they received 14.40% of the vote. And that was the minute that any 3rd Way Soda politicians hit their heads. due to the fact that if they had specified a good score, that means they were undervalued, which means the sovereign loves them, and if he loves them, then they can do whatever they want. Let us add to this this small item in the form of the United Right, which accepted the defeat with dignity and attempted to form a government with zero coalition capacity. However, what came to us was that the PSL was promised everything (including the seat of the Prime Minister). This convinced Kosiniak-Kamysz that this was his minute and all progressive changes (some of them he himself announced, e.g. partnerships) went down + the harsh libation in the economical dimension began. The chronicle's work is to mention that the commentariat has recovered the data that indicated that a bunch of 3rd Way voters did not vote in the second circular of the 2025 presidential election. We may never know why this happened, and it must be the responsibility of those voters.
And that's something that truly surprises me. For everyone knew that the Law and Justice could make his murderous changes mainly due to the fact that he chose social transfers. Besides, you couldn't miss it, due to the fact that the United Right reminded me about all 5 minutes. It would seem that at this point the substance is alternatively simple: you want people to vote for you, then take care of them. Only, as the character from 1 of my favourite films ("Smolensk") said, "It is not simple, and even the opposite." Well, you may gotta take care of people, but you surely request to take care of lobbyists specified as developers. The biggest absurdity is that no reasonable explanation can be found. Can't you do that? We know it can be done, due to the fact that if the government hit any pro-social changes, Duda would not veto it (because he would have destroyed Batyr's chances). Isn't it time or place? The Law and Justice have proven that time and place. Are there more crucial things to do? Okay, with that argument, I could inactive agree, but only in a situation where things are said and tried to do them. The only reason they didn't effort to go pro-social was due to the fact that they didn't want to.
And this is truly the moronicity of the first water, due to the fact that (notice will be capslock) KNOWS THAT IT WORKS. I do not want to be misunderstood, I am a proponent of pro-social politics and does not treat it with the object (i.e. the way the Law and Justice treated it). Nevertheless, I am aware that from the point of view of a society that is "better alive" after specified changes, it is not crucial whether individual has made affirmative changes due to the fact that he is left-wing or due to the fact that he wants to regulation further and internally, for example, despises social transfers/etc. To put it a small differently: even if you want to do ‘important things’, you might want to consider whether blowing off society will not lead to a situation where you will be kicked out of government benches and these ‘important things’ you will not be able to do.
It seems to me that at this point we have reached the most crucial problem of the current ruling coalition, namely that there is no plan there. The fact that there is no "Great Narration" is 1 thing, due to the fact that specified communicative can always be produced. There's no plan. It truly looks like it's a bunch of parties that won the election and I don't think they expected it. due to the fact that as much as (as I mentioned many times) the beginning itself was very good, then everything was scattered and it was not known what the coalition was about. individual might say, "Well, they most likely want to stay in power." but they don't truly care.
Let's go back to the subject of disinformation for a moment, due to the fact that it's a question that shows how much the ruling coalition doesn't care about staying in power. The United Right has accustomed us to the fact that practically all its communication strategy is based on misinformation (the same is actual of conf.). possibly the best example of this is Marcin Warchol, who constantly bombards his pine trees with allegations against “a smiling coalition”. In the vast majority of cases these are invented things (and sometimes criticizes the PO for the regulations that the United Right passed). What does the current coalition do with it? Absolutely nothing, due to the fact that it doesn't matter, does it? As a substance of fact, it's not about a single Warchola (I had to have this wordplay, I'm sorry), but about the fact that disinformation pours out of the politicians' sauces of the far right and it dezinfo itself hula after freedom.
Another issue, nevertheless important. Before the 2023 elections, there were things that even Grzegorz Sroczyński pointed out on the Internet, who interviewed 1 net macher and the same machere said that “algorithm loves Tusk.” He told that Tusk was doing large on Tik Toku and SM. And that was actually true. Yes, sometimes Tusk wrote things on the border of the cringe, but still, he drew immense reach. After the election, that changed dramatically. Yes, Tusk can sometimes give a viral, but in most cases, these are generic entries specified as “well, everyone here said it was bad, and we have GDP increasing and so on. Thus, Tusk of an exceptionally expert man (for his age) in SM turned into the kind that generates boring entries.
In addition, it is very crucial that the ruling coalition most likely did not full realize the mechanics behind the fact that before 2023 (in a simplistic way) opposition content twisted large reach. No, it's not a substance of "Strong Together", although they besides played a part in it. The point was that people had adequate power and supported the side that fought that power. I have a vague feeling that is bound to be (and very possibly even in 1 of the walls of the text about it) that the current power has come to the conclusion that it was so that this full net made scope for them for love. And if something like this could be understood immediately after the election and at the beginning of the fresh coalition's rule, these people should alternatively rapidly realize that it's not that they can control what's happening on the Internet. They should, but they evidently didn't know.
Okay, I admit that at this point I had to take my eye so pi times a fewer weeks off (this is why you owe so long waiting time for this Text Wall), due to the fact that I have fallen (internally) down the level of stupidity and ignorance of the current authorities (with KO at the head, due to the fact that they are the ones playing the first violin). You know, I know something about drinking and political marketing (in my way, it is impossible to describe the Polish reality without knowing it even a small [okay, but I do not aspire to the name of a Polish journalist/publicist, who is always amazed by what happens around, due to the fact that organization spins mix with reality]). I know a small bit about it, but even knowing myself a small bit, I saw that at 1 point the Trzaskowski run turned into something that English-speaking people call "dumpster fire". In its own way, it was a fresh edition of Bronisław Komorowski's campaign.
At the same time, everything could seem right to the organization activists. The election meetings were? They were. Were there spots? They were. Were there single wins in the debate? They were. If specified a run had been carried out 5 or 10 years earlier, then the PO candidate would have won the election. And he would have won them due to the fact that then campaigns like this were. In 2015, Komorowski's campaign, was outdated to pain. They did not respond to what was happening on the net and tried to “do their” alongside what was happening there. And there was only so much that the PiS changed its approach to the Internet. And although the PiSows did not invent the powder again, due to the fact that they simply utilized methods that had previously been utilized in "normal" marketing, it was adequate for the "grandparents" with the PO.
In 2020 it was a small better, but this "slight" was not enough. Now it is time to digression inside the digression in the digression. With this writing it is (which I have most likely mentioned already fartillion times) that sometimes only during writing any elements of the political puzzle jump into the right places. Around this point, I was convinced that if in 2020 the conditions were average (and Duda did not have gigantic support from practically the full state, and TVP would not be the PR cell of PiSu), then Trzaskowski would win these elections. I was convinced that PiS was afraid of these choices. He feared them to specified an degree that he did not want to change their word (another change in the word of local elections). I besides remember perfectly vague Pisowce's faces after announcing the exit-poll results, from which it appeared that nothing in full has yet come out.
Except now I'm not so sure. due to the fact that the fact is that these "normal conditions" are inactive a reality in which idiotic media (I do not have a peculiar desire for euphemisms) and net algorithms disinformation the societies of all countries, which the utmost right uses. I would like to be timid to remind you that, although at the beginning of the pandemic, society (en masse) behaved decently (yes, I know, not everywhere), already during the 2020 presidential campaign, Duda and Trzaskowski were surpassing in assurances that are more against mandatory crown vaccinations. Trzaskowski had 2 options for good at the time: the first was that before the right-wing narratives he had to go back hoping it would attract voters of the "other side". A second possibility: to go on short circuit (by which I besides mean to fight misinformation) in order to motivate the "its" electorate. We all know which way Trzaskovsky's staff went and how it ended. In 2020, everything was more or little clear after the first round, due to the fact that Duda and Bosak had 50+% in the first circular (and then we had to deal with KOs for Confiscation Electorate).
I don't want to be misunderstood. It's not like I think Trzaskowski didn't stand a chance in 2020. He didn't have them due to how his staff campaigned. Although it wasn't the staff's fault. I remember perfectly how Trzaskowski said that they were sending him ideas about how to deal with PiS (I bet that it was about any kind of black-and-press action), but he does not want to conduct politics in this way. And this minute you can say, okay, just don't be amazed that you might have problems winning.
Despite all these 2020 problems, At least Trzaskowski was able to bite off Duda and PiS (a perfect example was the “jemchendzer”). And although it didn't work out for much in the end (because it won't win anyway), any of the actions were done correctly. It looked completely different in 2025. Here it was sometimes that the staff stumbled over their own legs and caused crises (example will be in a moment), and erstwhile Nawrocki's staff made their mistakes (there were plenty of them), the Trzaskovsky staff could not usage them in any way.
We'll start with this second example. About the end of Nawrock's first tour, the studio case broke out. The candidate and his staff themselves explained that everything is fine here and there is nothing illegal there, but simultaneously the same staff and the same candidate were incapable to produce any meaningful and coherent narrative. The ones that were released were contradictory. There have been times erstwhile these conflicting narratives were released almost parallel. And while the Law and Justice could build their policies based on conflicting narratives, this was not a thoughtful action. This seemed to be a consequence of complete unpreparedness to repel the charges. With this studio, it's like if everything was okay there, the communicative would be 1 and it would be the same. due to the fact that if I did something that's legal, then I have no reason to change the version all the time, do I?
The level of polarization is so advanced that whether we consider that any politician is lying depends on who informs us about it and what policy it is. And in the “standard” situation (politicist says one, media points him out) Nawrocks wouldn't have a problem. It would be adequate to say that der onet wrote something – so it is known that it is simply a lie. but that Nawrocki's staff made their own problems by releasing these conflicting versions. due to the fact that here the situation is as simple as the construction of Mark Suski: you collect all statements/inscriptions from Nawrocki/his staff and make a video of it (of course, all message must be sourced). Then you throw it on the net and you look at the right-wing net on fire trying to figure out how to get out of this situation and which politician to sacrifice and how to prove that Nawrocks did not lie to himself. If this were done, Stanowski's tearful communicative about how Nawrocki felt sorry for him through the windshield in the car, that Stanowski doubted him, would have much little effectiveness. Yeah, it's that simple. And yes, no 1 wanted to do that. For the record, it's not like I think if it were done, Trzaskowski would win. This is just 1 of many examples of how much Trzaskovsky's staff did not grasp. It was 1 of the largest (if not the largest) PR fucup of this run and they could not even usage it.
Now we will take an example of how the staff of Trzaskovsky tripped over his own legs. I think everyone heard a right-wing spin about the fact that Trzaskowski is just a soft tube that can't do anything without the aid of a scientist (I personally saw the narratives that already a better kind who went on the setup than the kind who needs a scientist for everything). This organization spin was everywhere, but it was possibly most zealously distributed by “new journalism” or Stanowski, Miziołek/etc.
All right, but where did this even come from? It is from articles that appeared after 1 of the debates in Koński. Well, the article reads that Trzaskowski was prepared for the debate by scientist Natalia de Barbaro (to make it more dramatic that she was talking to him in a separate area [special]). True, the text mentions that Tusk had previously worked with her, so even the fresh Hope of Journalism, Krzysztof Stanowski, should know that it was most likely not so that Trzaskowski had therapy before the debate, but these were details, and in details the devil sits, so it was not bent over. No, it was a dry joke. fresh Journalism simply didn't want to do investigation due to the fact that this spin was besides much for the ND representatives and it would turn out that it was not true.
And since that was not true, it was known from the beginning. In my case, it was that first I got the “Trzaskowski in need”, and then I dug up the source. The name de Barbaro was well known to me due to the fact that erstwhile I was in college, I read different positions in the field of PR and political marketing. 1 specified position was the book “Geting a Voice – Radically applicable Guide to the Election Campaign” by, no guess, but the “Therapist” by Trzaskowski (to be exact, this book was not in my opinion best). The chronicle work is to mention that Natalia de Barbaro besides knew Jarosław Kaczyński, due to the fact that he was gracious with her to scare the sovereign, and that was inactive in 2005. As an interesting fact, if individual restricts investigation to Wikipedia, then there is no mention to this book on the de Barbaro website – 1 should like reading, for example, or another library.
For there to be no doubt: the right (and the fresh Hope of Journalism) spread this spin entirely deliberately, due to the fact that who as who, but they just had to know who this woman was. On purpose, due to the fact that this intent was to put Nawrocki in the Presidential Palace. These narratives, as I mentioned, have spread all over the net and beyond. And here the question is worth asking: where was Trzaskovsky's staff? Until I started writing this text, I was convinced that the staff simply blew it off due to the fact that he was unaware of the danger. It turned out that it was much worse, due to the fact that they blew it off perfectly knowing what was going on. On 7 May, Minister Barbara Nowack spoke in the media about this issue, who said that in general de Barbaro was preparing Trzaskowski from a "communication" angle (ok, I wouldn't be myself if I didn't mention that after de Barbaro lost the 2005 presidential election with Tuski, but possibly you had to decide for another advisor) and added that there was quite a few hate, and that's bad, due to the fact that if individual actually has any problems, then they should go to a headologist and not stigmatize. So, the staff knew what was going on, and yet, he did nothing to safe his candidate.
The simplest thing to do was to explain who de Barbaro was and explain that all politicians usage the services of this kind of advisors (and, however, any advisors are more effective). Of course, it wouldn't break, so it could be wrapped in trolling. For example, it was possible to talk about the fact that Andrzej Duda was in specified a bad state in 2005 that before the debate with Komorowski he needed the aid of a doctor. The right would most likely cry out of outrage and say it's a Facebook, and then the right would say it's okay, which is actual about Dr. Mark Kochan, who's in charge of communication, but if a scientist can only do 1 job, then if someone's a doctor, that means that he's a doctor, and that means that Duda felt truly bad, amen.
Unfortunately, we can't halt the carousel of laughter yet, due to the fact that we have 1 more issue. Okay, the right hand did with this information “about the psychologist” what she did, but how did it even happen that this information appeared in the text? Because, you know, it's not like there's any news on the portals on the occasion of the election all the time that this or any another candidate is utilizing the aid of 1 or another advisor. No, I will not believe that a random writer saw any female in the vicinity of Trzaskovsky and immediately realized that it was Natalia de Barbaro. I'm certain it was the Trzaskovsky staff that leaked the information. Why? due to the fact that it's Trzaskovsky's staff. The run went ‘yes se’, many people complained that much more could have been done. Well, individual in the staff might have thought, "Hey, if we tell them we're a professional here, they're gonna get distant with it, aren't they?" If individual insists that journalists themselves have “come to the truth”, I will tell them that the same journalists were incapable to establish that the net run of Nawrocki was under the command of Adam Andrushkiewicz, and he is simply a small more recognizable than Natalia de Barbaro.
I could describe further examples of the genius of the Trzaskowski staff, but I don't want to. Besides, these 2 in my opinion are enough. The phenomenon is that a organization having a hell of quite a few money, which at least in explanation should attract entrepreneurs and any ointment of specialists, has not been able to take the experts to the staff. As a substance of fact, the United Right besides did not have many (and hence a multi-dimensional "cavalry" fuck), but it proved more effective than the Civic Coalition.
This is where I'm going to take my memories. Well, I remember perfectly well the regulation of the United Right and the times in which it committed the sinking behind the sinking, but the opposition (which I think is very longing to be an opposition) was incapable to usage practically any of them. It was explained to me at the time that it was all a substance of unfavorable conditions and that the PiS was teflon (although due to the prosecution). So now the PiS no longer has a prosecutor's office (although he wanted to concrete it almost before the election), the conditions are as if more favorable, and KO and the remainder of coalition parties are the same as before 2023 or practically not at all.
All right. At this point we should answer 1 very crucial question: were these elections to win, or was it Kobayashi Maru for Trzaskowski? First I will answer as the Polish publicist should: both and not. And now I will answer in my own way: despite the fact that the conditions in which Trzaskowski was to be operated are such, not different (the blame of misinformation, society will wipe out!), these elections could be won. Only that not with this staff and not with specified colleagues (what harm is it to promise?), what does not Mr Wmysław Witku?). Although I agree with a large part of what she wrote about the run performed by KO Joanna Much, I do not agree that Trzaskowski was a bad candidate. The candidate was in full ‘natural’. Everything crashed into utmost meleptism of his staff, which campaigned so far apart from the reality that most likely the PR would devote quite a few analysis to it. For the record, with these elections, it was practically the same as with those in 2020. After the first round, it was already swept. Prior to the first round, the polls gave the Democratic camp a good fewer percent advantage over Nawrock, Conf and Braun. And then it turns out that this trio is 50%+.
And yes, I was hoping quietly for a common decision on our ‘our’ side, but I realized that first of all, it did not gotta happen to this common move, but second, the same common decision could be on the another side. It turned out that we had a rerun from the 2019 Euro-Elections, erstwhile the PiS was absolutely terrified of much higher election attendance, and then it turned out that it did him no harm.
The worst thing about all this is that it's unfortunately not that it's burp with these choices due to the fact that possibly Nawrocki won, but at least the libs hurt ass. If that were the case, I'd most likely be making a large deal out of it myself, but the problem is that they'd pull us all with their actions. As for the answer to the question "and what now?", I would like to quote the passage of "The period of Storms":
‘- Now what?
- I'm sorry. Now - the Dwarf explained to him - we are fucked.”
For a very long time, the KO has convinced us that these presidential elections will be crucial, due to the fact that without the “its” president of the current coalition it will be hard to rule. In fact, I had a akin opinion on this subject, so I was not peculiarly bothered by these reminders. What bothers me is that the reproving team, most likely, had in deep respect these elections and their outcome. due to the fact that I realize that until any point they were certain of the triumph (after all, Marcin Duma himself told about the fact that whoever competes against Trzaskowski, he may not get 70:30 but 60:40 is for sure). But even the polls before the first circular did not propose that this win would be a demolition and that possibly it was better to get to work. On purpose, I do not mention the issues of fucks in any OKW and Defoliator calculations, because, I will let myself to usage the capslock: IT SHOULD NOT HAVE MEAN, due to the fact that these elections should not settle “on razor blades”.
I am very sorry that I am so focused on this, but, for the sake of the non-existent transcendental being, 1 could lose the election to a kind who liked to be covered by killings on sets, he was incapable to withstand the debate without taking nicotine, he was incapable to coherently tell how it was with this studio, he had connections with fans of an Austrian watercolorist, and I could in fact exchange all Nawrocki's problems through another wall of text, only that it did not matter, due to the fact that thanks to the superb work of the Trzaskian staff, no of these things influenced the result of the election.
And if individual would like to rise the argument here, that due to ubiquitous disinformation and algorithms in the Internet, The crackling was uphill, and I'm going to say to a individual like that: this kind of thing is analyzed before the campaign, and you gotta adjust to it, if you want to win. Especially since we're not talking about any kind of partnership that did an economical campaign, but a organization that had a lot more resources at its disposal and a lot more people.
As I mentioned in the erstwhile text wall, even the win of Trzaskowski did not warrant us anything. She may have provided any peace for the next parliamentary elections, but nothing more. So remember what I wrote then, but add the fact that it will be twice as bad.
If I were an optimist, I would compose that everything was not lost due to the fact that Nawrocki may have won, but for now, the current coalition is in charge and the next election can change everything. Only that I am not optimistic, and I know that the chances that the current authorities will embrace themselves are "mathematic". I mean, it's not completely impossible, but it's just as likely to be won by the Polish national team. quite a few people would be happy in Poland, but nobody truly believes it.
And we don't believe in the abrupt change of KO due to the fact that there's no indication that they inactive want to fight over something. Before the elections, it was essential to screw up the laws that he would veto (or direct to the Świętczkowski Court) and then usage the argument: you see, individual here is incapable to reconcile with the failure of their camp and is doing you bad. Instead, we had an eternal “no substance what we do now, due to the fact that elections, self-government, Europarlamment, presidential, and we do not want to upset the sovereign. In addition, eternal retreating from the far right or taking over its narrative. The only thing that could be achieved in this way was to keep the support of the far right over the erstwhile presidential elections (and to jump this support in relation to the parliamentary elections in 2023). If we were talking about a country far away, we could say "good luck" and add "good luck".
Except this is our country. And we can't even ask how the fuck did we get here right now, due to the fact that we all know how it happened. We looked at it and we were incapable to do absolutely nothing to halt it, and those who could were besides busy making things worse. And I'm not just talking about an eternal fresh power, but besides about people who identify as journalists.
Because with our journalists, it's like erstwhile 1 politician says it's raining, and the another says it's not raining, they presume they should give the sovereign these 2 opinions, and the sovereign should make his own. What, that it would most likely be better to find which of the politicians is right (and to see if it rains) and then to present both of these opinions to say/write at erstwhile which of them was missing the truth? No no no, my dears. This cannot be done, due to the fact that it would be 1 side, and that is not the occupation of a journalist. I know it sounds very stupid, but that's the presumption of a beautiful large group of our journalists. For the record, I am not referring to those who clearly "spin" for PiSu, due to the fact that these can be known, for example, by the fact that erstwhile Nawrocki's staff had a case of a bachelorette in their hands, they were worried not that the candidate contradicted himself, but by the fact that the PiS could not build a communicative that would indicate that Nawrocki was a cool guy.
And I am not a writer (I was not and will not be) and I am most likely not able to realize how, for example, in 2025 the Confa (and the Braunist mutation of the same) and the PiS "are equal to average parties"). It's kind of like a full bunch of commentators who heard Trump say during the election campaign, said it was just talk, that there's nothing to worry about, due to the fact that he wouldn't do that or that. Then Trump did any things, and commentators with serious faces pretended that they had never said anything about it before. I wrote “it a bit” due to the fact that in the case of PiSu we do not gotta wonder “what it will be, how they will win”, due to the fact that we know that. Just as we know that if the Law and Justice Office had specified an opportunity, it would have orchestrated the media in Poland and led to a situation where no major average would have tried to criticize Jarosław Kaczyński's organization with fear of serious consequences (the attempts were, for example, an effort to sack TVN). Jarosław Kaczyński's opinion on journalists could be seen in 2016, erstwhile the United Right tried to expel journalists from the Sejm.
Attention! An article sponsored by Sovereign!
http://patronite.pl/Piknik-on-country-g%C5%82upoty
I do not have the best opinion about Polish journalists, but even they cannot be so uninformed as not to know all this. So why do they treat PiS like a average party? I bet it's because, although they're not stupid adequate to not remember what happened before, they're stupid adequate to presume that the Law and Justices have surely changed. And here I can agree partially with specified journalists. Partly, due to the fact that although the PiS has changed, it has changed for the worse (however possible).
And at this point again we come to the point where we gotta compose a fewer words about what it will be. As I mentioned earlier, the chances that the current authorities will come together and the elections in 2027 will not end with the governments of the PiS with Confa (and possibly with the Braunists for an extra), are "mathematic". And unfortunately, that's not an exaggeration. To find out about this, just look at what is happening on the Polish-German border.
Somewhere a year ago, PiS (by Darius Matecki's mouth and keyboard) began to explain that the evil Germans send migrants here (of course, the colored ones). besides a year ago, all these statements were debunked. Only that he did not deal with this debunking e.g. government (and should), only single portals and media. Over the course of this year, the Law and Justice has been puking off racist Internets with stubbornness worthy of a better cause. It looked the same all time: individual (and it wasn't a random person, due to the fact that those people were, for example, politicians of the United Right [I don't mention the seizures, due to the fact that their participation in racist campaigns is something that Jarosław Kaczyński would call obvious]), he was taking any colorful image from a pit and posting it on the net with the inscription "immigrants already here", or something. Of course, sometimes it went to the Turks protest against Erdogan's politics, or the performance of the Senegalese band, or a commemorative event.
In general, these narratives were based on the presumption that if individual is not white, it means that he is in Poland illegally, and even if he is legal, he is definitely doing something wrong. And that, my dear fellows, is simply a manifestation of “biological” racism. due to the fact that there's no another way to explain it that individual thinks that individual else is doing something incorrect just due to the fact that it's different from that individual in the skin color. specified men can build bunk theories that justify their attitude toward the "heavenly," but everything is based on the belief that white people are king of creation, amen. If in 2015 all these narratives were based on the fact that they would send us Islamists here and they would Islamize us (and Europe no longer, there is no Europe), then now it is about the colour of the skin and nothing else.
This racist thin-disinformation action has been going on for over a year. So there was quite a few time to respond to her. What was the reaction of the current authorities? Well, that (in a telegraph summary and a cap): they were the ones who let the heavens into Poland, so they are the guilty ones! Now we are at a phase where the full state must adapt to a group of aggressive types (in the context of these types, I have seen a very beautiful typo: "citizens", due to the fact that this group of aggressive types convinced any of the public (it is not known how big, but adequate to bend down both the PiS and both the conflicts) that on the Polish-German border we are dealing with a immense migration crisis. As a substance of fact, I have already seen narratives (shown in the form of articles on the main website of the Interia) that Germany is now "repairing their mistakes" and throwing migrants to us at the border. Where do these migrants come from? I don't know, most likely from the Swiss-German border.
In their fight against the blues, the Law went so far that he rather seriously explained that, if anything, they would file a bill in the Sejm prohibiting the entry of Poland to people from the mediate East and North Africa, then they introduced a cosmetic change and told that the Act would be about the prohibition of entry for citizens of selected countries. However, we should commend them for their restraint, due to the fact that they could simply submit a bill in the Sejm prohibiting the entry into Poland of people with a blue skin colour without any exceptions. alternatively of any coherent action, the current authorities were only able to argue this only the narratives of “taking control of the borders” and the constant reminder that it was TAMCI who let them into the CORRORAL NAS. The fact that these narratives fit into a broader, racist narrative, someway nobody thought there. Nor did Kosiniak-Kamish, who late explained that, if anything, he is behind it to close the Centres for the Integration of Foreigners. Do these integration centres make migrants more eager to come to Poland? I don't think so. Would the liquidation of these centres make these migrants less? Look up. Will the deficiency of centres (+ launching racist narratives by most of the Polish political scene) worsen the integration of foreigners into Polish society? I don't know, it was hard.
When the first exit poll came in after the first circular of elections 1 of my very good fellows sent me a short message has a messenger: “We're fucked. Right?” And in general, that's the full overgrown wall of text. I have already mentioned the opportunities for "new better tomorrow". There's a tiny chance that something will improve on the left side. Together, it can yet build a “new policy” if they manage to keep the momentum they gained during the presidential campaign. The problem is that in 2015 they besides gained momentum and succeeded in effectively destroying it, so it is rather easy for me to contain optimism on this issue.
Something may change in the fresh Left, although the chance here is even little than in the case of Together. My point, of course, is that Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk announced any time ago that she would effort to lead the fresh Left. If she had succeeded (about the chances in a moment) it would most likely have changed a lot. Only that fear of these changes can make the ADB the boss not.
But even if both things go as they should, it does not in itself mean that everything will abruptly be fixed on the political stage. In order to repair itself, the left would gotta have (in stock) so pi times the eye more than 20%, and this would inactive be assuming that the PO would keep any 30% of the support. No, I don't make love to the PO. I just mean that if even the left would play 20% (which the chances are virtually nothing) and the PiS with both confencies 60%, then, euphemizing, there would be nothing to enjoy.
All we have left now is to prepare for what will happen in 2027, due to the fact that the fact that something bad will happen is almost certain. Continuing retreating in front of the shur/the utmost right makes these environments more and more crowded on the political phase (although of course all single right in Poland will talk about how the right is persecuted and oppressed). Not so long ago Jarosław Kaczyński cemented the right side to specified an degree that “on the right” from PiSu there was only a wall. I mean, okay, there were any corwinoids, but they had no effect on anything. Up to 1 point, PiS managed to make rough environments, but the price for these efforts is now paid by all of us, observing the growth of the right-hand side of PiSu. Then these environments grew adequate that someway they had to respond to it, so to speak, liberal environments. These environments (as I have already mentioned 2136 times, so I can do it again) reacted in a way by which Mentzen and Braun gathered over 20% of the votes in the presidential election.
This process will, unfortunately, deepen due to the fact that there is no indication that anyone outside the left would care to halt it. I wrote “part” on purpose, due to the fact that unfortunately the decision-making factors in NL* on average care about this (but possibly the word in government benches is adequate for them [taking into account all the evenings and Gdule, it can be concluded that even this word of office exceeds them]). Since the government is not peculiarly keen on combating misinformation (no, sowing its own disinfo is not a fight against disinfo), it can be safely assumed that utmost environments will be slow, but gradually "grown". As there will be more and more desinfos, the environments that fight it "for sport" will break. Besides, even if these environments proceed to do so, their effectiveness will be little effective than before.
* After writing the text, I was hit by an article from the NL portal, where Poland should unilaterally pronounce the migration pact.
This could be observed by comparing parliamentary elections 2023 with presidential elections 2025. In 2023, a common decision in the net effectively flattened the support of the confeve and it was to the degree that Mentzen himself had to shine his eyes for a mediocre consequence of his formation at an election evening. In 2025 the common decision was smaller and was much little effective. Yes, Mentzen did not bring the polling "mountain" to the election (he had a minion with Nawrock in 1 poll), but he did bring rather advanced support. The conclusion is that the next elections will be even worse. Let us add that the current authorities act as if they have already accepted the impending defeat and do not want to exert themselves specifically (for what, if it is possible to eat for the remaining years), so the utmost right in opposition will have more and more fuel for its narratives.
All indicates that in the next word we will be governed by the PiS + conf + possibly Braunists. All we don't know is who's going to be the first 1 in this trio. Yes, it will most likely be the Law and Justice, but this is simply a Polish policy and nothing can be excluded here. If the PiS with the confederacy had already signed a non-aggression pact (as it was in the case of the 2025 presidential election [yes, sometimes Mentzen after Nawrock rode, but he did so erstwhile it was impossible to avoid a subject anymore]) and they would add even their own legislature pact to it, then the scale of ‘to sweep’ could be even greater.
Even if the confederate takes place second, the confederates will be the main hand-offers and will shake PiSem as the PSL shakes the coalition today. 1 can be comforted by the fact that specified a coalition may end as in 2007, but this mediocre consolation, due to the fact that first of all, it doesn't gotta end like this, and second of all, even if it should end like this, before it ends, the PiS and the fife shuffle will drive distant fighting everything that can be fought over. Unless individual wants to believe that Kaczyński's plans (the plowing of the judiciary and everything else possible) will be stopped by Sławomir Mentzen. Let us not forget this small item in the form of a highly pro-confessive president, with whom we will gotta deal for the next 5 years.
I'd love to go back to that text in a couple of years and be able to say, okay, I must admit, I got truly carried distant with the dark stuff. I want I could, and I want I could, but I remember 2015. That year 2015 after the PO had spectacularly lost the presidential election, we talked to another friends about what happened and what it would be. We both came to the conclusion that after specified a crowbar, the PO will most likely get over the parliamentary elections, due to the fact that they are politicians with many years of experience and they can see what is happening. In our defense, it seemed to us that since we, the locusts, see any mechanisms, then politicians who do not do so in their spare moments (like us) should see them too. And it didn't even mean that we thought politicians were geniuses. We just assumed politicians wouldn't be dumber than us. I don't make assumptions like that anymore.
The ruling coalition had tremendous public assurance after winning the election. Then, 1 step at a time, that trust was wasted. For this reason, I wanted to cover this wall of the text with the title "you had a chamie golden horn", but I concluded that "self-fulfilling disaster" is simply a more appropriate title. The only thing that remains for us is to prepare for 2027 (if, of course, the current coalition will scope the end of the term).
I'm gonna end this by repeating a quote from my buddy:
We're fucked. Right?
Source:
https://www.niedziela.pl/Article/77750/nd/Poland-solidar-or-liberal
https://www.money.pl/economy/awareness/article/wlodzimierz;cimoshevich;deceased,105,0.73321.html
And here's a description of the ex-case finale
Cimoszewicz's assistant who led to his withdrawal
from the presidential election. Of korz, as in specified matters,
the conviction (first instance) was given 5 years after the election:
https://forsal.pl/articles/711613,anna-Jarucka-woman-who-one-according-falszowaly-elections.html
Jarosław Kaczyński on “remade
bomber’:
https://news.wp.pl/j-kaczynski-tu-154-to-made-bomber-should-cut-te-tree-6031944503054977a
https://www.rawo.pl/laws-sads/Kaczynski-election-falsified-digger-to-sub-democracy,58559.html
https://www.pap.pl/updates/news%2C679139%2Scream-I'm-not-obligatory-vaccination-on-coronavirus.html
https://oko.press/tusk-immigrants
https://oko.press/zaba-karna-sn-w-sklad-neosedzow-issues-decisions-in-dari-bark case
https://oko.press/prose-written-illegal-buy-building-tvp-i-pap
https://wpolitics.pl/politics/73066-0a-tyle-speak-on-state-speak-in-channel-zero
Buckwheat and
“You knew”
https://x.com/Bertold_K/status/1804835253606887615
https://x.com/precious/status/1891585315476750518
This is EU criticism:
https://x.com/marcinwarchol/status/1809155421413765482
Trzaskowski's entry that "he
I don't want to have a bad time” I only recovered due to the fact that already
I utilized to get over it.
I said,
https://www.facebook.com/rafal.snazz/posts/10158285202676091
https://x.com/scream_/status/1274012183408623617
https://www.msn.com/en-pl/news/Polish/to-she-prepares-Scream-to-debate-who-is-natalia-de-barbaro/ar-AA1EGHmA
https://we like to read.pl/book/138838/access-to-voice-radical-practical-guide-to-camp-election
Barbara Nowacka on “psychologist for
Trzaskowski’:
https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=2403645030017410
And this is an archaeological article from 2005
the year in which Kaczyński scares the Diabolical Sovereign De
Barbara:
https://news.wp.pl/jaroslaw-kaczynski-we-we are determined-to-create-coalitions-6108709660030081a
And here's an article about how Andrew is.
Duda needed help.
Doctor:
https://300politics.pl/live/2015/05/20/piasecki-duda-ma-be-more-offensive-working-with-him-marek-loved/
https://x.com/PiknikNSG/status/192135065847079018
https://x.com/PiknikNSG/status/1911823127618736233
Proprietary narratives on
Interii:
https://events.interia.pl/felietons/news-wise-German-injury-berlin-want-repair-your-catastro,nId,22161463#iwa_source=author
https://tvn24.pl/polska/dziemianowicz-bak-sveto-work-to-good-moment-to-say-st8440283
