According to the study, if Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki faced in the second round, the Citizen Coalition candidate would receive 57 percent of the votes and its rival 43 percent. If the opponent of Trzaskowski was Sławomir Mentzen, the advantage would besides be significant. The president of Warsaw could number on 55 percent of the votes, while the Confederacy leader could number on 45 percent.
Not all Confederate voters will support Nawrocki
The advantage of Trzaskowski over Nawrock in the second circular according to the latest survey is as much as 14 percent points. According to experts, this is due to the fact that despite the similarities in election programmes not all Confederate voters want to support the PiS candidate.
– It is clear that not all Confederate voters will vote for Nawrocki. On the another hand, the electorate of the Left and the 3rd Way is definitely more eager to support Trzaskowski – he evaluates in conversation with "Super Express" prof. Olgiard Annusewicz.
The PiS voters will do anything to prevent Trzaskowski from winning
In the clash between Trzaskowski and Mentzen, his advantage over the Confederate candidate decreases to 10 percent points. According to the polytologist prof. Olgiard Annusewicz, this is due to a large mobilization of law and justice voters who would vote for a Confederate candidate to vote against the KO candidate.
– You can get the impression that PiS voters are more determined to vote against Rafał Trzaskowski than Confederate voters," says the expert quoted by "Super Express".
Although the results of the poll indicate the advanced chances of Trzaskovsky, analysts emphasize that there are inactive a fewer weeks left to vote and the situation can always change.
A survey commissioned by "Super Express" was conducted utilizing the CAWI method on a group of 1007 adult Poles from 31 March to 1 April 2025. The maximum estimation mistake is about 3%.
